Vale of Glamorgan
Official Parliament web pageCurrent MP
Name: Kanishka Narayan
Party: Labour
Official Parliament web page
Who Can I Vote For?
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2029 election
No candidates have been declared for 2029 yet.
Projections
| Projection | Projected result | Description |
|---|---|---|
| ElectoralCalculus/PLMR April 2026 | Toss-up Ref | Vote shares: Ref: 23%; Cons: 19%; PC: 18%; Green: 14%; Lab: 12%; LD: 10% |
| More in Common April 2026 | Toss-up Ref | Vote shares: Ref: 27%; Cons: 25%; Lab: 17%; Green: 14% |
| ElectoralCalculus/PLMR January 2026 | Toss-up Ref | Vote shares: Cons: 26%; Ref: 26%; Lab: 19%; PC: 11% |
| More in Common January 2026 | Lean Ref | Vote shares: Ref: 32%; Lab: 19%; Cons: 18%; PC: 18% |
| ElectoralCalculus/PLMR October 2025 | Lean Ref | Vote shares: Ref: 32%; Lab: 21%; Cons: 17%; PC: 10% |
| YouGov September 2025 | Toss-up Ref | Vote shares: Ref: 30%; Lab: 24%; Cons: 18%; PC: 11% |
| More in Common September 2025 | Likely Ref | Vote shares: Ref: 38%; Cons: 19%; Lab: 18% |
| More in Common July 2025 | Likely Ref | Vote shares: Ref: 43%; Lab: 23%; PC: 11%; LD: 10% |
| ElectoralCalculus/PLMR June 2025 | Toss-up Ref | Vote shares: Ref: 30%; Lab: 29%; Cons: 21% |
| YouGov June 2025 | Toss-up Ref | Vote shares: Ref: 28%; Lab: 25%; Cons: 20%; PC: 10% |
| ElectoralCalculus/PLMR April 2025 | Toss-up Cons | Vote shares: Cons: 31%; Ref: 25%; Lab: 22% |
| More in Common April 2025 | Toss-up Ref | Vote shares: Ref: 33%; Cons: 26%; Lab: 24% |
| ElectoralCalculus/PLMR Feb 2025 | Toss-up Cons | Vote shares: Cons: 27%; Lab: 26%; Ref: 25% |
| Focaldata Jan 2025 | Toss-up Lab | Vote shares: Lab: 31%; Cons: 27%; Ref: 21% |
| More in Common Dec 2024 | Safe Lab | Victory chances: Lab: 97% |
2024 results
Winning party: Labour
Majority: 4216 (9.20%)
Turnout: 61.62%
| Candidate | Party | Votes | Share |
|---|---|---|---|
| Kanishka Narayan | Labour Party | 17740 | 38.7% |
| Alun Cairns | Conservative and Unionist Party | 13524 | 29.5% |
| Toby Rhodes-Matthews | Reform UK | 6973 | 15.2% |
| Ian James Johnson | Plaid Cymru - The Party of Wales | 3245 | 7.1% |
| Lynden Mack | Green Party | 1881 | 4.1% |
| Steven Rohan Michael Rajam | Liberal Democrats | 1612 | 3.5% |
| Stuart Field | Abolish The Welsh Assembly Party | 669 | 1.5% |
| Steven Sluman | Independent | 182 | 0.4% |
More details on "Who Can I Vote For?"
2019 notional results
(See the About page for more information about the nature of these results.)
Winning party: Conservative
Majority: 2566 (5.13%)
Turnout: 71%
| Party | Votes | Share |
|---|---|---|
| Conservative | 24535 | 49.1% |
| Labour | 21969 | 43.9% |
| Green | 2981 | 6.0% |
| Other | 508 | 1.0% |