Projection set: ElectoralCalculus/PLMR July 2026

Provider: ElectoralCalculus
Date: 2026-07-08
Fieldwork dates: Jun 23 - 30
Provider links: Data
Full-size visualizations: Map, Sankey diagram

Seat distributions

Description	Lab	Cons	LD	SNP	Ref	Green	PC	SF	DUP	SDLP	UUP	Alliance	TUV	YP	RB	Ind	Other	n/a
Per-seat winner	217	151	72	28	127	30	3	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	3	18

Visualisations

Flow counts

This counts how many seats followed a particular flow from party to party between 2019 (notionally), 2024 and the projected 2029 winner. This does not include by-elections or defections.

2019 result (notional)	2024 result	Projection	Count
Lab	Lab	Lab	145
Cons	Cons	Cons	118
Cons	Lab	Ref	103
Cons	LD	LD	60
Cons	Lab	Lab	54
Lab	Lab	Green	28
Cons	Lab	Cons	25
SNP	Lab	SNP	21
Lab	Lab	Ref	17
SNP	Lab	Lab	15
LD	LD	LD	8
SNP	SNP	SNP	7
Cons	Ref	Ref	4
SNP	LD	LD	4
Lab	Ind	Other	3
Lab	Lab	Cons	3
Cons	Cons	Ref	2
Lab	Ind	Lab	2
PC	PC	PC	2
Green	Green	Green	1
Lab	Green	Green	1
Other	Other	Lab	1
Cons	Ref	RB	1
Cons	Green	Cons	1
Lab	Cons	Cons	1
Cons	Green	Ref	1
Cons	PC	PC	1
Cons	PC	Cons	1
SNP	SNP	Cons	1
Cons	SNP	Cons	1

All projected constituencies

Constituency	2019 result (notional)	2024 result	Projection	Details
Aberafan Maesteg	Lab	Lab	Toss-up Lab	Vote shares: Lab: 29%; Ref: 26%; PC: 11%; RB: 11%; Green: 10%
Aberdeen North	SNP	SNP	Likely SNP	Vote shares: SNP: 33%; Lab: 15%; Ref: 15%; Cons: 13%
Aberdeen South	SNP	SNP	Toss-up Cons	Vote shares: Cons: 44%; SNP: 38%
Aberdeenshire North and Moray East	Cons	SNP	Toss-up Cons	Vote shares: Cons: 42%; SNP: 40%
Airdrie and Shotts	SNP	Lab	Toss-up Lab	Vote shares: Lab: 36%; SNP: 33%; Ref: 10%
Aldershot	Cons	Lab	Toss-up Ref	Vote shares: Ref: 25%; Cons: 23%; Lab: 22%; Green: 11%; LD: 11%
Aldridge-Brownhills	Cons	Cons	Lean Cons	Vote shares: Cons: 44%; Ref: 32%
Alloa and Grangemouth	SNP	Lab	Toss-up SNP	Vote shares: SNP: 30%; Lab: 28%; Ref: 14%
Altrincham and Sale West	Cons	Lab	Toss-up Lab	Vote shares: Lab: 31%; Cons: 26%; Ref: 18%
Alyn and Deeside	Lab	Lab	Toss-up Ref	Vote shares: Ref: 29%; Lab: 25%; Cons: 13%; RB: 10%
Amber Valley	Cons	Lab	Toss-up Ref	Vote shares: Ref: 41%; Lab: 34%; RB: 11%
Angus and Perthshire Glens	SNP	SNP	Lean SNP	Vote shares: SNP: 45%; Cons: 37%
Arbroath and Broughty Ferry	SNP	SNP	Likely SNP	Vote shares: SNP: 38%; Cons: 17%; Ref: 17%; Lab: 16%
Argyll, Bute and South Lochaber	SNP	SNP	Lean SNP	Vote shares: SNP: 34%; Cons: 20%; LD: 17%; Ref: 12%
Arundel and South Downs	Cons	Cons	Likely Cons	Vote shares: Cons: 44%; Ref: 28%
Ashfield	Cons	Ref	Likely Ref	Vote shares: Ref: 42%; Lab: 26%; RB: 14%
Ashford	Cons	Lab	Lean Ref	Vote shares: Ref: 30%; Cons: 21%; Lab: 21%; Green: 11%
Ashton-under-Lyne	Lab	Lab	Lean Lab	Vote shares: Lab: 42%; Ref: 31%; RB: 12%
Aylesbury	Cons	Lab	Toss-up Cons	Vote shares: Cons: 25%; Ref: 24%; LD: 20%; Lab: 16%
Ayr, Carrick and Cumnock	SNP	Lab	Toss-up SNP	Vote shares: SNP: 25%; Cons: 22%; Lab: 19%; Ref: 16%
Banbury	Cons	Lab	Toss-up Cons	Vote shares: Cons: 25%; Ref: 23%; Lab: 22%; LD: 11%
Bangor Aberconwy	Cons	Lab	Toss-up Ref	Vote shares: Ref: 24%; PC: 22%; Lab: 20%; Cons: 18%
Barking	Lab	Lab	Toss-up Green	Vote shares: Green: 26%; Lab: 24%; Ref: 17%; Cons: 10%; RB: 10%
Barnsley North	Lab	Lab	Toss-up Lab	Vote shares: Lab: 41%; Ref: 34%; RB: 14%
Barnsley South	Lab	Lab	Toss-up Lab	Vote shares: Lab: 38%; Ref: 37%; RB: 15%
Barrow and Furness	Cons	Lab	Toss-up Lab	Vote shares: Lab: 28%; Ref: 27%; Cons: 23%
Basildon and Billericay	Cons	Cons	Toss-up Cons	Vote shares: Cons: 34%; Ref: 28%; Lab: 10%; RB: 10%
Basingstoke	Cons	Lab	Toss-up Lab	Vote shares: Lab: 24%; Cons: 23%; Ref: 23%; Green: 12%; LD: 10%
Bassetlaw	Cons	Lab	Toss-up Ref	Vote shares: Ref: 33%; Lab: 31%; Cons: 13%; RB: 13%
Bath	LD	LD	Likely LD	Vote shares: LD: 35%; Green: 17%; Cons: 16%; Lab: 14%; Ref: 12%
Bathgate and Linlithgow	SNP	Lab	Toss-up Lab	Vote shares: Lab: 35%; SNP: 30%; Ref: 11%
Battersea	Lab	Lab	Lean Lab	Vote shares: Lab: 31%; Cons: 19%; Green: 19%; LD: 12%; Ref: 11%
Beaconsfield	Cons	Cons	Lean Cons	Vote shares: Cons: 34%; LD: 20%; Ref: 20%; Lab: 10%
Beckenham and Penge	Lab	Lab	Lean Lab	Vote shares: Lab: 31%; Cons: 21%; Ref: 18%; Green: 12%; LD: 11%
Bedford	Lab	Lab	Toss-up Lab	Vote shares: Lab: 30%; Ref: 24%; Cons: 15%
Bermondsey and Old Southwark	Lab	Lab	Toss-up Green	Vote shares: Green: 26%; Lab: 26%; LD: 16%; Ref: 12%; Cons: 10%
Berwickshire, Roxburgh and Selkirk	Cons	Cons	Likely Cons	Vote shares: Cons: 48%; SNP: 31%
Bethnal Green and Stepney	Lab	Lab	Lean Green	Vote shares: Green: 31%; Lab: 23%; Other: 17%
Beverley and Holderness	Cons	Cons	Toss-up Cons	Vote shares: Cons: 29%; Ref: 27%; Lab: 20%
Bexhill and Battle	Cons	Cons	Lean Cons	Vote shares: Cons: 35%; Ref: 27%; Lab: 12%
Bexleyheath and Crayford	Cons	Lab	Toss-up Cons	Vote shares: Cons: 35%; Ref: 31%; Lab: 15%
Bicester and Woodstock	Cons	LD	Lean LD	Vote shares: LD: 40%; Cons: 26%; Ref: 14%
Birkenhead	Lab	Lab	Likely Lab	Vote shares: Lab: 42%; Ref: 22%; Green: 16%
Birmingham Edgbaston	Lab	Lab	Toss-up Lab	Vote shares: Lab: 26%; Ref: 20%; Cons: 19%; Green: 14%
Birmingham Erdington	Lab	Lab	Toss-up Lab	Vote shares: Lab: 29%; Ref: 29%; Green: 12%; Cons: 10%
Birmingham Hall Green and Moseley	Lab	Lab	Toss-up Green	Vote shares: Green: 27%; Other: 21%; Lab: 19%
Birmingham Hodge Hill and Solihull North	Lab	Lab	Toss-up Ref	Vote shares: Ref: 22%; Green: 19%; Lab: 18%; Other: 16%; Cons: 11%; RB: 10%
Birmingham Ladywood	Lab	Lab	Likely Green	Vote shares: Green: 37%; Lab: 20%; Other: 19%
Birmingham Northfield	Cons	Lab	Toss-up Ref	Vote shares: Ref: 30%; Lab: 25%; Cons: 17%; Green: 10%
Birmingham Perry Barr	Lab	Ind	Toss-up Other	Vote shares: Other: 24%; Green: 20%; Lab: 20%; Cons: 10%; Ref: 10%
Birmingham Selly Oak	Lab	Lab	Toss-up Lab	Vote shares: Lab: 26%; Green: 23%; Ref: 17%; Cons: 12%
Birmingham Yardley	Lab	Lab	Toss-up Ref	Vote shares: Ref: 22%; Lab: 17%; Other: 17%; Green: 14%; Cons: 12%; LD: 10%
Bishop Auckland	Cons	Lab	Lean Ref	Vote shares: Ref: 34%; Lab: 26%; Cons: 21%
Blackburn	Lab	Ind	Toss-up Other	Vote shares: Other: 24%; Lab: 22%; Green: 14%; Ref: 14%; RB: 11%; Cons: 10%
Blackley and Middleton South	Lab	Lab	Lean Lab	Vote shares: Lab: 33%; Ref: 22%; Green: 18%; RB: 13%
Blackpool North and Fleetwood	Cons	Lab	Toss-up Ref	Vote shares: Ref: 31%; Lab: 25%; Cons: 22%
Blackpool South	Cons	Lab	Toss-up Lab	Vote shares: Lab: 40%; Ref: 38%; RB: 12%
Blaenau Gwent and Rhymney	Lab	Lab	Lean Lab	Vote shares: Lab: 25%; PC: 16%; Ref: 15%; Green: 13%; Cons: 12%; RB: 10%
Blaydon and Consett	Lab	Lab	Lean Lab	Vote shares: Lab: 45%; Ref: 35%
Blyth and Ashington	Lab	Lab	Toss-up Ref	Vote shares: Ref: 42%; Lab: 41%
Bognor Regis and Littlehampton	Cons	Cons	Lean Cons	Vote shares: Cons: 39%; Ref: 30%
Bolsover	Cons	Lab	Toss-up Ref	Vote shares: Ref: 40%; Lab: 37%; RB: 12%
Bolton North East	Cons	Lab	Toss-up Ref	Vote shares: Ref: 34%; Lab: 33%; Cons: 12%
Bolton South and Walkden	Lab	Lab	Lean Lab	Vote shares: Lab: 37%; Ref: 28%; RB: 12%
