Brentwood and Ongar

Current MP

No candidates have been declared for 2029 yet.

Projection	Projected result	Description
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR April 2026	Toss-up Cons	Vote shares: Cons: 41%; Ref: 34%
More in Common April 2026	Toss-up Ref	Vote shares: Ref: 35%; Cons: 31%; Lab: 13%; LD: 12%
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR January 2026	Toss-up Cons	Vote shares: Cons: 40%; Ref: 40%
More in Common January 2026	Toss-up Ref	Vote shares: Ref: 38%; Cons: 32%; Lab: 13%
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR October 2025	Lean Ref	Vote shares: Ref: 44%; Cons: 36%
YouGov September 2025	Toss-up Ref	Vote shares: Ref: 34%; Cons: 28%; LD: 14%; Lab: 12%
More in Common September 2025	Toss-up Ref	Vote shares: Ref: 35%; Cons: 29%; LD: 16%; Lab: 11%
More in Common July 2025	Toss-up Cons	Vote shares: Cons: 35%; Ref: 32%; Lab: 15%; LD: 13%
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR June 2025	Lean Ref	Vote shares: Ref: 39%; Cons: 27%; Lab: 15%; LD: 12%
YouGov June 2025	Toss-up Ref	Vote shares: Ref: 33%; Cons: 27%; LD: 16%; Lab: 14%
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR April 2025	Toss-up Ref	Vote shares: Ref: 33%; Cons: 32%; Lab: 16%; LD: 11%
More in Common April 2025	Toss-up Cons	Vote shares: Cons: 37%; Ref: 30%; Lab: 15%; LD: 11%
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR Feb 2025	Toss-up Cons	Vote shares: Cons: 37%; Ref: 31%; Lab: 14%; LD: 10%
Focaldata Jan 2025	Toss-up Cons	Vote shares: Cons: 36%; Ref: 30%; Lab: 16%; LD: 12%
More in Common Dec 2024	Safe Cons	Victory chances: Cons: 100%

Winning party: Conservative
Majority: 5980 (12.37%)
Turnout: 64.14%

Candidate	Party	Votes	Share
Alex Burghart	Conservative and Unionist Party	17731	36.7%
Paul Godfrey	Reform UK	11751	24.3%
Gareth Barrett	Labour Party	11082	22.9%
David John Kendall	Liberal Democrats	5809	12.0%
RJ Learmouth	Green Party	1770	3.7%
Robin Tilbrook	English Democrats	189	0.4%

(See the About page for more information about the nature of these results.)

Winning party: Conservative
Majority: 28974 (54.85%)
Turnout: 70.5%