Harrogate and Knaresborough

Current MP

No candidates have been declared for 2029 yet.

Projection	Projected result	Description
ElectoralCalculus: ElectoralCalculus/PLMR June 2025	Lean LD	Vote shares: LD: 35.0%; Ref: 27.0%; Cons: 21.0%; Lab: 11.0%
YouGov: YouGov June 2025	Likely LD	Vote shares: LD: 41.0%; Cons: 21.0%; Ref: 21.0%
ElectoralCalculus: ElectoralCalculus/PLMR April 2025	Toss-up LD	Vote shares: LD: 32.0%; Cons: 27.0%; Ref: 24.0%
More in Common: More in Common April 2025	Lean LD	Vote shares: LD: 38.0%; Cons: 27.0%; Ref: 18.0%; Lab: 12.0%
ElectoralCalculus: ElectoralCalculus/PLMR Feb 2025	Toss-up LD	Vote shares: LD: 28.0%; Ref: 26.0%; Cons: 22.0%; Lab: 15.0%
Focaldata: Focaldata Jan 2025	Lean LD	Vote shares: LD: 39.0%; Cons: 31.0%; Ref: 19.0%
More in Common: More in Common Dec 2024	Safe LD	Victory chances: LD: 100.0%

Winning party: Liberal Democrats
Majority: 8238 (15.82%)
Turnout: 66.79%

Candidate	Party	Votes
Tom Gordon	Liberal Democrats	23976
Andrew Jones	Conservative and Unionist Party	15738
Jonathan Mark Swales	Reform UK	5679
Conrad James Whitcroft	Labour Party	4153
Shan Oakes	Green Party	1762
Paul Haslam	Independent	620
Stephen Douglas Metcalfe	Independent	136

(See the about page for more information about the nature of these results.)

Winning party: Conservative
Majority: 8787 (15.82%)
Turnout: 73.3%