Bolton West	Cons	Lab	Toss-up Ref	Vote shares: Ref: 28%; Lab: 26%; Cons: 23%
Bootle	Lab	Lab	Safe Lab	Vote shares: Lab: 45%; Ref: 17%; Green: 15%; RB: 10%
Boston and Skegness	Cons	Ref	Lean Ref	Vote shares: Ref: 41%; Cons: 32%; RB: 14%
Bournemouth East	Cons	Lab	Toss-up Lab	Vote shares: Lab: 24%; Ref: 24%; Cons: 21%; Green: 11%; LD: 10%
Bournemouth West	Cons	Lab	Toss-up Ref	Vote shares: Ref: 28%; Cons: 22%; Lab: 19%; LD: 12%; Green: 10%
Bracknell	Cons	Lab	Toss-up Ref	Vote shares: Cons: 24%; Ref: 24%; Lab: 19%; LD: 11%; Green: 10%
Bradford East	Lab	Lab	Lean Lab	Vote shares: Lab: 27%; Ref: 19%; Green: 17%; Other: 13%; Cons: 10%
Bradford South	Lab	Lab	Toss-up Lab	Vote shares: Lab: 38%; Ref: 31%; RB: 12%
Bradford West	Lab	Lab	Toss-up Green	Vote shares: Green: 26%; Lab: 24%; Other: 19%; Ref: 11%
Braintree	Cons	Cons	Lean Cons	Vote shares: Cons: 40%; Ref: 32%
Brecon, Radnor and Cwm Tawe	Cons	LD	Toss-up LD	Vote shares: Cons: 22%; LD: 22%; Ref: 19%; PC: 14%; Lab: 13%
Brent East	Lab	Lab	Toss-up Green	Vote shares: Green: 28%; Lab: 27%; Ref: 12%; Cons: 11%
Brent West	Lab	Lab	Toss-up Cons	Vote shares: Cons: 25%; Lab: 22%; Green: 19%; Ref: 13%
Brentford and Isleworth	Lab	Lab	Lean Lab	Vote shares: Lab: 27%; Green: 18%; Cons: 17%; Ref: 15%
Brentwood and Ongar	Cons	Cons	Lean Cons	Vote shares: Cons: 43%; Ref: 31%
Bridgend	Cons	Lab	Toss-up Ref	Vote shares: Ref: 26%; Lab: 25%; Cons: 12%; PC: 11%
Bridgwater	Cons	Cons	Lean Cons	Vote shares: Cons: 40%; Ref: 30%
Bridlington and The Wolds	Cons	Cons	Toss-up Cons	Vote shares: Cons: 40%; Ref: 33%; Lab: 10%
Brigg and Immingham	Cons	Cons	Lean Cons	Vote shares: Cons: 43%; Ref: 34%; Lab: 10%
Brighton Kemptown and Peacehaven	Lab	Lab	Toss-up Lab	Vote shares: Lab: 28%; Green: 23%; Cons: 14%; Ref: 14%; LD: 10%
Brighton Pavilion	Green	Green	Likely Green	Vote shares: Green: 47%; Lab: 24%
Bristol Central	Lab	Green	Likely Green	Vote shares: Green: 49%; Lab: 32%
Bristol East	Lab	Lab	Toss-up Lab	Vote shares: Lab: 33%; Green: 29%; Ref: 13%; Cons: 11%
Bristol North East	Lab	Lab	Toss-up Lab	Vote shares: Lab: 30%; Green: 24%; Ref: 19%; Cons: 11%
Bristol North West	Lab	Lab	Lean Lab	Vote shares: Lab: 32%; Green: 22%; Ref: 16%; Cons: 13%; LD: 10%
Bristol South	Lab	Lab	Toss-up Lab	Vote shares: Lab: 28%; Green: 26%; Ref: 20%; Cons: 10%
Broadland and Fakenham	Cons	Cons	Lean Cons	Vote shares: Cons: 36%; Ref: 28%; Lab: 13%
Bromley and Biggin Hill	Cons	Cons	Lean Cons	Vote shares: Cons: 30%; Ref: 21%; Lab: 18%; LD: 12%; Green: 11%
Bromsgrove	Cons	Cons	Lean Cons	Vote shares: Cons: 37%; Ref: 26%; Lab: 11%; LD: 10%
Broxbourne	Cons	Cons	Lean Cons	Vote shares: Cons: 43%; Ref: 30%
Broxtowe	Cons	Lab	Toss-up Lab	Vote shares: Lab: 39%; Ref: 36%; Cons: 10%
Buckingham and Bletchley	Cons	Lab	Toss-up Cons	Vote shares: Cons: 25%; Ref: 23%; Lab: 21%; Green: 10%; LD: 10%
Burnley	Cons	Lab	Toss-up Ref	Vote shares: Ref: 35%; Lab: 30%; Cons: 12%; RB: 10%
Burton and Uttoxeter	Cons	Lab	Toss-up Ref	Vote shares: Ref: 28%; Cons: 23%; Lab: 19%
Bury North	Cons	Lab	Toss-up Lab	Vote shares: Lab: 29%; Ref: 23%; Cons: 21%; Green: 10%
Bury South	Cons	Lab	Lean Lab	Vote shares: Lab: 39%; Ref: 30%; Cons: 10%; RB: 10%
Bury St Edmunds and Stowmarket	Cons	Lab	Toss-up Ref	Vote shares: Ref: 27%; Cons: 22%; Lab: 22%; Green: 11%
Caerfyrddin	Cons	PC	Lean PC	Vote shares: PC: 30%; Ref: 22%; Lab: 18%; Cons: 16%
Caerphilly	Lab	Lab	Toss-up Ref	Vote shares: Ref: 24%; Lab: 23%; PC: 20%; Cons: 12%
Caithness, Sutherland and Easter Ross	SNP	LD	Safe LD	Vote shares: LD: 54%; SNP: 27%
Calder Valley	Cons	Lab	Toss-up Lab	Vote shares: Lab: 32%; Ref: 25%; Cons: 20%
Camborne and Redruth	Cons	Lab	Toss-up Ref	Vote shares: Ref: 30%; Lab: 23%; Cons: 20%; LD: 11%
Cambridge	Lab	Lab	Toss-up Lab	Vote shares: Lab: 30%; Green: 28%; LD: 14%; Cons: 11%
Cannock Chase	Cons	Lab	Lean Ref	Vote shares: Ref: 34%; Cons: 20%; Lab: 20%; RB: 10%
Canterbury	Lab	Lab	Toss-up Lab	Vote shares: Lab: 32%; Ref: 26%; Cons: 14%; Green: 11%
Cardiff East	Lab	Lab	Toss-up Lab	Vote shares: Lab: 20%; Green: 19%; Ref: 15%; Cons: 12%; LD: 12%; PC: 12%
Cardiff North	Lab	Lab	Toss-up Lab	Vote shares: Lab: 25%; Cons: 19%; Ref: 16%; PC: 12%; Green: 11%
Cardiff South and Penarth	Lab	Lab	Toss-up Green	Vote shares: Green: 24%; Lab: 23%; Cons: 13%; Ref: 13%; PC: 12%
Cardiff West	Lab	Lab	Toss-up Lab	Vote shares: Lab: 22%; PC: 19%; Green: 15%; Ref: 15%; Cons: 14%
Carlisle	Cons	Lab	Toss-up Ref	Vote shares: Ref: 30%; Lab: 26%; Cons: 20%; RB: 10%
Carshalton and Wallington	Cons	LD	Lean LD	Vote shares: LD: 35%; Cons: 23%; Ref: 18%; Lab: 10%
Castle Point	Cons	Cons	Toss-up Ref	Vote shares: Ref: 40%; Cons: 36%
Central Ayrshire	SNP	Lab	Toss-up Lab	Vote shares: Lab: 31%; SNP: 28%; Ref: 12%
Central Devon	Cons	Cons	Toss-up Cons	Vote shares: Cons: 26%; Ref: 23%; Lab: 19%; LD: 16%
Central Suffolk and North Ipswich	Cons	Cons	Lean Cons	Vote shares: Cons: 36%; Ref: 27%; Lab: 11%
Ceredigion Preseli	PC	PC	Likely PC	Vote shares: PC: 40%; Ref: 20%; Cons: 10%
Chatham and Aylesford	Cons	Lab	Lean Ref	Vote shares: Ref: 30%; Cons: 22%; Lab: 17%; Green: 11%
Cheadle	Cons	LD	Lean LD	Vote shares: LD: 33%; Cons: 21%; Lab: 16%; Ref: 16%
Chelmsford	Cons	LD	Lean LD	Vote shares: LD: 40%; Cons: 27%; Ref: 16%
Chelsea and Fulham	Cons	Lab	Lean Cons	Vote shares: Cons: 32%; Lab: 22%; Ref: 16%; Green: 14%
Cheltenham	Cons	LD	Likely LD	Vote shares: LD: 49%; Cons: 34%
Chesham and Amersham	Cons	LD	Toss-up LD	Vote shares: LD: 44%; Cons: 37%
Chester North and Neston	Lab	Lab	Likely Lab	Vote shares: Lab: 37%; Ref: 21%; Cons: 17%; Green: 11%
Chester South and Eddisbury	Cons	Cons	Lean Cons	Vote shares: Cons: 33%; Lab: 22%; Ref: 21%
Chesterfield	Lab	Lab	Toss-up Lab	Vote shares: Lab: 42%; Ref: 35%; RB: 12%
Chichester	Cons	LD	Likely LD	Vote shares: LD: 39%; Ref: 22%; Cons: 21%
Chingford and Woodford Green	Cons	Cons	Lean Cons	Vote shares: Cons: 29%; Other: 18%; Ref: 15%; Lab: 14%; Green: 12%
Chippenham	Cons	LD	Likely LD	Vote shares: LD: 41%; Cons: 25%; Ref: 17%
Chipping Barnet	Cons	Lab	Toss-up Cons	Vote shares: Cons: 28%; Lab: 25%; Ref: 17%; Green: 14%
Chorley	Other	Other	Safe Lab	Vote shares: Lab: 45%; Green: 17%; Ref: 13%
Christchurch	Cons	Cons	Lean Cons	Vote shares: Cons: 42%; Ref: 31%
Cities of London and Westminster	Cons	Lab	Toss-up Cons	Vote shares: Cons: 29%; Lab: 22%; Green: 15%; Ref: 14%; LD: 12%
City of Durham	Lab	Lab	Lean Lab	Vote shares: Lab: 46%; Ref: 35%
Clacton	Cons	Ref	Lean Ref	Vote shares: Ref: 45%; Cons: 31%; RB: 11%
Clapham and Brixton Hill	Lab	Lab	Toss-up Green	Vote shares: Green: 33%; Lab: 32%; LD: 11%
Clwyd East	Cons	Lab	Toss-up Ref	Vote shares: Ref: 24%; Cons: 23%; Lab: 21%
Clwyd North	Cons	Lab	Toss-up Cons	Vote shares: Cons: 26%; Ref: 25%; Lab: 17%; PC: 13%
Coatbridge and Bellshill	SNP	Lab	Toss-up SNP	Vote shares: SNP: 35%; Lab: 34%
Colchester	Cons	Lab	Toss-up Lab	Vote shares: Lab: 32%; Ref: 29%; Cons: 13%
Colne Valley	Cons	Lab	Toss-up Lab	Vote shares: Lab: 28%; Ref: 24%; Cons: 23%; Green: 11%
Congleton	Cons	Lab	Toss-up Cons	Vote shares: Cons: 27%; Lab: 26%; Ref: 25%
