Merthyr Tydfil and Aberdare
Current MP
Name: Gerald Jones
Party: Labour
Who Can I Vote For?
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2029 election
No candidates have been declared for 2029 yet.
Predictions
| Prediction | Predicted result | Description |
|---|---|---|
| Test: First letter | Lean Lab | First letter is 'M' |
| Test: Name length | Likely LD | Length is 27 |
| Near 2024: vote share | Lean Lab | Vote shares: Lab: 39.49%; Ref: 29.02%; PC: 12.16% |
| Near 2024: victory chance | Lean Lab | Victory chances: Lab: 70.30%; Ref: 20.89% |
2024 results
Winning party: Labour
Majority: 7447 (21.14%)
| Candidate | Party | Votes |
|---|---|---|
| Gerald Jones | Labour Party | 15791 |
| Gareth Thomas | Reform UK | 8344 |
| Francis Whitefoot | Plaid Cymru - The Party of Wales | 4768 |
| Amanda Jenner | Conservative and Unionist Party | 2687 |
| Jade Smith | Liberal Democrats | 1276 |
| David Griffin | Green Party | 1231 |
| Anthony Cole | Workers Party of Britain | 531 |
| Lorenzo de Gregori | Independent | 375 |
| Bob Davenport | Communist Party of Britain | 212 |
More details on "Who Can I Vote For?"
2019 notional results
(See the about page for more information about the nature of these results.)
Winning party: Labour
Majority: 13410 (31.10%)
Turnout: 57.6%
| Party | Votes |
|---|---|
| Labour | 22292 |
| Conservative | 8882 |
| Reform UK | 4621 |
| Plaid Cymru | 3513 |
| Other | 2364 |
| Liberal Democrats | 1434 |