Southampton Itchen
Official Parliament web pageCurrent MP
Name: Darren Paffey
Party: Labour
Official Parliament web page
Who Can I Vote For?
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2029 election
No candidates have been declared for 2029 yet.
Projections
| Projection | Projected result | Description |
|---|---|---|
| ElectoralCalculus/PLMR January 2026 | Likely Ref | Vote shares: Ref: 35.0%; Lab: 20.0%; Cons: 17.0%; Green: 16.0% |
| More in Common January 2026 | Lean Ref | Vote shares: Ref: 34.0%; Cons: 24.0%; Lab: 21.0%; Green: 12.0% |
| ElectoralCalculus/PLMR October 2025 | Lean Ref | Vote shares: Ref: 47.0%; Lab: 37.0% |
| YouGov September 2025 | Toss-up Ref | Vote shares: Ref: 29.0%; Lab: 24.0%; Cons: 19.0%; Green: 13.0%; LD: 11.0% |
| More in Common September 2025 | Lean Ref | Vote shares: Ref: 36.0%; Lab: 25.0%; Cons: 21.0%; LD: 11.0% |
| More in Common July 2025 | Likely Ref | Vote shares: Ref: 43.0%; Cons: 20.0%; Lab: 18.0%; Green: 12.0% |
| ElectoralCalculus/PLMR June 2025 | Lean Ref | Vote shares: Ref: 38.0%; Lab: 28.0%; Cons: 16.0%; Green: 10.0% |
| YouGov June 2025 | Toss-up Ref | Vote shares: Lab: 29.0%; Ref: 29.0%; Cons: 19.0%; Green: 11.0%; LD: 10.0% |
| ElectoralCalculus/PLMR April 2025 | Toss-up Ref | Vote shares: Ref: 29.0%; Lab: 27.0%; Cons: 23.0%; Green: 10.0% |
| More in Common April 2025 | Toss-up Ref | Vote shares: Lab: 27.0%; Ref: 27.0%; Cons: 24.0%; LD: 10.0% |
| ElectoralCalculus/PLMR Feb 2025 | Toss-up Lab | Vote shares: Lab: 28.0%; Ref: 26.0%; Cons: 23.0%; Green: 10.0% |
| Focaldata Jan 2025 | Toss-up Lab | Vote shares: Lab: 30.0%; Ref: 27.0%; Cons: 25.0%; LD: 10.0% |
| More in Common Dec 2024 | Safe Lab | Victory chances: Lab: 91.2% |
2024 results
Winning party: Labour
Majority: 6105 (16.04%)
Turnout: 55.65%
| Candidate | Party | Votes | Share |
|---|---|---|---|
| Darren Paffey | Labour Party | 15782 | 41.5% |
| Sidney Yankson | Conservative and Unionist Party | 9677 | 25.4% |
| Alexander Conrad Culley | Reform UK | 6853 | 18.0% |
| Neil McKinnon Lyon Kelly | Green Party | 2793 | 7.3% |
| James Edward Batho | Liberal Democrats | 2684 | 7.1% |
| Declan Peter Clune | Trade Unionist and Socialist Coalition | 264 | 0.7% |
More details on "Who Can I Vote For?"
2019 notional results
(See the about page for more information about the nature of these results.)
Winning party: Conservative
Majority: 4498 (9.48%)
Turnout: 65.7%
| Party | Votes | Share |
|---|---|---|
| Conservative | 23952 | 50.5% |
| Labour | 19454 | 41.0% |
| Liberal Democrats | 2503 | 5.3% |
| Green | 1040 | 2.2% |
| Other | 472 | 1.0% |