Corby and East Northamptonshire	Cons	Lab	Toss-up Ref	Vote shares: Ref: 27%; Cons: 25%; Lab: 24%
Coventry East	Lab	Lab	Toss-up Lab	Vote shares: Lab: 27%; Ref: 21%; Green: 19%; Cons: 12%; RB: 11%
Coventry North West	Lab	Lab	Toss-up Lab	Vote shares: Lab: 41%; Ref: 35%
Coventry South	Lab	Lab	Toss-up Lab	Vote shares: Lab: 27%; Ref: 20%; Cons: 19%; Green: 15%
Cowdenbeath and Kirkcaldy	SNP	Lab	Toss-up Lab	Vote shares: Lab: 34%; SNP: 31%; Ref: 10%
Cramlington and Killingworth	Lab	Lab	Lean Lab	Vote shares: Lab: 45%; Ref: 35%
Crawley	Cons	Lab	Toss-up Ref	Vote shares: Ref: 23%; Lab: 21%; Cons: 20%; Green: 14%
Crewe and Nantwich	Cons	Lab	Toss-up Lab	Vote shares: Lab: 40%; Ref: 37%; RB: 10%
Croydon East	Lab	Lab	Toss-up Cons	Vote shares: Cons: 23%; Lab: 22%; Ref: 21%; Green: 15%; LD: 12%
Croydon South	Cons	Cons	Likely Cons	Vote shares: Cons: 37%; Lab: 18%; Ref: 16%; Green: 12%; LD: 12%
Croydon West	Lab	Lab	Toss-up Lab	Vote shares: Lab: 31%; Green: 26%; Cons: 13%; Ref: 12%
Cumbernauld and Kirkintilloch	SNP	Lab	Toss-up SNP	Vote shares: SNP: 37%; Lab: 32%; Ref: 10%
Dagenham and Rainham	Lab	Lab	Toss-up Ref	Vote shares: Lab: 31%; Ref: 31%; Green: 12%; Cons: 10%; RB: 10%
Darlington	Cons	Lab	Toss-up Lab	Vote shares: Lab: 27%; Ref: 26%; Cons: 24%
Dartford	Cons	Lab	Toss-up Cons	Vote shares: Cons: 37%; Ref: 30%; Lab: 13%
Daventry	Cons	Cons	Lean Cons	Vote shares: Cons: 36%; Ref: 26%; Lab: 14%
Derby North	Cons	Lab	Toss-up Lab	Vote shares: Lab: 34%; Ref: 28%; Cons: 15%
Derby South	Lab	Lab	Lean Lab	Vote shares: Lab: 40%; Ref: 32%; RB: 11%
Derbyshire Dales	Cons	Lab	Toss-up Ref	Vote shares: Cons: 27%; Ref: 27%; Lab: 25%
Dewsbury and Batley	Lab	Ind	Toss-up Lab	Vote shares: Lab: 22%; Other: 19%; Ref: 18%; Green: 13%; Cons: 12%; RB: 12%
Didcot and Wantage	Cons	LD	Likely LD	Vote shares: LD: 38%; Cons: 23%; Ref: 16%
Doncaster Central	Lab	Lab	Toss-up Ref	Vote shares: Ref: 40%; Lab: 38%; RB: 10%
Doncaster East and the Isle of Axholme	Cons	Lab	Toss-up Ref	Vote shares: Ref: 32%; Cons: 26%; Lab: 22%
Doncaster North	Lab	Lab	Toss-up Lab	Vote shares: Lab: 28%; Ref: 25%; Cons: 20%
Dorking and Horley	Cons	LD	Lean LD	Vote shares: LD: 39%; Cons: 29%; Ref: 16%
Dover and Deal	Cons	Lab	Toss-up Ref	Vote shares: Ref: 35%; Lab: 28%; Cons: 14%
Droitwich and Evesham	Cons	Cons	Lean Cons	Vote shares: Cons: 44%; Ref: 30%
Dudley	Cons	Lab	Lean Ref	Vote shares: Ref: 33%; Cons: 21%; Lab: 17%; RB: 10%
Dulwich and West Norwood	Lab	Lab	Toss-up Lab	Vote shares: Lab: 36%; Green: 34%
Dumfries and Galloway	Cons	Cons	Toss-up Cons	Vote shares: Cons: 38%; SNP: 36%
Dumfriesshire, Clydesdale and Tweeddale	Cons	Cons	Lean Cons	Vote shares: Cons: 41%; SNP: 31%
Dundee Central	SNP	SNP	Likely SNP	Vote shares: SNP: 41%; Lab: 24%; Ref: 11%
Dunfermline and Dollar	SNP	Lab	Toss-up Lab	Vote shares: Lab: 35%; SNP: 30%; Green: 10%
Dunstable and Leighton Buzzard	Cons	Lab	Toss-up Ref	Vote shares: Ref: 30%; Cons: 29%; Lab: 16%; LD: 10%
Dwyfor Meirionnydd	PC	PC	Likely PC	Vote shares: PC: 43%; Ref: 19%; Lab: 12%; Cons: 11%
Ealing Central and Acton	Lab	Lab	Toss-up Lab	Vote shares: Lab: 28%; Green: 23%; Cons: 15%; LD: 12%; Ref: 12%
Ealing North	Lab	Lab	Toss-up Lab	Vote shares: Lab: 27%; Green: 24%; Ref: 14%; Cons: 13%
Ealing Southall	Lab	Lab	Toss-up Lab	Vote shares: Lab: 29%; Green: 27%; Cons: 12%; Other: 11%
Earley and Woodley	Cons	Lab	Lean Cons	Vote shares: Cons: 30%; Lab: 22%; Ref: 17%; Green: 12%; LD: 12%
Easington	Lab	Lab	Toss-up Ref	Vote shares: Ref: 42%; Lab: 38%
East Grinstead and Uckfield	Cons	Cons	Lean Cons	Vote shares: Cons: 29%; LD: 16%; Ref: 16%; Lab: 15%; Green: 12%
East Ham	Lab	Lab	Toss-up Green	Vote shares: Green: 32%; Lab: 27%; Other: 13%
East Hampshire	Cons	Cons	Toss-up Cons	Vote shares: Cons: 30%; LD: 25%; Ref: 22%
East Kilbride and Strathaven	SNP	Lab	Toss-up Lab	Vote shares: Lab: 35%; SNP: 31%; Ref: 10%
East Renfrewshire	SNP	Lab	Toss-up Lab	Vote shares: Lab: 31%; SNP: 28%; Cons: 11%
East Surrey	Cons	Cons	Likely Cons	Vote shares: Cons: 43%; Ref: 28%
East Thanet	Cons	Lab	Toss-up Ref	Vote shares: Ref: 35%; Lab: 34%; Cons: 10%
East Wiltshire	Cons	Cons	Likely Cons	Vote shares: Cons: 41%; Ref: 26%; LD: 10%
East Worthing and Shoreham	Cons	Lab	Toss-up Lab	Vote shares: Lab: 33%; Ref: 28%; Cons: 15%
Eastbourne	Cons	LD	Likely LD	Vote shares: LD: 41%; Cons: 21%; Ref: 21%
Eastleigh	Cons	LD	Toss-up LD	Vote shares: LD: 34%; Cons: 29%; Ref: 17%
Edinburgh East and Musselburgh	SNP	Lab	Toss-up SNP	Vote shares: SNP: 33%; Lab: 26%; Green: 15%; Ref: 10%
Edinburgh North and Leith	SNP	Lab	Toss-up SNP	Vote shares: SNP: 28%; Lab: 27%; Green: 16%
Edinburgh South	Lab	Lab	Likely Lab	Vote shares: Lab: 31%; Green: 15%; SNP: 15%; Ref: 13%
Edinburgh South West	SNP	Lab	Toss-up Lab	Vote shares: Lab: 32%; SNP: 30%; Green: 12%
Edinburgh West	LD	LD	Safe LD	Vote shares: LD: 57%; SNP: 21%
Edmonton and Winchmore Hill	Lab	Lab	Toss-up Lab	Vote shares: Lab: 28%; Green: 21%; Ref: 16%; Cons: 15%
Ellesmere Port and Bromborough	Lab	Lab	Likely Lab	Vote shares: Lab: 52%; Ref: 29%
Eltham and Chislehurst	Cons	Lab	Toss-up Lab	Vote shares: Lab: 27%; Ref: 23%; Cons: 20%; Green: 12%
Ely and East Cambridgeshire	Cons	LD	Lean LD	Vote shares: LD: 42%; Cons: 34%; Ref: 11%
Enfield North	Lab	Lab	Lean Lab	Vote shares: Lab: 28%; Ref: 20%; Cons: 16%; Green: 16%
Epping Forest	Cons	Cons	Lean Cons	Vote shares: Cons: 33%; Ref: 19%; Lab: 16%; LD: 11%; Green: 10%
Epsom and Ewell	Cons	LD	Lean LD	Vote shares: LD: 45%; Cons: 34%
Erewash	Cons	Lab	Toss-up Ref	Vote shares: Lab: 38%; Ref: 38%; RB: 10%
Erith and Thamesmead	Lab	Lab	Toss-up Lab	Vote shares: Lab: 30%; Green: 23%; Ref: 17%; Cons: 11%
Esher and Walton	Cons	LD	Likely LD	Vote shares: LD: 54%; Cons: 31%
Exeter	Lab	Lab	Lean Lab	Vote shares: Lab: 30%; Green: 21%; Ref: 19%; Cons: 12%
Exmouth and Exeter East	Cons	Cons	Toss-up Cons	Vote shares: Cons: 23%; LD: 21%; Ref: 21%; Lab: 16%; Green: 11%
Falkirk	SNP	Lab	Toss-up SNP	Vote shares: SNP: 32%; Lab: 29%; Ref: 12%
Fareham and Waterlooville	Cons	Cons	Lean Cons	Vote shares: Cons: 43%; Ref: 29%
Farnham and Bordon	Cons	Cons	Toss-up Cons	Vote shares: Cons: 30%; LD: 23%; Ref: 21%; Lab: 11%
Faversham and Mid Kent	Cons	Cons	Toss-up Cons	Vote shares: Cons: 28%; Ref: 27%; Lab: 15%; Green: 10%
Feltham and Heston	Lab	Lab	Toss-up Lab	Vote shares: Lab: 24%; Ref: 18%; Green: 17%; Cons: 15%; RB: 11%
Filton and Bradley Stoke	Cons	Lab	Toss-up Lab	Vote shares: Lab: 28%; Ref: 22%; Cons: 21%; Green: 12%; LD: 10%
Finchley and Golders Green	Cons	Lab	Toss-up Cons	Vote shares: Cons: 27%; Lab: 26%; Green: 17%; Ref: 15%
Folkestone and Hythe	Cons	Lab	Lean Ref	Vote shares: Ref: 38%; Lab: 28%; Cons: 13%
Forest of Dean	Cons	Lab	Toss-up Ref	Vote shares: Ref: 31%; Lab: 24%; Cons: 23%
Frome and East Somerset	Cons	LD	Lean LD	Vote shares: LD: 30%; Ref: 20%; Cons: 19%; Lab: 13%; Green: 11%
Fylde	Cons	Cons	Toss-up Cons	Vote shares: Cons: 29%; Ref: 24%; Lab: 21%
Gainsborough	Cons	Cons	Lean Cons	Vote shares: Cons: 41%; Ref: 33%; Lab: 10%
