Hertsmere

Current MP

Name: Oliver Dowden
Party: Conservative
Who Can I Vote For?
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2029 election

No candidates have been declared for 2029 yet.

Predictions

Prediction	Predicted result	Description
Test: First letter	Lean Lab	First letter is 'H'
Test: Name length	Likely Lab	Length is 9
Near 2024: vote share	Lean Cons	Vote shares: Cons: 41.55%; Lab: 27.58%; Ref: 15.66%
Near 2024: victory chance	Lean Cons	Victory chances: Cons: 63.08%; Lab: 27.77%

2024 results

Winning party: Conservative
Majority: 7992 (16.64%)

Candidate	Party	Votes
Oliver Dowden	Conservative and Unionist Party	21451
Josh Tapper	Labour Party	13459
Darren Bruce Selkus	Reform UK	6584
Emma Matanle	Liberal Democrats	3710
John Humphries	Green Party	2267
Ray Bolster	Independent	536

More details on "Who Can I Vote For?"

2019 notional results

(See the about page for more information about the nature of these results.)

Winning party: Conservative
Majority: 22980 (43.76%)
Turnout: 71.7%

Party	Votes
Conservative	34083
Labour	11103
Liberal Democrats	5713
Green	1614