Central Ayrshire
Official Parliament web pageCurrent MP
Name: Alan Gemmell
Party: Labour
Official Parliament web page
Who Can I Vote For?
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2029 election
No candidates have been declared for 2029 yet.
Projections
| Projection | Projected result | Description |
|---|---|---|
| ElectoralCalculus/PLMR April 2026 | Lean SNP | Vote shares: SNP: 30%; Lab: 17%; Ref: 17%; Cons: 15%; Green: 14% |
| More in Common April 2026 | Toss-up Ref | Vote shares: Ref: 29%; SNP: 26%; Lab: 17%; Cons: 14% |
| ElectoralCalculus/PLMR January 2026 | Toss-up SNP | Vote shares: SNP: 28%; Ref: 26%; Lab: 22%; Cons: 12% |
| More in Common January 2026 | Toss-up Ref | Vote shares: Ref: 32%; SNP: 28%; Lab: 16%; Cons: 13% |
| ElectoralCalculus/PLMR October 2025 | Toss-up Ref | Vote shares: Ref: 29%; SNP: 29%; Lab: 22% |
| YouGov September 2025 | Toss-up Ref | Vote shares: Ref: 29%; Lab: 23%; SNP: 23% |
| More in Common September 2025 | Toss-up Ref | Vote shares: Ref: 29%; SNP: 27%; Lab: 23%; Cons: 11% |
| More in Common July 2025 | Lean SNP | Vote shares: SNP: 33%; Lab: 24%; Ref: 21%; Cons: 14% |
| ElectoralCalculus/PLMR June 2025 | Toss-up Lab | Vote shares: Lab: 32%; SNP: 29%; Ref: 16%; Cons: 13% |
| YouGov June 2025 | Toss-up SNP | Vote shares: SNP: 28%; Ref: 25%; Lab: 24%; Cons: 10% |
| ElectoralCalculus/PLMR April 2025 | Toss-up Lab | Vote shares: Lab: 30%; SNP: 29%; Ref: 17%; Cons: 13% |
| More in Common April 2025 | Toss-up Lab | Vote shares: Lab: 24%; SNP: 23%; Cons: 22%; Ref: 17% |
| ElectoralCalculus/PLMR Feb 2025 | Toss-up SNP | Vote shares: SNP: 30%; Lab: 29%; Ref: 16%; Cons: 13% |
| Focaldata Jan 2025 | Toss-up SNP | Vote shares: SNP: 29%; Lab: 28%; Cons: 18%; Ref: 16% |
| More in Common Dec 2024 | Safe SNP | Victory chances: SNP: 100% |
2024 results
Winning party: Labour
Majority: 6869 (16.58%)
Turnout: 59.67%
| Candidate | Party | Votes | Share |
|---|---|---|---|
| Alan Gemmell | Labour Party | 18091 | 43.7% |
| Annie McIndoe | Scottish National Party (SNP) | 11222 | 27.1% |
| David Rocks | Conservative and Unionist Party | 6147 | 14.8% |
| Kevin Thomas Blades | Reform UK | 3420 | 8.3% |
| Tom Kerr | Scottish Green Party | 1039 | 2.5% |
| Elaine Ford | Liberal Democrats | 983 | 2.4% |
| Louise McDaid | Socialist Labour Party | 329 | 0.8% |
| Allan MacMillan | Social Democratic Party | 188 | 0.5% |
More details on "Who Can I Vote For?"
2019 notional results
(See the About page for more information about the nature of these results.)
Winning party: Scottish National
Majority: 5304 (11.39%)
Turnout: 66.7%
| Party | Votes | Share |
|---|---|---|
| Scottish National | 21486 | 46.2% |
| Conservative | 16182 | 34.8% |
| Labour | 6583 | 14.1% |
| Liberal Democrats | 2283 | 4.9% |