South West Devon

Current MP

No candidates have been declared for 2029 yet.

Projection	Projected result	Description
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR January 2026	Toss-up Ref	Vote shares: Ref: 38.0%; Cons: 37.0%; Lab: 10.0%
More in Common January 2026	Lean Ref	Vote shares: Ref: 36.0%; Cons: 28.0%; Lab: 19.0%
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR October 2025	Toss-up Ref	Vote shares: Ref: 38.0%; Cons: 32.0%; Lab: 13.0%
YouGov September 2025	Toss-up Ref	Vote shares: Ref: 30.0%; Cons: 25.0%; LD: 16.0%; Lab: 15.0%; Green: 11.0%
More in Common September 2025	Lean Ref	Vote shares: Ref: 37.0%; Cons: 25.0%; Lab: 16.0%; LD: 12.0%
More in Common July 2025	Toss-up Ref	Vote shares: Ref: 26.0%; Cons: 25.0%; Lab: 22.0%; LD: 20.0%
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR June 2025	Toss-up Ref	Vote shares: Ref: 33.0%; Cons: 26.0%; Lab: 20.0%; LD: 12.0%
YouGov June 2025	Toss-up Ref	Vote shares: Ref: 30.0%; Cons: 26.0%; Lab: 20.0%; LD: 13.0%
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR April 2025	Toss-up Cons	Vote shares: Cons: 31.0%; Ref: 27.0%; Lab: 20.0%; LD: 11.0%
More in Common April 2025	Lean Cons	Vote shares: Cons: 34.0%; Ref: 25.0%; Lab: 21.0%; LD: 11.0%
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR Feb 2025	Lean Cons	Vote shares: Cons: 34.0%; Ref: 25.0%; Lab: 19.0%; LD: 11.0%
Focaldata Jan 2025	Toss-up Cons	Vote shares: Cons: 33.0%; Ref: 27.0%; Lab: 23.0%; LD: 10.0%
More in Common Dec 2024	Safe Cons	Victory chances: Cons: 100.0%

Winning party: Conservative
Majority: 2112 (4.04%)
Turnout: 67.32%

Candidate	Party	Votes	Share
Rebecca Smith	Conservative and Unionist Party	17916	34.3%
Sarah Allen	Labour Party	15804	30.3%
Steve Horner	Reform UK	9361	17.9%
Julian Brazil	Liberal Democrats	5551	10.6%
Lauren McLay	Green Party	2925	5.6%
Alan Charles Spencer	Independent	438	0.8%
Ben Davy	Trade Unionist and Socialist Coalition	141	0.3%
Darryl Christian Ingram	Heritage Party	106	0.2%

(See the about page for more information about the nature of these results.)

Winning party: Conservative
Majority: 23090 (41.15%)
Turnout: 74.4%