Gateshead Central and Whickham	Lab	Lab	Lean Lab	Vote shares: Lab: 45%; Ref: 32%; RB: 10%
Gedling	Cons	Lab	Lean Lab	Vote shares: Lab: 39%; Ref: 28%; Cons: 12%; RB: 10%
Gillingham and Rainham	Cons	Lab	Toss-up Ref	Vote shares: Ref: 28%; Cons: 22%; Lab: 20%; Green: 11%
Glasgow East	SNP	Lab	Toss-up SNP	Vote shares: SNP: 35%; Lab: 31%; Green: 13%
Glasgow North	SNP	Lab	Lean SNP	Vote shares: SNP: 32%; Lab: 24%; Green: 17%; Ref: 11%
Glasgow North East	SNP	Lab	Toss-up SNP	Vote shares: SNP: 34%; Lab: 31%; Green: 12%
Glasgow South	SNP	Lab	Lean SNP	Vote shares: SNP: 31%; Lab: 23%; Green: 18%; Ref: 11%
Glasgow South West	SNP	Lab	Toss-up SNP	Vote shares: SNP: 36%; Lab: 30%; Green: 13%
Glasgow West	SNP	Lab	Toss-up SNP	Vote shares: SNP: 33%; Lab: 32%; Green: 14%
Glastonbury and Somerton	Cons	LD	Likely LD	Vote shares: LD: 38%; Cons: 23%; Ref: 21%
Glenrothes and Mid Fife	SNP	Lab	Lean SNP	Vote shares: SNP: 37%; Lab: 28%; Ref: 15%
Gloucester	Cons	Lab	Toss-up Ref	Vote shares: Ref: 27%; Cons: 23%; Lab: 19%; LD: 13%
Godalming and Ash	Cons	Cons	Toss-up Cons	Vote shares: Cons: 40%; LD: 37%; Ref: 12%
Goole and Pocklington	Cons	Cons	Lean Cons	Vote shares: Cons: 39%; Ref: 30%; Lab: 14%
Gordon and Buchan	Cons	Cons	Toss-up Cons	Vote shares: Cons: 43%; SNP: 37%
Gorton and Denton	Lab	Lab	Toss-up Green	Vote shares: Green: 31%; Lab: 30%; Ref: 23%
Gosport	Cons	Cons	Lean Cons	Vote shares: Cons: 43%; Ref: 31%
Gower	Lab	Lab	Toss-up Lab	Vote shares: Lab: 25%; Ref: 21%; Cons: 17%; PC: 12%; Green: 10%
Grantham and Bourne	Cons	Cons	Lean Cons	Vote shares: Cons: 41%; Ref: 31%; Lab: 10%
Gravesham	Cons	Lab	Toss-up Ref	Vote shares: Ref: 28%; Cons: 24%; Lab: 20%; Green: 10%
Great Grimsby and Cleethorpes	Cons	Lab	Lean Ref	Vote shares: Ref: 43%; Lab: 33%; RB: 12%
Great Yarmouth	Cons	Ref	Likely RB	Vote shares: RB: 33%; Cons: 18%; Lab: 18%; Ref: 15%
Greenwich and Woolwich	Lab	Lab	Toss-up Lab	Vote shares: Lab: 32%; Green: 30%; Cons: 10%; Ref: 10%
Guildford	Cons	LD	Likely LD	Vote shares: LD: 53%; Cons: 30%
Hackney North and Stoke Newington	Lab	Lab	Toss-up Green	Vote shares: Green: 36%; Lab: 33%
Hackney South and Shoreditch	Lab	Lab	Toss-up Green	Vote shares: Green: 40%; Lab: 33%
Halesowen	Cons	Lab	Lean Ref	Vote shares: Ref: 31%; Cons: 22%; Lab: 20%; LD: 10%
Halifax	Lab	Lab	Toss-up Lab	Vote shares: Lab: 40%; Ref: 34%; RB: 10%
Hamble Valley	Cons	Cons	Toss-up Cons	Vote shares: Cons: 30%; Ref: 24%; LD: 20%; Lab: 10%
Hamilton and Clyde Valley	SNP	Lab	Lean Lab	Vote shares: Lab: 38%; SNP: 30%; Ref: 10%
Hammersmith and Chiswick	Lab	Lab	Lean Lab	Vote shares: Lab: 32%; Green: 23%; Cons: 16%; Ref: 11%; LD: 10%
Hampstead and Highgate	Lab	Lab	Toss-up Lab	Vote shares: Lab: 30%; Green: 25%; Cons: 15%; LD: 12%; Ref: 11%
Harborough, Oadby and Wigston	Cons	Cons	Lean Cons	Vote shares: Cons: 31%; Ref: 22%; Lab: 21%; Green: 11%
Harlow	Cons	Lab	Toss-up Ref	Vote shares: Ref: 30%; Cons: 28%; Lab: 18%
Harpenden and Berkhamsted	Cons	LD	Safe LD	Vote shares: LD: 55%; Cons: 30%
Harrogate and Knaresborough	Cons	LD	Lean LD	Vote shares: LD: 46%; Cons: 33%; Ref: 10%
Harrow East	Cons	Cons	Safe Cons	Vote shares: Cons: 45%; Lab: 14%; Ref: 14%; Green: 12%
Harrow West	Lab	Lab	Toss-up Lab	Vote shares: Lab: 24%; Cons: 22%; Green: 21%; Ref: 12%
Hartlepool	Lab	Lab	Toss-up Ref	Vote shares: Ref: 40%; Lab: 37%; RB: 12%
Harwich and North Essex	Cons	Cons	Lean Cons	Vote shares: Cons: 35%; Ref: 26%; Lab: 13%
Hastings and Rye	Cons	Lab	Toss-up Lab	Vote shares: Lab: 43%; Ref: 37%
Havant	Cons	Cons	Toss-up Ref	Vote shares: Ref: 27%; Cons: 22%; Lab: 17%; Green: 11%; LD: 10%
Hayes and Harlington	Lab	Lab	Lean Lab	Vote shares: Lab: 29%; Green: 18%; Ref: 17%; Cons: 16%; RB: 10%
Hazel Grove	Cons	LD	Toss-up LD	Vote shares: LD: 27%; Ref: 20%; Lab: 19%; Cons: 18%
Hemel Hempstead	Cons	Lab	Toss-up Ref	Vote shares: Ref: 26%; Cons: 23%; Lab: 21%; LD: 13%; Green: 10%
Hendon	Cons	Lab	Lean Cons	Vote shares: Cons: 29%; Lab: 20%; Ref: 18%; Green: 16%
Henley and Thame	Cons	LD	Lean LD	Vote shares: LD: 46%; Cons: 32%; Ref: 11%
Hereford and South Herefordshire	Cons	Cons	Lean Cons	Vote shares: Cons: 37%; Ref: 29%; Lab: 11%
Herne Bay and Sandwich	Cons	Cons	Lean Cons	Vote shares: Cons: 41%; Ref: 31%
Hertford and Stortford	Cons	Lab	Toss-up Lab	Vote shares: Lab: 26%; Ref: 25%; Cons: 22%; Green: 11%; LD: 10%
Hertsmere	Cons	Cons	Likely Cons	Vote shares: Cons: 37%; Ref: 22%; Lab: 14%; Green: 11%
Hexham	Cons	Lab	Toss-up Lab	Vote shares: Lab: 32%; Cons: 30%; Ref: 20%
Heywood and Middleton North	Lab	Lab	Toss-up Lab	Vote shares: Lab: 38%; Ref: 35%; RB: 11%
High Peak	Cons	Lab	Lean Lab	Vote shares: Lab: 32%; Ref: 22%; Cons: 21%; Green: 11%
Hinckley and Bosworth	Cons	Cons	Lean Cons	Vote shares: Cons: 42%; Ref: 31%
Hitchin	Cons	Lab	Toss-up Lab	Vote shares: Lab: 26%; Cons: 23%; Ref: 21%; LD: 13%; Green: 11%
Holborn and St Pancras	Lab	Lab	Toss-up Green	Vote shares: Green: 32%; Lab: 27%; Other: 14%
Honiton and Sidmouth	Cons	LD	Lean LD	Vote shares: LD: 38%; Cons: 29%; Ref: 18%
Hornchurch and Upminster	Cons	Cons	Toss-up Cons	Vote shares: Cons: 35%; Ref: 32%; Lab: 10%; RB: 10%
Hornsey and Friern Barnet	Lab	Lab	Lean Lab	Vote shares: Lab: 38%; Green: 28%; LD: 11%
Horsham	Cons	LD	Lean LD	Vote shares: LD: 45%; Cons: 36%; Ref: 10%
Houghton and Sunderland South	Lab	Lab	Toss-up Lab	Vote shares: Lab: 41%; Ref: 37%; RB: 12%
Hove and Portslade	Lab	Lab	Lean Lab	Vote shares: Lab: 34%; Green: 24%; Ref: 13%; Cons: 10%
Huddersfield	Lab	Lab	Toss-up Lab	Vote shares: Lab: 29%; Green: 23%; Ref: 22%; Cons: 13%
Huntingdon	Cons	Cons	Lean Cons	Vote shares: Cons: 32%; Ref: 24%; Lab: 16%; LD: 10%
Hyndburn	Cons	Lab	Toss-up Ref	Vote shares: Ref: 28%; Lab: 22%; Cons: 21%; Green: 14%; RB: 11%
Ilford North	Lab	Lab	Toss-up Lab	Vote shares: Lab: 22%; Other: 20%; Cons: 16%; Green: 16%; Ref: 13%
Ilford South	Lab	Lab	Toss-up Green	Vote shares: Green: 28%; Lab: 22%; Other: 18%; Cons: 12%; Ref: 10%
Inverclyde and Renfrewshire West	SNP	Lab	Toss-up Lab	Vote shares: Lab: 34%; SNP: 33%
Inverness, Skye and West Ross-shire	SNP	LD	Lean LD	Vote shares: LD: 45%; SNP: 34%
Ipswich	Cons	Lab	Toss-up Lab	Vote shares: Lab: 23%; Ref: 22%; Cons: 18%; Green: 16%; RB: 10%
Isle of Wight East	Cons	Cons	Lean Cons	Vote shares: Cons: 40%; Ref: 31%
Isle of Wight West	Cons	Lab	Lean Ref	Vote shares: Ref: 31%; Cons: 22%; Lab: 22%; LD: 10%
Islington North	Lab	Ind	Lean Other	Vote shares: Other: 34%; Lab: 24%; Green: 22%
Islington South and Finsbury	Lab	Lab	Toss-up Green	Vote shares: Green: 34%; Lab: 31%
Jarrow and Gateshead East	Lab	Lab	Lean Lab	Vote shares: Lab: 44%; Ref: 34%; RB: 12%
Keighley and Ilkley	Cons	Cons	Toss-up Cons	Vote shares: Cons: 28%; Lab: 26%; Ref: 20%; Green: 11%
Kenilworth and Southam	Cons	Cons	Lean Cons	Vote shares: Cons: 30%; Ref: 22%; LD: 17%; Lab: 16%
Kensington and Bayswater	Lab	Lab	Toss-up Cons	Vote shares: Cons: 28%; Lab: 23%; Green: 14%; Ref: 14%; LD: 10%
Kettering	Cons	Lab	Toss-up Ref	Vote shares: Ref: 28%; Lab: 26%; Cons: 21%; Green: 12%
