Brentwood and Ongar

Current MP

No candidates have been declared for 2029 yet.

Projection	Projected result	Description
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR January 2026	Toss-up Cons	Vote shares: Cons: 40.0%; Ref: 40.0%
More in Common January 2026	Toss-up Ref	Vote shares: Ref: 38.0%; Cons: 32.0%; Lab: 13.0%
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR October 2025	Lean Ref	Vote shares: Ref: 44.0%; Cons: 36.0%
YouGov September 2025	Toss-up Ref	Vote shares: Ref: 34.0%; Cons: 28.0%; LD: 14.0%; Lab: 12.0%
More in Common September 2025	Toss-up Ref	Vote shares: Ref: 35.0%; Cons: 29.0%; LD: 16.0%; Lab: 11.0%
More in Common July 2025	Toss-up Cons	Vote shares: Cons: 35.0%; Ref: 32.0%; Lab: 15.0%; LD: 13.0%
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR June 2025	Lean Ref	Vote shares: Ref: 39.0%; Cons: 27.0%; Lab: 15.0%; LD: 12.0%
YouGov June 2025	Toss-up Ref	Vote shares: Ref: 33.0%; Cons: 27.0%; LD: 16.0%; Lab: 14.0%
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR April 2025	Toss-up Ref	Vote shares: Ref: 33.0%; Cons: 32.0%; Lab: 16.0%; LD: 11.0%
More in Common April 2025	Toss-up Cons	Vote shares: Cons: 37.0%; Ref: 30.0%; Lab: 15.0%; LD: 11.0%
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR Feb 2025	Toss-up Cons	Vote shares: Cons: 37.0%; Ref: 31.0%; Lab: 14.0%; LD: 10.0%
Focaldata Jan 2025	Toss-up Cons	Vote shares: Cons: 36.0%; Ref: 30.0%; Lab: 16.0%; LD: 12.0%
More in Common Dec 2024	Safe Cons	Victory chances: Cons: 100.0%

Winning party: Conservative
Majority: 5980 (12.37%)
Turnout: 64.14%

Candidate	Party	Votes	Share
Alex Burghart	Conservative and Unionist Party	17731	36.7%
Paul Godfrey	Reform UK	11751	24.3%
Gareth Barrett	Labour Party	11082	22.9%
David John Kendall	Liberal Democrats	5809	12.0%
RJ Learmouth	Green Party	1770	3.7%
Robin Tilbrook	English Democrats	189	0.4%

(See the about page for more information about the nature of these results.)

Winning party: Conservative
Majority: 28974 (54.85%)
Turnout: 70.5%