Rayleigh and Wickford

Current MP

No candidates have been declared for 2029 yet.

Projection	Projected result	Description
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR January 2026	Toss-up Ref	Vote shares: Ref: 44.0%; Cons: 40.0%
More in Common January 2026	Likely Ref	Vote shares: Ref: 46.0%; Cons: 28.0%; Lab: 12.0%
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR October 2025	Lean Ref	Vote shares: Ref: 48.0%; Cons: 35.0%
YouGov September 2025	Lean Ref	Vote shares: Ref: 38.0%; Cons: 27.0%; Lab: 13.0%; LD: 11.0%
More in Common September 2025	Lean Ref	Vote shares: Ref: 38.0%; Cons: 27.0%; LD: 17.0%; Lab: 10.0%
More in Common July 2025	Lean Ref	Vote shares: Ref: 35.0%; Cons: 27.0%; LD: 17.0%; Lab: 15.0%
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR June 2025	Likely Ref	Vote shares: Ref: 42.0%; Cons: 26.0%; Lab: 15.0%
YouGov June 2025	Lean Ref	Vote shares: Ref: 38.0%; Cons: 26.0%; Lab: 15.0%; LD: 11.0%
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR April 2025	Toss-up Ref	Vote shares: Cons: 34.0%; Ref: 34.0%; Lab: 16.0%
More in Common April 2025	Toss-up Ref	Vote shares: Ref: 33.0%; Cons: 31.0%; Lab: 15.0%; LD: 13.0%
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR Feb 2025	Toss-up Cons	Vote shares: Cons: 36.0%; Ref: 33.0%; Lab: 13.0%
Focaldata Jan 2025	Toss-up Cons	Vote shares: Cons: 35.0%; Ref: 32.0%; Lab: 17.0%; LD: 10.0%
More in Common Dec 2024	Safe Cons	Victory chances: Cons: 100.0%

Winning party: Conservative
Majority: 5621 (11.71%)
Turnout: 62.78%

Candidate	Party	Votes	Share
Mark Francois	Conservative and Unionist Party	17756	37.0%
Grant Robert Joseph Randall	Reform UK	12135	25.3%
James Hedges	Labour Party	11823	24.6%
Stewart Mott	Liberal Democrats	4068	8.5%
Chris Taylor	Green Party	2196	4.6%

(See the about page for more information about the nature of these results.)

Winning party: Conservative
Majority: 30348 (57.26%)
Turnout: 69.3%