Orpington

Current MP

Name: Gareth Bacon
Party: Conservative
Who Can I Vote For?
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2029 election

No candidates have been declared for 2029 yet.

Predictions

Prediction	Predicted result	Description
Test: First letter	Lean Cons	First letter is 'O'
Test: Name length	Likely Lab	Length is 9
Near 2024: vote share	Toss-up Cons	Vote shares: Cons: 34.73%; Lab: 27.24%; Ref: 21.89%; LD: 10.25%
Near 2024: victory chance	Lean Cons	Victory chances: Cons: 53.17%; Lab: 28.02%; Ref: 13.53%

2024 results

Winning party: Conservative
Majority: 5118 (11.10%)

Candidate	Party	Votes
Gareth Bacon	Conservative and Unionist Party	17504
Ju Owens	Labour Party	12386
Mark Bradley James	Reform UK	8896
Graeme Casey	Liberal Democrats	4728
Seamus McCauley	Green Party	2319
John Hunter Bright	Social Democratic Party	240

More details on "Who Can I Vote For?"

2019 notional results

(See the about page for more information about the nature of these results.)

Winning party: Conservative
Majority: 20627 (42.13%)
Turnout: 68.4%

Party	Votes
Conservative	30308
Labour	9681
Liberal Democrats	7145
Green	1824