North East Somerset and Hanham

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Current MP

Name: Dan Norris
Party: Independent
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Representation history

(In reverse chronological order, as far as the 2024 general election.)

NameDateDescriptionParty
Dan NorrisApr 4, 2025Whip withdrawn.Independent
Dan NorrisJul 4, 20242024 election.Labour

2029 election

No candidates have been declared for 2029 yet.

Projections

ProjectionProjected resultDescription
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR January 2026Toss-up RefVote shares: Ref: 27.0%; Cons: 24.0%; Lab: 22.0%; Green: 12.0%; LD: 12.0%
More in Common January 2026Lean RefVote shares: Ref: 35.0%; Cons: 27.0%; Lab: 18.0%; Green: 11.0%
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR October 2025Lean RefVote shares: Ref: 34.0%; Lab: 23.0%; Cons: 22.0%; LD: 10.0%
YouGov September 2025Toss-up RefVote shares: Ref: 31.0%; Lab: 26.0%; Cons: 18.0%; Green: 12.0%; LD: 11.0%
More in Common September 2025Lean RefVote shares: Ref: 33.0%; Cons: 23.0%; Lab: 20.0%; LD: 13.0%
More in Common July 2025Toss-up ConsVote shares: Cons: 28.0%; Lab: 25.0%; Ref: 22.0%; LD: 17.0%
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR June 2025Toss-up RefVote shares: Lab: 27.0%; Ref: 27.0%; Cons: 25.0%; Green: 10.0%
YouGov June 2025Toss-up RefVote shares: Ref: 29.0%; Lab: 26.0%; Cons: 21.0%; LD: 12.0%; Green: 11.0%
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR April 2025Toss-up LabVote shares: Cons: 28.0%; Lab: 28.0%; Ref: 25.0%
More in Common April 2025Toss-up ConsVote shares: Cons: 30.0%; Ref: 23.0%; Lab: 22.0%; LD: 15.0%
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR Feb 2025Toss-up ConsVote shares: Cons: 29.0%; Lab: 25.0%; Ref: 22.0%; LD: 11.0%
Focaldata Jan 2025Toss-up ConsVote shares: Cons: 30.0%; Lab: 29.0%; Ref: 22.0%; LD: 11.0%
More in Common Dec 2024Safe ConsVictory chances: Cons: 96.8%

2024 results

Winning party: Labour
Majority: 5319 (10.40%)
Turnout: 69.19%

CandidatePartyVotesShare
Dan NorrisLabour Party2073940.6%
Jacob Rees-MoggConservative and Unionist Party1542030.2%
Paul MacDonnellReform UK742414.5%
Dine RomeroLiberal Democrats38787.6%
Edmund CannonGreen Party32226.3%
Nicholas HalesIndependent2310.5%
Barmy BrunchThe Official Monster Raving Loony Party2110.4%

More details on "Who Can I Vote For?"

2019 notional results

(See the about page for more information about the nature of these results.)

Winning party: Conservative
Majority: 16389 (28.53%)
Turnout: 78.6%

PartyVotesShare
Conservative3143554.7%
Labour1504626.2%
Liberal Democrats862515.0%
Green13702.4%
Other9611.7%