East Renfrewshire
Official Parliament web pageCurrent MP
Name: Blair McDougall
Party: Labour
Official Parliament web page
Who Can I Vote For?
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2029 election
No candidates have been declared for 2029 yet.
Projections
| Projection | Projected result | Description |
|---|---|---|
| ElectoralCalculus/PLMR January 2026 | Toss-up SNP | Vote shares: SNP: 28.0%; Lab: 22.0%; Ref: 22.0%; Cons: 14.0% |
| More in Common January 2026 | Lean SNP | Vote shares: SNP: 36.0%; Ref: 24.0%; Lab: 16.0%; Cons: 13.0% |
| ElectoralCalculus/PLMR October 2025 | Toss-up SNP | Vote shares: SNP: 28.0%; Ref: 25.0%; Lab: 23.0%; Cons: 12.0% |
| YouGov September 2025 | Lean Lab | Vote shares: Lab: 31.0%; SNP: 21.0%; Ref: 20.0%; Cons: 10.0% |
| More in Common September 2025 | Toss-up SNP | Vote shares: SNP: 26.0%; Lab: 24.0%; Ref: 24.0%; Cons: 13.0% |
| More in Common July 2025 | Toss-up SNP | Vote shares: Lab: 30.0%; SNP: 30.0%; Cons: 21.0%; Ref: 11.0% |
| ElectoralCalculus/PLMR June 2025 | Toss-up Lab | Vote shares: Lab: 32.0%; SNP: 29.0%; Cons: 15.0%; Ref: 13.0% |
| YouGov June 2025 | Toss-up Lab | Vote shares: Lab: 28.0%; SNP: 27.0%; Ref: 19.0%; Cons: 12.0% |
| ElectoralCalculus/PLMR April 2025 | Toss-up Lab | Vote shares: Lab: 30.0%; SNP: 29.0%; Cons: 15.0%; Ref: 14.0% |
| More in Common April 2025 | Toss-up SNP | Vote shares: SNP: 23.0%; Lab: 22.0%; Cons: 19.0%; Ref: 17.0% |
| ElectoralCalculus/PLMR Feb 2025 | Toss-up SNP | Vote shares: SNP: 30.0%; Lab: 29.0%; Cons: 15.0%; Ref: 12.0% |
| Focaldata Jan 2025 | Toss-up Lab | Vote shares: Lab: 31.0%; SNP: 24.0%; Cons: 21.0%; Ref: 12.0% |
| More in Common Dec 2024 | Safe Lab | Victory chances: Lab: 100.0% |
2024 results
Winning party: Labour
Majority: 8421 (16.76%)
Turnout: 67.30%
| Candidate | Party | Votes | Share |
|---|---|---|---|
| Blair McDougall | Labour Party | 21935 | 43.7% |
| Kirsten Frances Oswald | Scottish National Party (SNP) | 13514 | 26.9% |
| Sandesh Gulhane | Conservative and Unionist Party | 8494 | 16.9% |
| Matt Alexander | Reform UK | 2360 | 4.7% |
| Karen Sharkey | Scottish Green Party | 1510 | 3.0% |
| Alan Grant | Liberal Democrats | 1150 | 2.3% |
| Maria Reid | Scottish Family Party | 487 | 1.0% |
| Allan Steele | The Liberal Party | 481 | 1.0% |
| Colette Walker | Independence for Scotland Party | 296 | 0.6% |
More details on "Who Can I Vote For?"
2019 notional results
(See the about page for more information about the nature of these results.)
Winning party: Scottish National
Majority: 5426 (9.80%)
Turnout: 75.9%
| Party | Votes | Share |
|---|---|---|
| Scottish National | 24877 | 44.9% |
| Conservative | 19451 | 35.1% |
| Labour | 6855 | 12.4% |
| Liberal Democrats | 4174 | 7.5% |