Kilmarnock and Loudoun	SNP	Lab	Toss-up SNP	Vote shares: SNP: 35%; Lab: 31%; Ref: 11%
Kingston and Surbiton	LD	LD	Likely LD	Vote shares: LD: 39%; Cons: 17%; Green: 13%; Ref: 13%; Lab: 11%
Kingston upon Hull East	Lab	Lab	Toss-up Ref	Vote shares: Ref: 40%; Lab: 36%; RB: 14%
Kingston upon Hull North and Cottingham	Lab	Lab	Lean Lab	Vote shares: Lab: 43%; Ref: 34%; RB: 11%
Kingston upon Hull West and Haltemprice	Cons	Lab	Toss-up Ref	Vote shares: Ref: 40%; Lab: 39%; RB: 10%
Kingswinford and South Staffordshire	Cons	Cons	Lean Cons	Vote shares: Cons: 44%; Ref: 32%
Knowsley	Lab	Lab	Safe Lab	Vote shares: Lab: 55%; Ref: 26%; RB: 10%
Lancaster and Wyre	Cons	Lab	Lean Lab	Vote shares: Lab: 47%; Ref: 36%
Leeds Central and Headingley	Lab	Lab	Lean Green	Vote shares: Green: 38%; Lab: 30%; Ref: 10%
Leeds East	Lab	Lab	Lean Lab	Vote shares: Lab: 43%; Ref: 29%; RB: 10%
Leeds North East	Lab	Lab	Likely Lab	Vote shares: Lab: 38%; Green: 22%; Cons: 14%; Ref: 12%
Leeds North West	Cons	Lab	Likely Lab	Vote shares: Lab: 35%; Ref: 20%; Cons: 18%
Leeds South	Lab	Lab	Lean Lab	Vote shares: Lab: 34%; Green: 23%; Ref: 15%; Cons: 11%
Leeds South West and Morley	Cons	Lab	Toss-up Lab	Vote shares: Lab: 41%; Ref: 38%; RB: 10%
Leeds West and Pudsey	Lab	Lab	Lean Lab	Vote shares: Lab: 39%; Ref: 25%; Cons: 11%; Green: 11%
Leicester East	Lab	Cons	Lean Cons	Vote shares: Cons: 29%; Green: 17%; Lab: 15%; Other: 15%; Ref: 10%
Leicester South	Lab	Ind	Toss-up Lab	Vote shares: Green: 25%; Lab: 25%; Other: 21%
Leicester West	Lab	Lab	Lean Lab	Vote shares: Lab: 34%; Ref: 26%; Cons: 12%; Green: 11%; RB: 11%
Leigh and Atherton	Cons	Lab	Toss-up Lab	Vote shares: Lab: 42%; Ref: 35%; RB: 13%
Lewes	Cons	LD	Likely LD	Vote shares: LD: 41%; Cons: 21%; Ref: 18%
Lewisham East	Lab	Lab	Toss-up Lab	Vote shares: Lab: 33%; Green: 27%; Ref: 12%
Lewisham North	Lab	Lab	Toss-up Green	Vote shares: Green: 38%; Lab: 33%
Lewisham West and East Dulwich	Lab	Lab	Toss-up Lab	Vote shares: Lab: 36%; Green: 34%
Leyton and Wanstead	Lab	Lab	Toss-up Green	Vote shares: Green: 30%; Lab: 29%; Other: 10%
Lichfield	Cons	Lab	Toss-up Ref	Vote shares: Ref: 30%; Cons: 29%; Lab: 18%
Lincoln	Cons	Lab	Toss-up Lab	Vote shares: Lab: 39%; Ref: 35%; RB: 10%
Liverpool Garston	Lab	Lab	Safe Lab	Vote shares: Lab: 51%; Ref: 25%
Liverpool Riverside	Lab	Lab	Lean Lab	Vote shares: Lab: 36%; Green: 28%; Ref: 13%
Liverpool Walton	Lab	Lab	Safe Lab	Vote shares: Lab: 47%; Ref: 19%; Green: 12%; RB: 11%
Liverpool Wavertree	Lab	Lab	Likely Lab	Vote shares: Lab: 41%; Green: 21%; Ref: 14%
Liverpool West Derby	Lab	Lab	Safe Lab	Vote shares: Lab: 44%; Ref: 18%; Green: 13%; RB: 10%
Livingston	SNP	Lab	Lean SNP	Vote shares: SNP: 33%; Lab: 24%; Ref: 15%
Llanelli	Lab	Lab	Toss-up Ref	Vote shares: Ref: 27%; PC: 21%; Lab: 19%; Cons: 12%
Lothian East	SNP	Lab	Lean Lab	Vote shares: Lab: 29%; SNP: 21%; Ref: 14%; Green: 11%; Cons: 10%
Loughborough	Cons	Lab	Toss-up Lab	Vote shares: Lab: 27%; Cons: 22%; Ref: 22%; Green: 14%
Louth and Horncastle	Cons	Cons	Toss-up Cons	Vote shares: Cons: 39%; Ref: 36%
Lowestoft	Cons	Lab	Lean Ref	Vote shares: Ref: 33%; Cons: 21%; Lab: 20%; Green: 10%
Luton North	Lab	Lab	Toss-up Lab	Vote shares: Lab: 22%; Ref: 19%; Green: 16%; Cons: 15%; Other: 14%
Luton South and South Bedfordshire	Lab	Lab	Toss-up Ref	Vote shares: Lab: 20%; Ref: 20%; Green: 16%; Cons: 15%; Other: 14%
Macclesfield	Cons	Lab	Lean Lab	Vote shares: Lab: 33%; Cons: 24%; Ref: 21%
Maidenhead	Cons	LD	Lean LD	Vote shares: LD: 46%; Cons: 37%
Maidstone and Malling	Cons	Cons	Lean Cons	Vote shares: Cons: 35%; Ref: 27%; Lab: 10%; LD: 10%
Makerfield	Lab	Lab	Lean Lab	Vote shares: Lab: 48%; Ref: 36%; RB: 10%
Maldon	Cons	Cons	Lean Cons	Vote shares: Cons: 42%; Ref: 34%
Manchester Central	Lab	Lab	Toss-up Lab	Vote shares: Lab: 31%; Green: 28%; Ref: 15%
Manchester Rusholme	Lab	Lab	Lean Green	Vote shares: Green: 42%; Lab: 28%
Manchester Withington	Lab	Lab	Toss-up Lab	Vote shares: Lab: 37%; Green: 33%
Mansfield	Cons	Lab	Toss-up Ref	Vote shares: Ref: 30%; Lab: 24%; Cons: 20%; RB: 12%
Melksham and Devizes	Cons	LD	Toss-up LD	Vote shares: LD: 42%; Cons: 35%; Ref: 12%
Melton and Syston	Cons	Cons	Lean Cons	Vote shares: Cons: 37%; Ref: 29%; Lab: 14%
Meriden and Solihull East	Cons	Cons	Likely Cons	Vote shares: Cons: 45%; Ref: 28%
Merthyr Tydfil and Aberdare	Lab	Lab	Toss-up Ref	Vote shares: Lab: 27%; Ref: 27%; PC: 11%; RB: 11%; Green: 10%
Mid and South Pembrokeshire	Cons	Lab	Toss-up Ref	Vote shares: Ref: 26%; Cons: 25%; Lab: 17%; PC: 13%
Mid Bedfordshire	Cons	Cons	Toss-up Cons	Vote shares: Cons: 29%; Ref: 23%; Lab: 19%; LD: 11%; Green: 10%
Mid Buckinghamshire	Cons	Cons	Lean Cons	Vote shares: Cons: 32%; LD: 21%; Ref: 21%; Lab: 11%
Mid Cheshire	Cons	Lab	Toss-up Lab	Vote shares: Lab: 40%; Ref: 36%
Mid Derbyshire	Cons	Lab	Toss-up Cons	Vote shares: Cons: 27%; Lab: 27%; Ref: 27%
Mid Dorset and North Poole	Cons	LD	Toss-up LD	Vote shares: LD: 43%; Cons: 37%; Ref: 10%
Mid Dunbartonshire	SNP	LD	Likely LD	Vote shares: LD: 51%; SNP: 27%
Mid Leicestershire	Cons	Cons	Toss-up Cons	Vote shares: Cons: 30%; Ref: 24%; Lab: 21%; Green: 11%
Mid Norfolk	Cons	Cons	Lean Cons	Vote shares: Cons: 42%; Ref: 31%
Mid Sussex	Cons	LD	Likely LD	Vote shares: LD: 44%; Cons: 26%; Ref: 13%
Middlesbrough and Thornaby East	Lab	Lab	Toss-up Lab	Vote shares: Lab: 41%; Ref: 34%; RB: 12%
Middlesbrough South and East Cleveland	Cons	Lab	Toss-up Cons	Vote shares: Cons: 29%; Lab: 26%; Ref: 26%
Midlothian	SNP	Lab	Toss-up Lab	Vote shares: Lab: 37%; SNP: 33%; Ref: 10%
Milton Keynes Central	Cons	Lab	Toss-up Lab	Vote shares: Lab: 23%; Cons: 21%; Ref: 20%; Green: 14%; LD: 13%
Milton Keynes North	Cons	Lab	Toss-up Cons	Vote shares: Cons: 23%; Lab: 23%; Ref: 22%; Green: 13%; LD: 11%
Mitcham and Morden	Lab	Lab	Lean Lab	Vote shares: Lab: 32%; Green: 23%; Ref: 14%; Cons: 12%
Monmouthshire	Cons	Lab	Lean Cons	Vote shares: Cons: 30%; Lab: 22%; Ref: 21%
Montgomeryshire and Glyndŵr	Cons	Lab	Lean Ref	Vote shares: Ref: 28%; Cons: 18%; Lab: 17%; PC: 14%; LD: 10%
Moray West, Nairn and Strathspey	SNP	SNP	Toss-up SNP	Vote shares: Cons: 38%; SNP: 38%
Morecambe and Lunesdale	Cons	Lab	Toss-up Ref	Vote shares: Lab: 29%; Ref: 29%; Cons: 19%
Motherwell, Wishaw and Carluke	SNP	Lab	Toss-up Lab	Vote shares: Lab: 35%; SNP: 33%; Ref: 10%
Na h-Eileanan an Iar	SNP	Lab	Lean Lab	Vote shares: Lab: 28%; SNP: 20%; Other: 18%; Ref: 13%
Neath and Swansea East	Lab	Lab	Toss-up Ref	Vote shares: Ref: 28%; Lab: 24%; PC: 14%; Cons: 10%; RB: 10%
New Forest East	Cons	Cons	Lean Cons	Vote shares: Cons: 43%; Ref: 30%
New Forest West	Cons	Cons	Likely Cons	Vote shares: Cons: 44%; Ref: 29%
Newark	Cons	Cons	Toss-up Cons	Vote shares: Cons: 31%; Ref: 26%; Lab: 22%
Newbury	Cons	LD	Toss-up LD	Vote shares: LD: 41%; Cons: 36%; Ref: 12%
Newcastle upon Tyne Central and West	Lab	Lab	Lean Lab	Vote shares: Lab: 36%; Ref: 24%; Green: 12%; RB: 10%
Newcastle upon Tyne East and Wallsend	Lab	Lab	Lean Lab	Vote shares: Lab: 34%; Ref: 22%; Green: 17%; RB: 10%
Newcastle upon Tyne North	Lab	Lab	Likely Lab	Vote shares: Lab: 35%; Ref: 18%; Green: 15%; Cons: 13%
