Hamble Valley
Official Parliament web pageCurrent MP
Name: Paul Holmes
Party: Conservative
Official Parliament web page
Who Can I Vote For?
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2029 election
No candidates have been declared for 2029 yet.
Projections
| Projection | Projected result | Description |
|---|---|---|
| ElectoralCalculus/PLMR April 2026 | Toss-up Cons | Vote shares: Cons: 29%; Ref: 25%; LD: 21%; Lab: 10% |
| More in Common April 2026 | Toss-up Cons | Vote shares: Cons: 30%; Ref: 27%; LD: 23%; Lab: 12% |
| ElectoralCalculus/PLMR January 2026 | Lean Cons | Vote shares: Cons: 39%; Ref: 31%; LD: 13% |
| More in Common January 2026 | Toss-up Ref | Vote shares: Cons: 29%; Ref: 29%; LD: 19%; Lab: 13% |
| ElectoralCalculus/PLMR October 2025 | Lean Ref | Vote shares: Ref: 34%; Cons: 26%; LD: 19%; Lab: 11% |
| YouGov September 2025 | Toss-up Cons | Vote shares: Cons: 29%; LD: 28%; Ref: 24%; Lab: 10% |
| More in Common September 2025 | Toss-up Cons | Vote shares: Cons: 28%; LD: 28%; Ref: 28% |
| More in Common July 2025 | Toss-up Cons | Vote shares: Cons: 30%; LD: 29%; Ref: 21%; Lab: 14% |
| ElectoralCalculus/PLMR June 2025 | Toss-up Ref | Vote shares: Ref: 30%; Cons: 28%; LD: 22%; Lab: 12% |
| YouGov June 2025 | Toss-up LD | Vote shares: Cons: 29%; LD: 29%; Ref: 23%; Lab: 10% |
| ElectoralCalculus/PLMR April 2025 | Lean Cons | Vote shares: Cons: 34%; Ref: 23%; LD: 21%; Lab: 13% |
| More in Common April 2025 | Toss-up Cons | Vote shares: Cons: 32%; LD: 27%; Ref: 20%; Lab: 13% |
| ElectoralCalculus/PLMR Feb 2025 | Lean Cons | Vote shares: Cons: 35%; Ref: 23%; LD: 21%; Lab: 13% |
| Focaldata Jan 2025 | Lean Cons | Vote shares: Cons: 35%; LD: 26%; Ref: 22%; Lab: 12% |
| More in Common Dec 2024 | Safe Cons | Victory chances: Cons: 100% |
2024 results
Winning party: Conservative
Majority: 4802 (8.89%)
Turnout: 67.95%
| Candidate | Party | Votes | Share |
|---|---|---|---|
| Paul Holmes | Conservative and Unionist Party | 19671 | 36.4% |
| Prad Bains | Liberal Democrats | 14869 | 27.5% |
| Devina Marylyn Paul | Labour Party | 8753 | 16.2% |
| Caroline Anne Gladwin | Reform UK | 8216 | 15.2% |
| Kate Needham | Green Party | 2310 | 4.3% |
| Binka Griffin | Hampshire Independents | 185 | 0.3% |
More details on "Who Can I Vote For?"
2019 notional results
(See the About page for more information about the nature of these results.)
Winning party: Conservative
Majority: 23488 (41.17%)
Turnout: 74.2%
| Party | Votes | Share |
|---|---|---|
| Conservative | 35497 | 62.2% |
| Liberal Democrats | 12009 | 21.1% |
| Labour | 7739 | 13.6% |
| Green | 1796 | 3.1% |