Hertsmere

Official Parliament web page

Current MP

Name: Oliver Dowden
Party: Conservative
Official Parliament web page
Who Can I Vote For?
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2029 election

No candidates have been declared for 2029 yet.

Projections

ProjectionProjected resultDescription
ElectoralCalculus: ElectoralCalculus/PLMR June 2025Toss-up RefVote shares: Ref: 32.0%; Cons: 31.0%; Lab: 17.0%; LD: 11.0%
YouGov: YouGov June 2025Lean ConsVote shares: Cons: 36.0%; Ref: 24.0%; Lab: 19.0%; LD: 11.0%
ElectoralCalculus: ElectoralCalculus/PLMR April 2025Lean ConsVote shares: Cons: 38.0%; Ref: 24.0%; Lab: 18.0%
More in Common: More in Common April 2025Likely ConsVote shares: Cons: 44.0%; Ref: 22.0%; Lab: 21.0%
ElectoralCalculus: ElectoralCalculus/PLMR Feb 2025Likely ConsVote shares: Cons: 42.0%; Ref: 23.0%; Lab: 16.0%
Focaldata: Focaldata Jan 2025Likely ConsVote shares: Cons: 43.0%; Ref: 21.0%; Lab: 20.0%; LD: 10.0%
More in Common: More in Common Dec 2024Safe ConsVictory chances: Cons: 100.0%

2024 results

Winning party: Conservative
Majority: 7992 (16.64%)

CandidatePartyVotes
Oliver DowdenConservative and Unionist Party21451
Josh TapperLabour Party13459
Darren Bruce SelkusReform UK6584
Emma MatanleLiberal Democrats3710
John HumphriesGreen Party2267
Ray BolsterIndependent536

More details on "Who Can I Vote For?"

2019 notional results

(See the about page for more information about the nature of these results.)

Winning party: Conservative
Majority: 22980 (43.76%)
Turnout: 71.7%

PartyVotes
Conservative34083
Labour11103
Liberal Democrats5713
Green1614