Newcastle-under-Lyme	Cons	Lab	Toss-up Ref	Vote shares: Ref: 29%; Cons: 22%; Lab: 21%; Green: 10%; LD: 10%
Newport East	Lab	Lab	Toss-up Ref	Vote shares: Ref: 25%; Lab: 24%; Cons: 12%; Green: 12%; RB: 11%
Newport West and Islwyn	Lab	Lab	Toss-up Lab	Vote shares: Lab: 24%; Ref: 24%; Cons: 12%; Green: 12%; RB: 11%
Newton Abbot	Cons	LD	Toss-up LD	Vote shares: LD: 30%; Cons: 23%; Ref: 23%; Lab: 10%
Newton Aycliffe and Spennymoor	Cons	Lab	Toss-up Ref	Vote shares: Ref: 44%; Lab: 38%
Normanton and Hemsworth	Lab	Lab	Toss-up Lab	Vote shares: Lab: 41%; Ref: 36%; RB: 14%
North Ayrshire and Arran	SNP	Lab	Toss-up SNP	Vote shares: SNP: 31%; Lab: 24%; Ref: 14%; Cons: 12%
North Bedfordshire	Cons	Cons	Likely Cons	Vote shares: Cons: 42%; Ref: 27%; Lab: 11%
North Cornwall	Cons	LD	Likely LD	Vote shares: LD: 40%; Ref: 23%; Cons: 21%
North Cotswolds	Cons	Cons	Toss-up Cons	Vote shares: Cons: 28%; LD: 23%; Ref: 21%; Lab: 12%
North Devon	Cons	LD	Lean LD	Vote shares: LD: 36%; Cons: 23%; Ref: 22%
North Dorset	Cons	Cons	Toss-up Cons	Vote shares: Cons: 31%; Ref: 25%; LD: 24%
North Durham	Lab	Lab	Toss-up Ref	Vote shares: Ref: 41%; Lab: 39%
North East Cambridgeshire	Cons	Cons	Toss-up Cons	Vote shares: Cons: 42%; Ref: 35%
North East Derbyshire	Cons	Lab	Toss-up Ref	Vote shares: Ref: 28%; Lab: 26%; Cons: 25%
North East Fife	SNP	LD	Safe LD	Vote shares: LD: 59%; SNP: 23%
North East Hampshire	Cons	LD	Toss-up LD	Vote shares: LD: 40%; Cons: 39%; Ref: 11%
North East Hertfordshire	Cons	Lab	Toss-up Ref	Vote shares: Ref: 25%; Cons: 24%; Lab: 22%; LD: 11%
North East Somerset and Hanham	Cons	Lab	Toss-up Ref	Vote shares: Ref: 26%; Cons: 24%; Lab: 23%; LD: 12%
North Herefordshire	Cons	Green	Toss-up Cons	Vote shares: Cons: 34%; Ref: 28%; Green: 15%
North Norfolk	Cons	LD	Toss-up LD	Vote shares: LD: 31%; Cons: 29%; Ref: 25%
North Northumberland	Cons	Lab	Toss-up Ref	Vote shares: Ref: 29%; Lab: 28%; Cons: 21%
North Shropshire	Cons	LD	Likely LD	Vote shares: LD: 43%; Ref: 25%; Cons: 15%
North Somerset	Cons	Lab	Toss-up Cons	Vote shares: Cons: 27%; Lab: 25%; Ref: 23%; LD: 12%
North Warwickshire and Bedworth	Cons	Lab	Lean Ref	Vote shares: Ref: 34%; Cons: 25%; Lab: 19%
North West Cambridgeshire	Cons	Lab	Toss-up Ref	Vote shares: Ref: 31%; Cons: 28%; Lab: 18%
North West Essex	Cons	Cons	Toss-up Cons	Vote shares: Cons: 30%; Ref: 23%; Lab: 18%; LD: 11%
North West Hampshire	Cons	Cons	Likely Cons	Vote shares: Cons: 40%; Ref: 25%; Lab: 11%
North West Leicestershire	Cons	Lab	Toss-up Ref	Vote shares: Ref: 28%; Cons: 24%; Lab: 23%
North West Norfolk	Cons	Cons	Toss-up Cons	Vote shares: Cons: 40%; Ref: 33%
Northampton North	Cons	Lab	Toss-up Lab	Vote shares: Lab: 33%; Ref: 30%; Cons: 13%
Northampton South	Cons	Lab	Toss-up Ref	Vote shares: Ref: 26%; Cons: 25%; Lab: 23%; Green: 10%
Norwich North	Cons	Lab	Toss-up Lab	Vote shares: Lab: 43%; Ref: 36%
Norwich South	Lab	Lab	Lean Lab	Vote shares: Lab: 33%; Green: 23%; Ref: 17%; Cons: 11%
Nottingham East	Lab	Lab	Lean Lab	Vote shares: Lab: 35%; Green: 26%; Ref: 12%
Nottingham North and Kimberley	Lab	Lab	Lean Lab	Vote shares: Lab: 35%; Ref: 26%; Green: 13%; Cons: 11%; RB: 11%
Nottingham South	Lab	Lab	Lean Lab	Vote shares: Lab: 31%; Green: 20%; Ref: 19%; Cons: 13%
Nuneaton	Cons	Lab	Lean Ref	Vote shares: Ref: 28%; Cons: 20%; Lab: 20%; Green: 12%
Old Bexley and Sidcup	Cons	Cons	Likely Cons	Vote shares: Cons: 46%; Ref: 29%
Oldham East and Saddleworth	Lab	Lab	Toss-up Lab	Vote shares: Lab: 36%; Ref: 36%
Oldham West, Chadderton and Royton	Lab	Lab	Lean Lab	Vote shares: Lab: 35%; Ref: 27%; Other: 14%; RB: 10%
Orkney and Shetland	LD	LD	Safe LD	Vote shares: LD: 55%; SNP: 16%; Green: 12%; Ref: 11%
Orpington	Cons	Cons	Likely Cons	Vote shares: Cons: 44%; Ref: 25%
Ossett and Denby Dale	Cons	Lab	Toss-up Ref	Vote shares: Ref: 27%; Lab: 26%; Cons: 21%
Oxford East	Lab	Lab	Lean Lab	Vote shares: Lab: 32%; Green: 23%; Cons: 11%; Other: 10%; Ref: 10%
Oxford West and Abingdon	LD	LD	Likely LD	Vote shares: LD: 39%; Cons: 17%; Green: 14%; Ref: 13%; Lab: 12%
Paisley and Renfrewshire North	SNP	Lab	Toss-up SNP	Vote shares: Lab: 34%; SNP: 34%; Ref: 10%
Paisley and Renfrewshire South	SNP	Lab	Toss-up SNP	Vote shares: Lab: 34%; SNP: 34%
Peckham	Lab	Lab	Toss-up Green	Vote shares: Green: 36%; Lab: 32%
Pendle and Clitheroe	Cons	Lab	Toss-up Ref	Vote shares: Ref: 30%; Cons: 26%; Lab: 22%
Penistone and Stocksbridge	Cons	Lab	Toss-up Ref	Vote shares: Ref: 42%; Lab: 38%
Penrith and Solway	Cons	Lab	Toss-up Lab	Vote shares: Lab: 28%; Ref: 28%; Cons: 21%
Perth and Kinross-shire	SNP	SNP	Toss-up SNP	Vote shares: SNP: 44%; Cons: 37%
Peterborough	Cons	Lab	Toss-up Ref	Vote shares: Cons: 24%; Ref: 24%; Lab: 18%; Green: 10%
Plymouth Moor View	Cons	Lab	Toss-up Ref	Vote shares: Ref: 29%; Lab: 22%; Cons: 19%; Green: 11%; RB: 11%
Plymouth Sutton and Devonport	Lab	Lab	Lean Lab	Vote shares: Lab: 28%; Ref: 20%; Green: 19%; Cons: 12%; RB: 10%
Pontefract, Castleford and Knottingley	Lab	Lab	Toss-up Lab	Vote shares: Lab: 40%; Ref: 36%; RB: 14%
Pontypridd	Lab	Lab	Toss-up Lab	Vote shares: Lab: 23%; Ref: 20%; PC: 15%; Green: 12%; Cons: 11%; RB: 10%
Poole	Cons	Lab	Toss-up Ref	Vote shares: Ref: 30%; Cons: 29%; Lab: 16%; LD: 10%
Poplar and Limehouse	Lab	Lab	Toss-up Green	Vote shares: Green: 30%; Lab: 26%; Cons: 12%; Ref: 11%
Portsmouth North	Cons	Lab	Toss-up Ref	Vote shares: Ref: 32%; Cons: 27%; Lab: 17%
Portsmouth South	Lab	Lab	Toss-up Lab	Vote shares: Lab: 32%; Ref: 25%; Green: 12%; Cons: 11%
Preston	Lab	Lab	Toss-up Lab	Vote shares: Lab: 25%; Ref: 19%; Green: 14%; Other: 14%; Cons: 12%; RB: 11%
Putney	Lab	Lab	Lean Lab	Vote shares: Lab: 31%; Cons: 21%; Green: 15%; LD: 14%; Ref: 13%
Queen's Park and Maida Vale	Lab	Lab	Toss-up Green	Vote shares: Green: 31%; Lab: 28%; Cons: 10%; Ref: 10%
Rawmarsh and Conisbrough	Lab	Lab	Toss-up Lab	Vote shares: Lab: 40%; Ref: 38%; RB: 11%
Rayleigh and Wickford	Cons	Cons	Toss-up Cons	Vote shares: Cons: 39%; Ref: 36%
Reading Central	Lab	Lab	Lean Lab	Vote shares: Lab: 32%; Green: 20%; Cons: 15%; Ref: 15%
Reading West and Mid Berkshire	Cons	Lab	Toss-up Cons	Vote shares: Cons: 26%; Ref: 24%; Lab: 21%; LD: 12%
Redcar	Cons	Lab	Toss-up Ref	Vote shares: Ref: 31%; Lab: 25%; Cons: 23%; RB: 10%
Redditch	Cons	Lab	Toss-up Ref	Vote shares: Ref: 28%; Cons: 24%; Lab: 20%
Reigate	Cons	Cons	Lean Cons	Vote shares: Cons: 29%; Ref: 21%; Lab: 19%; Green: 13%; LD: 12%
Rhondda and Ogmore	Lab	Lab	Toss-up Lab	Vote shares: Lab: 27%; Ref: 25%; RB: 13%; Green: 12%; PC: 12%
Ribble Valley	Cons	Lab	Toss-up Cons	Vote shares: Cons: 27%; Ref: 26%; Lab: 24%
Richmond and Northallerton	Cons	Cons	Likely Cons	Vote shares: Cons: 48%; Ref: 27%; Lab: 10%
Richmond Park	LD	LD	Safe LD	Vote shares: LD: 57%; Cons: 23%
Rochdale	Lab	Lab	Toss-up Lab	Vote shares: Lab: 25%; Ref: 21%; Other: 16%; Green: 13%; Cons: 11%; RB: 10%
Rochester and Strood	Cons	Lab	Lean Ref	Vote shares: Ref: 31%; Cons: 21%; Lab: 20%; Green: 10%
Romford	Cons	Cons	Lean Cons	Vote shares: Cons: 42%; Ref: 30%
