Aberafan Maesteg
Current MP
Name: Stephen Kinnock
Party: Labour
Who Can I Vote For?
They Work For You
2029 election
No candidates have been declared for 2029 yet.
Predictions
| Prediction | Predicted result | Description |
|---|---|---|
| Test: First letter | Lean Lab | First letter is 'A' |
| Test: Name length | Likely Lab | Length is 16 |
| Near 2024: vote share | Safe Lab | Vote shares: Lab: 54.66%; Ref: 20.03%; PC: 11.89% |
| Near 2024: victory chance | Lean Lab | Victory chances: Lab: 74.48%; Ref: 17.20% |
2024 results
Winning party: Labour
Majority: 10354 (28.95%)
Turnout: 49.26%
| Candidate | Party | Votes |
|---|---|---|
| Stephen Kinnock | Labour Party | 17838 |
| Mark Griffiths | Reform UK | 7484 |
| Colin John Deere | Plaid Cymru - The Party of Wales | 4719 |
| Abigail Mainon | Conservative and Unionist Party | 2903 |
| Nigel Hill | Green Party | 1094 |
| Justin Mark Griffiths | Liberal Democrats | 916 |
| Captain Beany | Independent | 618 |
| Rhiannon Morrissey | Heritage Party | 183 |
More details on "Who Can I Vote For?"
2019 notional results
(See the about page for more information about the nature of these results.)
Winning party: Labour
Majority: 13457 (30.29%)
Turnout: 63.6%
| Party | Votes |
|---|---|
| Labour | 23509 |
| Conservative | 10052 |
| Plaid Cymru | 3991 |
| Reform UK | 3794 |
| Liberal Democrats | 1645 |
| Other | 731 |
| Green | 701 |