North West Essex

Current MP

No candidates have been declared for 2029 yet.

Projection	Projected result	Description
ElectoralCalculus: ElectoralCalculus/PLMR June 2025	Toss-up Ref	Vote shares: Ref: 29.0%; Cons: 27.0%; Lab: 20.0%; LD: 13.0%
YouGov: YouGov June 2025	Toss-up Cons	Vote shares: Cons: 28.0%; Ref: 25.0%; Lab: 20.0%; LD: 15.0%; Green: 10.0%
ElectoralCalculus: ElectoralCalculus/PLMR April 2025	Toss-up Cons	Vote shares: Cons: 30.0%; Ref: 26.0%; Lab: 21.0%; LD: 12.0%
More in Common: More in Common April 2025	Likely Cons	Vote shares: Cons: 39.0%; Lab: 22.0%; Ref: 21.0%
ElectoralCalculus: ElectoralCalculus/PLMR Feb 2025	Lean Cons	Vote shares: Cons: 35.0%; Ref: 22.0%; Lab: 20.0%; LD: 11.0%
Focaldata: Focaldata Jan 2025	Likely Cons	Vote shares: Cons: 38.0%; Lab: 23.0%; Ref: 19.0%; LD: 12.0%
More in Common: More in Common Dec 2024	Safe Cons	Victory chances: Cons: 100.0%

Winning party: Conservative
Majority: 2610 (4.79%)
Turnout: 68.24%

Candidate	Party	Votes
Kemi Badenoch	Conservative and Unionist Party	19360
Issy Waite	Labour Party	16750
Grant StClair-Armstrong	Reform UK	7668
Smita Rajesh	Liberal Democrats	6055
Edward Gildea	Green Party	2846
Andrew David Green	Independent	852
Erik Bonino	Independent	699
Niko Omilana	Independent	156

(See the about page for more information about the nature of these results.)

Winning party: Conservative
Majority: 23227 (42.01%)
Turnout: 72.5%