Romsey and Southampton North	Cons	Cons	Toss-up Cons	Vote shares: Cons: 32%; LD: 25%; Ref: 21%
Rossendale and Darwen	Cons	Lab	Toss-up Ref	Vote shares: Lab: 32%; Ref: 32%; Cons: 15%; RB: 10%
Rother Valley	Cons	Lab	Toss-up Ref	Vote shares: Ref: 33%; Cons: 27%; Lab: 23%
Rotherham	Lab	Lab	Lean Lab	Vote shares: Lab: 41%; Ref: 33%; RB: 13%
Rugby	Cons	Lab	Toss-up Ref	Vote shares: Ref: 26%; Cons: 25%; Lab: 22%
Ruislip, Northwood and Pinner	Cons	Cons	Safe Cons	Vote shares: Cons: 41%; Lab: 16%; Ref: 16%; Green: 12%; LD: 11%
Runcorn and Helsby	Lab	Lab	Lean Lab	Vote shares: Lab: 47%; Ref: 37%
Runnymede and Weybridge	Cons	Cons	Lean Cons	Vote shares: Cons: 31%; Ref: 21%; LD: 17%; Lab: 13%
Rushcliffe	Cons	Lab	Toss-up Lab	Vote shares: Lab: 32%; Cons: 27%; Ref: 19%
Rutherglen	SNP	Lab	Toss-up Lab	Vote shares: Lab: 36%; SNP: 32%
Rutland and Stamford	Cons	Cons	Likely Cons	Vote shares: Cons: 44%; Ref: 27%; Lab: 11%
Salford	Lab	Lab	Lean Lab	Vote shares: Lab: 33%; Green: 24%; Ref: 17%; RB: 11%
Salisbury	Cons	Cons	Toss-up Cons	Vote shares: Cons: 29%; LD: 22%; Ref: 19%; Lab: 15%
Scarborough and Whitby	Cons	Lab	Toss-up Ref	Vote shares: Ref: 31%; Lab: 26%; Cons: 22%
Scunthorpe	Cons	Lab	Toss-up Ref	Vote shares: Ref: 29%; Lab: 24%; Cons: 22%; RB: 10%
Sefton Central	Lab	Lab	Likely Lab	Vote shares: Lab: 42%; Ref: 19%; Cons: 13%; Green: 11%
Selby	Cons	Lab	Toss-up Lab	Vote shares: Lab: 41%; Ref: 38%
Sevenoaks	Cons	Cons	Toss-up Cons	Vote shares: Cons: 32%; Ref: 25%; LD: 19%
Sheffield Brightside and Hillsborough	Lab	Lab	Lean Lab	Vote shares: Lab: 35%; Green: 21%; Ref: 14%; Cons: 10%
Sheffield Central	Lab	Lab	Toss-up Lab	Vote shares: Lab: 39%; Green: 35%
Sheffield Hallam	Lab	Lab	Likely Lab	Vote shares: Lab: 37%; LD: 18%; Cons: 14%; Green: 13%; Ref: 12%
Sheffield Heeley	Lab	Lab	Likely Lab	Vote shares: Lab: 38%; Green: 18%; Ref: 15%; Cons: 11%
Sheffield South East	Lab	Lab	Likely Lab	Vote shares: Lab: 35%; Ref: 20%; Cons: 13%; Green: 12%
Sherwood Forest	Cons	Lab	Toss-up Ref	Vote shares: Ref: 31%; Lab: 26%; Cons: 21%
Shipley	Cons	Lab	Lean Lab	Vote shares: Lab: 32%; Ref: 23%; Cons: 22%; Green: 10%
Shrewsbury	Cons	Lab	Toss-up Lab	Vote shares: Lab: 37%; Ref: 35%; Cons: 10%
Sittingbourne and Sheppey	Cons	Lab	Lean Ref	Vote shares: Ref: 33%; Cons: 22%; Lab: 15%
Skipton and Ripon	Cons	Cons	Toss-up Cons	Vote shares: Cons: 29%; Ref: 26%; Lab: 23%
Sleaford and North Hykeham	Cons	Cons	Lean Cons	Vote shares: Cons: 41%; Ref: 31%; Lab: 10%
Slough	Lab	Lab	Toss-up Lab	Vote shares: Lab: 20%; Other: 19%; Cons: 17%; Green: 16%; Ref: 15%
Smethwick	Lab	Lab	Toss-up Lab	Vote shares: Lab: 25%; Green: 22%; Ref: 18%; Cons: 10%; RB: 10%
Solihull West and Shirley	Cons	Cons	Lean Cons	Vote shares: Cons: 36%; Ref: 24%; Lab: 13%; LD: 11%
South Basildon and East Thurrock	Cons	Ref	Likely Ref	Vote shares: Ref: 33%; Cons: 18%; Lab: 18%; RB: 14%
South Cambridgeshire	Cons	LD	Safe LD	Vote shares: LD: 54%; Cons: 28%
South Cotswolds	Cons	LD	Lean LD	Vote shares: LD: 46%; Cons: 35%; Ref: 10%
South Derbyshire	Cons	Lab	Toss-up Ref	Vote shares: Lab: 26%; Ref: 26%; Cons: 22%; RB: 10%
South Devon	Cons	LD	Lean LD	Vote shares: LD: 41%; Cons: 30%; Ref: 16%
South Dorset	Cons	Lab	Lean Ref	Vote shares: Ref: 30%; Cons: 22%; Lab: 18%; LD: 16%
South East Cornwall	Cons	Lab	Toss-up Ref	Vote shares: Ref: 30%; Cons: 23%; Lab: 17%; LD: 17%
South Holland and The Deepings	Cons	Cons	Toss-up Cons	Vote shares: Cons: 39%; Ref: 35%
South Leicestershire	Cons	Cons	Likely Cons	Vote shares: Cons: 44%; Ref: 29%
South Norfolk	Cons	Lab	Toss-up Ref	Vote shares: Cons: 24%; Ref: 24%; Lab: 20%; LD: 14%; Green: 10%
South Northamptonshire	Cons	Cons	Lean Cons	Vote shares: Cons: 33%; Ref: 25%; Lab: 17%
South Ribble	Cons	Lab	Toss-up Lab	Vote shares: Lab: 28%; Ref: 27%; Cons: 22%
South Shields	Lab	Lab	Lean Lab	Vote shares: Lab: 44%; Ref: 34%
South Shropshire	Cons	Cons	Toss-up Cons	Vote shares: Cons: 27%; Ref: 25%; LD: 24%
South Suffolk	Cons	Cons	Toss-up Cons	Vote shares: Cons: 31%; Ref: 28%; Lab: 15%; LD: 10%
South West Devon	Cons	Cons	Toss-up Cons	Vote shares: Cons: 31%; Ref: 26%; Lab: 15%; LD: 10%
South West Hertfordshire	Cons	Cons	Lean Cons	Vote shares: Cons: 29%; LD: 21%; Ref: 20%; Lab: 12%; Green: 10%
South West Norfolk	Cons	Lab	Likely Ref	Vote shares: Ref: 35%; Cons: 20%; Lab: 17%
South West Wiltshire	Cons	Cons	Lean Cons	Vote shares: Cons: 39%; Ref: 27%
Southampton Itchen	Cons	Lab	Toss-up Ref	Vote shares: Ref: 28%; Lab: 27%; Cons: 16%; Green: 11%
Southampton Test	Lab	Lab	Toss-up Lab	Vote shares: Lab: 26%; Green: 20%; Ref: 20%; Cons: 14%
Southend East and Rochford	Cons	Lab	Toss-up Ref	Vote shares: Ref: 28%; Cons: 22%; Lab: 21%; Green: 11%
Southend West and Leigh	Cons	Lab	Toss-up Ref	Vote shares: Ref: 27%; Cons: 24%; Lab: 21%
Southgate and Wood Green	Lab	Lab	Lean Lab	Vote shares: Lab: 30%; Green: 22%; Cons: 15%; Ref: 14%; LD: 10%
Southport	Cons	Lab	Toss-up Ref	Vote shares: Ref: 33%; Lab: 32%; Cons: 15%
Spelthorne	Cons	Cons	Toss-up Cons	Vote shares: Cons: 25%; Ref: 22%; LD: 19%; Lab: 15%; Green: 12%
Spen Valley	Cons	Lab	Toss-up Ref	Vote shares: Ref: 33%; Lab: 26%; Cons: 19%
St Albans	LD	LD	Safe LD	Vote shares: LD: 44%; Cons: 17%; Ref: 13%; Green: 12%; Lab: 10%
St Austell and Newquay	Cons	Lab	Toss-up Ref	Vote shares: Ref: 31%; Cons: 26%; Lab: 16%; LD: 12%
St Helens North	Lab	Lab	Lean Lab	Vote shares: Lab: 47%; Ref: 33%; RB: 10%
St Helens South and Whiston	Lab	Lab	Likely Lab	Vote shares: Lab: 47%; Ref: 30%
St Ives	Cons	LD	Likely LD	Vote shares: LD: 40%; Ref: 22%; Cons: 19%
St Neots and Mid Cambridgeshire	Cons	LD	Lean LD	Vote shares: LD: 43%; Cons: 29%; Ref: 11%
Stafford	Cons	Lab	Toss-up Ref	Vote shares: Ref: 27%; Lab: 25%; Cons: 22%; Green: 10%
Staffordshire Moorlands	Cons	Cons	Toss-up Cons	Vote shares: Cons: 34%; Ref: 32%; Lab: 13%
Stalybridge and Hyde	Lab	Lab	Lean Lab	Vote shares: Lab: 42%; Ref: 34%
Stevenage	Cons	Lab	Toss-up Lab	Vote shares: Lab: 31%; Ref: 30%; Cons: 13%; RB: 10%
Stirling and Strathallan	SNP	Lab	Lean SNP	Vote shares: SNP: 30%; Cons: 18%; Lab: 17%; Ref: 13%
Stockport	Lab	Lab	Likely Lab	Vote shares: Lab: 37%; Ref: 19%; Green: 16%; Cons: 10%
Stockton North	Lab	Lab	Toss-up Lab	Vote shares: Lab: 39%; Ref: 39%; RB: 12%
Stockton West	Cons	Cons	Lean Cons	Vote shares: Cons: 34%; Lab: 24%; Ref: 23%
Stoke-on-Trent Central	Cons	Lab	Toss-up Lab	Vote shares: Lab: 33%; Ref: 32%; RB: 11%
Stoke-on-Trent North	Cons	Lab	Lean Ref	Vote shares: Ref: 33%; Lab: 22%; Cons: 18%; RB: 10%
Stoke-on-Trent South	Cons	Lab	Toss-up Cons	Vote shares: Cons: 34%; Ref: 33%; Lab: 13%
Stone, Great Wyrley and Penkridge	Cons	Cons	Likely Cons	Vote shares: Cons: 35%; Ref: 20%; Lab: 18%
Stourbridge	Cons	Lab	Toss-up Ref	Vote shares: Ref: 29%; Cons: 25%; Lab: 21%
Stratford and Bow	Lab	Lab	Lean Green	Vote shares: Green: 34%; Lab: 26%; Other: 14%
Stratford-on-Avon	Cons	LD	Lean LD	Vote shares: LD: 37%; Cons: 27%; Ref: 19%
Streatham and Croydon North	Lab	Lab	Toss-up Lab	Vote shares: Lab: 32%; Green: 29%; Cons: 10%; LD: 10%; Ref: 10%
