Birmingham Erdington
Official Parliament web pageCurrent MP
Name: Paulette Hamilton
Party: Labour
Official Parliament web page
Who Can I Vote For?
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2029 election
No candidates have been declared for 2029 yet.
Projections
| Projection | Projected result | Description |
|---|---|---|
| ElectoralCalculus/PLMR January 2026 | Safe Ref | Vote shares: Ref: 43.0%; Green: 16.0%; Cons: 14.0%; Lab: 14.0% |
| More in Common January 2026 | Lean Ref | Vote shares: Ref: 35.0%; Lab: 23.0%; Cons: 17.0%; LD: 12.0%; Green: 11.0% |
| ElectoralCalculus/PLMR October 2025 | Lean Ref | Vote shares: Ref: 47.0%; Lab: 36.0% |
| YouGov September 2025 | Toss-up Ref | Vote shares: Ref: 33.0%; Lab: 28.0%; Cons: 12.0%; Green: 12.0% |
| More in Common September 2025 | Lean Ref | Vote shares: Ref: 41.0%; Lab: 27.0%; Cons: 14.0%; LD: 11.0% |
| More in Common July 2025 | Safe Ref | Vote shares: Ref: 48.0%; Lab: 23.0%; Cons: 15.0% |
| ElectoralCalculus/PLMR June 2025 | Likely Ref | Vote shares: Ref: 42.0%; Lab: 24.0%; Cons: 14.0% |
| YouGov June 2025 | Toss-up Lab | Vote shares: Lab: 33.0%; Ref: 33.0%; Cons: 12.0%; Green: 12.0% |
| ElectoralCalculus/PLMR April 2025 | Toss-up Ref | Vote shares: Ref: 31.0%; Lab: 29.0%; Cons: 19.0% |
| More in Common April 2025 | Toss-up Lab | Vote shares: Lab: 34.0%; Ref: 31.0%; Cons: 16.0% |
| ElectoralCalculus/PLMR Feb 2025 | Lean Ref | Vote shares: Ref: 33.0%; Lab: 22.0%; Cons: 19.0%; Other: 11.0% |
| Focaldata Jan 2025 | Lean Lab | Vote shares: Lab: 39.0%; Ref: 31.0%; Cons: 15.0% |
| More in Common Dec 2024 | Safe Lab | Victory chances: Lab: 98.6% |
2024 results
Winning party: Labour
Majority: 7019 (20.56%)
| Candidate | Party | Votes | Share |
|---|---|---|---|
| Paulette Hamilton | Labour Party | 14774 | 43.3% |
| Jack Brookes | Reform UK | 7755 | 22.7% |
| Steven Richard Knee | Conservative and Unionist Party | 5402 | 15.8% |
| Karen Trench | Green Party | 2452 | 7.2% |
| Shaukat Ali | Independent | 2250 | 6.6% |
| Farzana Ann Aslam | Liberal Democrats | 1128 | 3.3% |
| Corinthia Ward | Trade Unionist and Socialist Coalition | 376 | 1.1% |
More details on "Who Can I Vote For?"
2019 notional results
(See the about page for more information about the nature of these results.)
Winning party: Labour
Majority: 3305 (7.96%)
Turnout: 54%
| Party | Votes | Share |
|---|---|---|
| Labour | 20518 | 49.4% |
| Conservative | 17213 | 41.5% |
| Reform UK | 1673 | 4.0% |
| Liberal Democrats | 1349 | 3.3% |
| Green | 746 | 1.8% |