North East Somerset and Hanham

Current MP

(In reverse chronological order, as far as the 2024 general election.)

Name	Date	Description	Party
Dan Norris	Apr 4, 2025	Whip withdrawn.	Independent
Dan Norris	Jul 4, 2024	2024 election.	Labour

No candidates have been declared for 2029 yet.

Projection	Projected result	Description
More in Common: More in Common July 2025	Toss-up Cons	Vote shares: Lab: 25.0%; Ref: 22.0%; LD: 17.0%
ElectoralCalculus: ElectoralCalculus/PLMR June 2025	Toss-up Ref	Vote shares: Lab: 27.0%; Ref: 27.0%; Cons: 25.0%; Green: 10.0%
YouGov: YouGov June 2025	Toss-up Ref	Vote shares: Ref: 29.0%; Lab: 26.0%; Cons: 21.0%; LD: 12.0%; Green: 11.0%
ElectoralCalculus: ElectoralCalculus/PLMR April 2025	Toss-up Lab	Vote shares: Lab: 28.0%; Cons: 28.0%; Ref: 25.0%
More in Common: More in Common April 2025	Toss-up Cons	Vote shares: Cons: 30.0%; Ref: 23.0%; Lab: 22.0%; LD: 15.0%
ElectoralCalculus: ElectoralCalculus/PLMR Feb 2025	Toss-up Cons	Vote shares: Cons: 29.0%; Lab: 25.0%; Ref: 22.0%; LD: 11.0%
Focaldata: Focaldata Jan 2025	Toss-up Cons	Vote shares: Cons: 30.0%; Lab: 29.0%; Ref: 22.0%; LD: 11.0%
More in Common: More in Common Dec 2024	Safe Cons	Victory chances: Cons: 96.8%

Winning party: Labour
Majority: 5319 (10.40%)
Turnout: 69.19%

Candidate	Party	Votes
Dan Norris	Labour Party	20739
Jacob Rees-Mogg	Conservative and Unionist Party	15420
Paul MacDonnell	Reform UK	7424
Dine Romero	Liberal Democrats	3878
Edmund Cannon	Green Party	3222
Nicholas Hales	Independent	231
Barmy Brunch	The Official Monster Raving Loony Party	211

(See the about page for more information about the nature of these results.)

Winning party: Conservative
Majority: 16389 (28.53%)
Turnout: 78.6%