Stretford and Urmston	Lab	Lab	Likely Lab	Vote shares: Lab: 35%; Green: 19%; Ref: 15%; Cons: 11%
Stroud	Cons	Lab	Lean Lab	Vote shares: Lab: 38%; Ref: 25%; Cons: 15%
Suffolk Coastal	Cons	Lab	Lean Ref	Vote shares: Ref: 29%; Cons: 21%; Lab: 21%; LD: 14%
Sunderland Central	Lab	Lab	Toss-up Lab	Vote shares: Lab: 41%; Ref: 38%; RB: 10%
Surrey Heath	Cons	LD	Lean LD	Vote shares: LD: 45%; Cons: 35%; Ref: 10%
Sussex Weald	Cons	Cons	Lean Cons	Vote shares: Cons: 37%; Ref: 28%; LD: 10%
Sutton and Cheam	Cons	LD	Likely LD	Vote shares: LD: 49%; Cons: 33%
Sutton Coldfield	Cons	Cons	Lean Cons	Vote shares: Cons: 33%; Ref: 22%; Lab: 18%; Green: 10%
Swansea West	Lab	Lab	Toss-up Lab	Vote shares: Lab: 21%; Ref: 20%; Green: 14%; PC: 13%; Cons: 11%; RB: 11%
Swindon North	Cons	Lab	Toss-up Ref	Vote shares: Ref: 24%; Cons: 23%; Lab: 23%; Green: 11%
Swindon South	Cons	Lab	Toss-up Lab	Vote shares: Lab: 27%; Cons: 20%; Ref: 20%; Green: 15%
Tamworth	Cons	Lab	Lean Ref	Vote shares: Ref: 32%; Cons: 23%; Lab: 19%
Tatton	Cons	Cons	Lean Cons	Vote shares: Cons: 33%; Lab: 25%; Ref: 21%
Taunton and Wellington	Cons	LD	Likely LD	Vote shares: LD: 38%; Ref: 22%; Cons: 20%
Telford	Cons	Lab	Toss-up Lab	Vote shares: Lab: 38%; Ref: 37%; RB: 13%
Tewkesbury	Cons	LD	Lean LD	Vote shares: LD: 37%; Cons: 24%; Ref: 19%
The Wrekin	Cons	Cons	Lean Cons	Vote shares: Cons: 35%; Ref: 26%; Lab: 12%
Thirsk and Malton	Cons	Cons	Lean Cons	Vote shares: Cons: 44%; Ref: 31%; Lab: 10%
Thornbury and Yate	Cons	LD	Toss-up LD	Vote shares: LD: 38%; Cons: 31%; Ref: 16%
Thurrock	Cons	Lab	Toss-up Ref	Vote shares: Ref: 34%; Lab: 28%; Cons: 12%; RB: 11%
Tipton and Wednesbury	Cons	Lab	Lean Ref	Vote shares: Ref: 31%; Lab: 20%; Cons: 16%; RB: 14%; Green: 10%
Tiverton and Minehead	Cons	LD	Toss-up LD	Vote shares: LD: 32%; Cons: 26%; Ref: 23%
Tonbridge	Cons	Cons	Likely Cons	Vote shares: Cons: 44%; Ref: 27%
Tooting	Lab	Lab	Toss-up Lab	Vote shares: Lab: 34%; Green: 27%; Cons: 14%
Torbay	Cons	LD	Lean LD	Vote shares: LD: 35%; Cons: 24%; Ref: 24%
Torfaen	Lab	Lab	Toss-up Ref	Vote shares: Ref: 28%; Lab: 25%; RB: 12%; Green: 11%; Cons: 10%
Torridge and Tavistock	Cons	Cons	Toss-up Cons	Vote shares: Cons: 29%; Ref: 28%; LD: 16%; Lab: 12%
Tottenham	Lab	Lab	Toss-up Green	Vote shares: Green: 35%; Lab: 31%
Truro and Falmouth	Cons	Lab	Toss-up Lab	Vote shares: Lab: 30%; Ref: 26%; Cons: 18%; LD: 12%
Tunbridge Wells	Cons	LD	Likely LD	Vote shares: LD: 44%; Cons: 25%; Ref: 13%
Twickenham	LD	LD	Safe LD	Vote shares: LD: 45%; Cons: 16%; Green: 12%; Lab: 11%; Ref: 11%
Tynemouth	Lab	Lab	Likely Lab	Vote shares: Lab: 38%; Ref: 20%; Cons: 15%; Green: 12%
Uxbridge and South Ruislip	Cons	Lab	Lean Cons	Vote shares: Cons: 32%; Ref: 24%; Lab: 19%; Green: 12%
Vale of Glamorgan	Cons	Lab	Toss-up Cons	Vote shares: Cons: 25%; Ref: 22%; Lab: 21%
Vauxhall and Camberwell Green	Lab	Lab	Toss-up Green	Vote shares: Green: 35%; Lab: 32%; LD: 10%
Wakefield and Rothwell	Cons	Lab	Lean Lab	Vote shares: Lab: 42%; Ref: 33%; RB: 11%
Wallasey	Lab	Lab	Likely Lab	Vote shares: Lab: 46%; Ref: 24%
Walsall and Bloxwich	Cons	Lab	Lean Ref	Vote shares: Ref: 28%; Lab: 20%; Cons: 17%; Green: 12%; Other: 10%
Walthamstow	Lab	Lab	Toss-up Green	Vote shares: Green: 36%; Lab: 33%
Warrington North	Lab	Lab	Lean Lab	Vote shares: Lab: 44%; Ref: 33%; RB: 12%
Warrington South	Lab	Lab	Lean Lab	Vote shares: Lab: 37%; Ref: 27%; Cons: 14%; RB: 10%
Warwick and Leamington	Lab	Lab	Lean Lab	Vote shares: Lab: 34%; Ref: 20%; Cons: 17%; Green: 12%
Washington and Gateshead South	Lab	Lab	Lean Lab	Vote shares: Lab: 42%; Ref: 34%; RB: 13%
Watford	Cons	Lab	Toss-up Ref	Vote shares: Ref: 23%; Cons: 20%; Lab: 20%; LD: 15%
Waveney Valley	Cons	Green	Toss-up Ref	Vote shares: Ref: 27%; Cons: 22%; Green: 21%; Lab: 12%; LD: 10%
Weald of Kent	Cons	Cons	Lean Cons	Vote shares: Cons: 44%; Ref: 31%
Wellingborough and Rushden	Cons	Lab	Toss-up Ref	Vote shares: Ref: 30%; Cons: 24%; Lab: 22%; Green: 10%
Wells and Mendip Hills	Cons	LD	Likely LD	Vote shares: LD: 38%; Ref: 21%; Cons: 20%
Welwyn Hatfield	Cons	Lab	Toss-up Cons	Vote shares: Cons: 25%; Lab: 23%; Ref: 23%; Green: 11%
West Aberdeenshire and Kincardine	Cons	Cons	Lean Cons	Vote shares: Cons: 45%; SNP: 34%
West Bromwich	Cons	Lab	Toss-up Lab	Vote shares: Lab: 38%; Ref: 33%; RB: 12%
West Dorset	Cons	LD	Lean LD	Vote shares: LD: 48%; Cons: 35%
West Dunbartonshire	SNP	Lab	Toss-up SNP	Vote shares: SNP: 36%; Lab: 34%
West Ham and Beckton	Lab	Lab	Toss-up Green	Vote shares: Green: 27%; Lab: 25%; Other: 13%; Ref: 12%
West Lancashire	Lab	Lab	Lean Lab	Vote shares: Lab: 46%; Ref: 35%
West Suffolk	Cons	Cons	Lean Cons	Vote shares: Cons: 40%; Ref: 29%
West Worcestershire	Cons	Cons	Lean Cons	Vote shares: Cons: 36%; Ref: 27%; LD: 13%
Westmorland and Lonsdale	Cons	LD	Likely LD	Vote shares: LD: 40%; Cons: 19%; Ref: 19%
Weston-super-Mare	Cons	Lab	Toss-up Ref	Vote shares: Ref: 28%; Cons: 22%; Lab: 20%; LD: 12%; Green: 10%
Wetherby and Easingwold	Cons	Cons	Lean Cons	Vote shares: Cons: 33%; Ref: 23%; Lab: 22%
Whitehaven and Workington	Cons	Lab	Toss-up Lab	Vote shares: Lab: 43%; Ref: 37%; RB: 11%
Widnes and Halewood	Lab	Lab	Safe Lab	Vote shares: Lab: 52%; Ref: 27%; RB: 11%
Wigan	Lab	Lab	Lean Lab	Vote shares: Lab: 42%; Ref: 32%; RB: 12%
Wimbledon	Cons	LD	Likely LD	Vote shares: LD: 40%; Cons: 20%; Lab: 15%; Green: 10%; Ref: 10%
Winchester	Cons	LD	Safe LD	Vote shares: LD: 55%; Cons: 28%
Windsor	Cons	Cons	Lean Cons	Vote shares: Cons: 31%; Ref: 19%; LD: 16%; Lab: 13%; Green: 11%
Wirral West	Lab	Lab	Lean Lab	Vote shares: Lab: 35%; Cons: 22%; Ref: 22%
Witham	Cons	Cons	Lean Cons	Vote shares: Cons: 42%; Ref: 30%
Witney	Cons	LD	Lean LD	Vote shares: LD: 42%; Cons: 31%; Ref: 13%
Woking	Cons	LD	Likely LD	Vote shares: LD: 49%; Cons: 26%; Ref: 11%
Wokingham	Cons	LD	Likely LD	Vote shares: LD: 49%; Cons: 34%
Wolverhampton North East	Cons	Lab	Lean Ref	Vote shares: Ref: 30%; Cons: 20%; Lab: 20%; Green: 11%; RB: 10%
Wolverhampton South East	Lab	Lab	Toss-up Lab	Vote shares: Lab: 37%; Ref: 31%; RB: 13%
Wolverhampton West	Cons	Lab	Toss-up Lab	Vote shares: Lab: 26%; Ref: 22%; Cons: 21%; Green: 12%
Worcester	Cons	Lab	Toss-up Lab	Vote shares: Lab: 40%; Ref: 33%
Worsley and Eccles	Lab	Lab	Lean Lab	Vote shares: Lab: 45%; Ref: 32%; RB: 10%
Worthing West	Cons	Lab	Toss-up Cons	Vote shares: Cons: 25%; Ref: 25%; Lab: 24%
Wrexham	Cons	Lab	Toss-up Ref	Vote shares: Ref: 26%; Lab: 21%; Cons: 20%; PC: 14%
Wycombe	Cons	Lab	Toss-up Lab	Vote shares: Lab: 23%; Cons: 22%; Ref: 21%; LD: 12%; Green: 10%
Wyre Forest	Cons	Cons	Lean Cons	Vote shares: Cons: 40%; Ref: 30%
Wythenshawe and Sale East	Lab	Lab	Likely Lab	Vote shares: Lab: 37%; Ref: 19%; Green: 17%; Cons: 11%; RB: 10%
Yeovil	Cons	LD	Lean LD	Vote shares: LD: 38%; Ref: 24%; Cons: 20%
Ynys Môn	Cons	PC	Toss-up Cons	Vote shares: Cons: 24%; PC: 23%; Ref: 21%; Lab: 16%
York Central	Lab	Lab	Likely Lab	Vote shares: Lab: 38%; Green: 23%; Ref: 14%; Cons: 10%
York Outer	Cons	Lab	Toss-up Lab	Vote shares: Lab: 29%; Ref: 24%; Cons: 23%; LD: 11%