Orpington

Official Parliament web page

Current MP

Name: Gareth Bacon
Party: Conservative
Official Parliament web page
Who Can I Vote For?
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2029 election

No candidates have been declared for 2029 yet.

Projections

ProjectionProjected resultDescription
ElectoralCalculus: ElectoralCalculus/PLMR June 2025Toss-up RefVote shares: Ref: 35.0%; Cons: 28.0%; Lab: 17.0%; LD: 12.0%
YouGov: YouGov June 2025Toss-up ConsVote shares: Cons: 30.0%; Ref: 29.0%; Lab: 18.0%; LD: 13.0%
ElectoralCalculus: ElectoralCalculus/PLMR April 2025Lean ConsVote shares: Cons: 35.0%; Ref: 27.0%; Lab: 18.0%; LD: 10.0%
More in Common: More in Common April 2025Toss-up ConsVote shares: Cons: 32.0%; Ref: 28.0%; Lab: 21.0%; LD: 12.0%
ElectoralCalculus: ElectoralCalculus/PLMR Feb 2025Lean ConsVote shares: Cons: 38.0%; Ref: 27.0%; Lab: 16.0%; LD: 10.0%
Focaldata: Focaldata Jan 2025Lean ConsVote shares: Cons: 37.0%; Ref: 23.0%; Lab: 23.0%; LD: 10.0%
More in Common: More in Common Dec 2024Safe ConsVictory chances: Cons: 100.0%

2024 results

Winning party: Conservative
Majority: 5118 (11.10%)

CandidatePartyVotes
Gareth BaconConservative and Unionist Party17504
Ju OwensLabour Party12386
Mark Bradley JamesReform UK8896
Graeme CaseyLiberal Democrats4728
Seamus McCauleyGreen Party2319
John Hunter BrightSocial Democratic Party240

More details on "Who Can I Vote For?"

2019 notional results

(See the about page for more information about the nature of these results.)

Winning party: Conservative
Majority: 20627 (42.13%)
Turnout: 68.4%

PartyVotes
Conservative30308
Labour9681
Liberal Democrats7145
Green1824