Motherwell, Wishaw and Carluke

Current MP

No candidates have been declared for 2029 yet.

Projection	Projected result	Description
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR January 2026	Toss-up SNP	Vote shares: SNP: 32.0%; Ref: 26.0%; Lab: 25.0%
More in Common January 2026	Toss-up SNP	Vote shares: SNP: 34.0%; Ref: 27.0%; Lab: 19.0%
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR October 2025	Toss-up SNP	Vote shares: SNP: 32.0%; Ref: 28.0%; Lab: 27.0%
YouGov September 2025	Toss-up SNP	Vote shares: SNP: 30.0%; Lab: 26.0%; Ref: 22.0%
More in Common September 2025	Toss-up SNP	Vote shares: SNP: 30.0%; Lab: 24.0%; Ref: 24.0%
More in Common July 2025	Likely SNP	Vote shares: SNP: 39.0%; Lab: 23.0%; Ref: 18.0%; Cons: 10.0%
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR June 2025	Toss-up Lab	Vote shares: Lab: 37.0%; SNP: 33.0%; Ref: 16.0%
YouGov June 2025	Toss-up SNP	Vote shares: SNP: 33.0%; Lab: 27.0%; Ref: 21.0%
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR April 2025	Toss-up Lab	Vote shares: Lab: 35.0%; SNP: 33.0%; Ref: 17.0%
More in Common April 2025	Toss-up SNP	Vote shares: SNP: 27.0%; Lab: 24.0%; Cons: 20.0%; LD: 12.0%; Ref: 12.0%
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR Feb 2025	Toss-up Lab	Vote shares: Lab: 34.0%; SNP: 34.0%; Ref: 15.0%
Focaldata Jan 2025	Toss-up Lab	Vote shares: Lab: 36.0%; SNP: 29.0%; Ref: 17.0%
More in Common Dec 2024	Safe SNP	Victory chances: SNP: 97.2%

Winning party: Labour
Majority: 7085 (18.15%)
Turnout: 54.37%

Candidate	Party	Votes	Share
Pamela Nash	Labour Party	19168	49.1%
Marion Fellows	Scottish National Party (SNP)	12083	31.0%
Robert McLaughlan	Reform UK	3004	7.7%
Oyebola Ajala	Conservative and Unionist Party	2415	6.2%
Gordon Thomas Miller	Scottish Green Party	1200	3.1%
Hayley Bennie	Liberal Democrats	822	2.1%
Gus Ferguson	British Unionist Party	158	0.4%
Neil Wilson	UK Independence Party (UKIP)	110	0.3%
Ross Hagen	Scottish Libertarian Party	66	0.2%

(See the about page for more information about the nature of these results.)

Winning party: Scottish National
Majority: 8294 (18.46%)
Turnout: 62.1%