Bournemouth East
Current MP
Name: Tom Hayes
Party: Labour
Who Can I Vote For?
They Work For You
2029 election
No candidates have been declared for 2029 yet.
Predictions
| Prediction | Predicted result | Description |
|---|---|---|
| Test: First letter | Lean Lab | First letter is 'B' |
| Test: Name length | Likely Lab | Length is 16 |
| Near 2024: vote share | Toss-up Lab | Vote shares: Lab: 36.76%; Cons: 31.98%; Ref: 14.99% |
| Near 2024: victory chance | Lean Lab | Victory chances: Lab: 56.99%; Cons: 29.75% |
2024 results
Winning party: Labour
Majority: 5479 (12.19%)
Turnout: 62.07%
| Candidate | Party | Votes |
|---|---|---|
| Tom Hayes | Labour Party | 18316 |
| Tobias Ellwood | Conservative and Unionist Party | 12837 |
| Martin Houlden | Reform UK | 6268 |
| Jon Nicholas | Liberal Democrats | 3082 |
| Joe Salmon | Green Party | 2790 |
| Kieron Wilson | Independent | 1529 |
| Miles Penn | Social Democratic Party | 88 |
More details on "Who Can I Vote For?"
2019 notional results
(See the about page for more information about the nature of these results.)
Winning party: Conservative
Majority: 8817 (17.87%)
Turnout: 67.4%
| Party | Votes |
|---|---|
| Conservative | 24957 |
| Labour | 16140 |
| Liberal Democrats | 5418 |
| Green | 2052 |
| Other | 761 |