North Ayrshire and Arran
Official Parliament web pageCurrent MP
Name: Irene Campbell
Party: Labour
Official Parliament web page
Who Can I Vote For?
They Work For You
2029 election
No candidates have been declared for 2029 yet.
Projections
| Projection | Projected result | Description |
|---|---|---|
| ElectoralCalculus/PLMR April 2026 | Likely SNP | Vote shares: SNP: 34%; Ref: 16%; Lab: 15%; Cons: 14%; Green: 13% |
| More in Common April 2026 | Toss-up SNP | Vote shares: SNP: 29%; Ref: 25%; Lab: 17%; Cons: 13% |
| ElectoralCalculus/PLMR January 2026 | Lean SNP | Vote shares: SNP: 33%; Ref: 25%; Lab: 18%; Cons: 11% |
| More in Common January 2026 | Toss-up SNP | Vote shares: SNP: 35%; Ref: 30%; Cons: 14%; Lab: 10% |
| ElectoralCalculus/PLMR October 2025 | Lean SNP | Vote shares: SNP: 40%; Ref: 31%; Lab: 14% |
| YouGov September 2025 | Toss-up SNP | Vote shares: SNP: 29%; Ref: 27%; Lab: 21% |
| More in Common September 2025 | Lean SNP | Vote shares: SNP: 33%; Ref: 24%; Lab: 20%; Cons: 11% |
| More in Common July 2025 | Likely SNP | Vote shares: SNP: 41%; Lab: 22%; Ref: 16%; Cons: 12% |
| ElectoralCalculus/PLMR June 2025 | Toss-up SNP | Vote shares: SNP: 33%; Lab: 28%; Ref: 16%; Cons: 13% |
| YouGov June 2025 | Likely SNP | Vote shares: SNP: 42%; Ref: 23%; Lab: 17% |
| ElectoralCalculus/PLMR April 2025 | Toss-up SNP | Vote shares: SNP: 34%; Lab: 27%; Ref: 17%; Cons: 12% |
| More in Common April 2025 | Toss-up SNP | Vote shares: SNP: 27%; Lab: 25%; Cons: 22%; Ref: 14% |
| ElectoralCalculus/PLMR Feb 2025 | Lean SNP | Vote shares: SNP: 34%; Lab: 26%; Ref: 15%; Cons: 12% |
| Focaldata Jan 2025 | Lean SNP | Vote shares: SNP: 33%; Lab: 24%; Cons: 18%; Ref: 16% |
| More in Common Dec 2024 | Safe SNP | Victory chances: SNP: 100% |
2024 results
Winning party: Labour
Majority: 3551 (8.40%)
| Candidate | Party | Votes | Share |
|---|---|---|---|
| Irene Campbell | Labour Party | 16821 | 39.8% |
| Patricia Gibson | Scottish National Party (SNP) | 13270 | 31.4% |
| Todd Ferguson | Conservative and Unionist Party | 5954 | 14.1% |
| Mike Mann | Reform UK | 3415 | 8.1% |
| Cara McKee | Scottish Green Party | 1327 | 3.1% |
| Gillian Cole-Hamilton | Liberal Democrats | 1005 | 2.4% |
| Ian Gibson | Social Democratic Party | 238 | 0.6% |
| James McDaid | Socialist Labour Party | 232 | 0.5% |
More details on "Who Can I Vote For?"
2019 notional results
(See the About page for more information about the nature of these results.)
Winning party: Scottish National
Majority: 8521 (17.69%)
Turnout: 65.4%
| Party | Votes | Share |
|---|---|---|
| Scottish National | 23376 | 48.5% |
| Conservative | 14855 | 30.8% |
| Labour | 6702 | 13.9% |
| Liberal Democrats | 2107 | 4.4% |
| Green | 1114 | 2.3% |