Aldershot

Current MP

No candidates have been declared for 2029 yet.

Projection	Projected result	Description
ElectoralCalculus: ElectoralCalculus/PLMR June 2025	Toss-up Ref	Vote shares: Ref: 32.0%; Lab: 25.0%; Cons: 23.0%; LD: 10.0%
YouGov: YouGov June 2025	Toss-up Ref	Vote shares: Ref: 28.0%; Lab: 26.0%; Cons: 22.0%; LD: 13.0%
ElectoralCalculus: ElectoralCalculus/PLMR April 2025	Toss-up Cons	Vote shares: Cons: 29.0%; Lab: 27.0%; Ref: 26.0%
More in Common: More in Common April 2025	Toss-up Cons	Vote shares: Cons: 31.0%; Lab: 28.0%; Ref: 21.0%; LD: 12.0%
ElectoralCalculus: ElectoralCalculus/PLMR Feb 2025	Toss-up Cons	Vote shares: Cons: 28.0%; Ref: 26.0%; Lab: 24.0%; LD: 11.0%
Focaldata: Focaldata Jan 2025	Toss-up Lab	Vote shares: Lab: 33.0%; Cons: 28.0%; Ref: 24.0%
More in Common: More in Common Dec 2024	Likely Lab	Victory chances: Lab: 82.0%; Cons: 18.0%

Winning party: Labour
Majority: 5683 (11.70%)
Turnout: 61.80%

Candidate	Party	Votes
Alex Baker	Labour Party	19764
Leo Docherty	Conservative and Unionist Party	14081
Trevor Lloyd-Jones	Reform UK	8210
Paul Harris	Liberal Democrats	4052
Ed Neville	Green Party	2155
Steve James-Bailey	Hampshire Independents	282

(See the about page for more information about the nature of these results.)

Winning party: Conservative
Majority: 17985 (34.47%)
Turnout: 67.5%