Dumfriesshire, Clydesdale and Tweeddale

Current MP

No candidates have been declared for 2029 yet.

Projection	Projected result	Description
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR January 2026	Toss-up Cons	Vote shares: Cons: 31.0%; SNP: 25.0%; Ref: 21.0%
More in Common January 2026	Toss-up SNP	Vote shares: SNP: 30.0%; Cons: 26.0%; Ref: 18.0%; LD: 13.0%
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR October 2025	Toss-up Cons	Vote shares: Cons: 29.0%; Ref: 25.0%; SNP: 25.0%
YouGov September 2025	Toss-up Ref	Vote shares: Ref: 28.0%; Cons: 23.0%; SNP: 17.0%; Lab: 13.0%
More in Common September 2025	Toss-up SNP	Vote shares: SNP: 24.0%; Cons: 22.0%; Ref: 21.0%; Lab: 16.0%; LD: 11.0%
More in Common July 2025	Lean Cons	Vote shares: Cons: 29.0%; Lab: 21.0%; SNP: 21.0%; Ref: 16.0%
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR June 2025	Toss-up Cons	Vote shares: Cons: 32.0%; SNP: 26.0%; Ref: 16.0%; Lab: 12.0%
YouGov June 2025	Toss-up Ref	Vote shares: Ref: 27.0%; Cons: 24.0%; SNP: 18.0%; Lab: 13.0%
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR April 2025	Toss-up Cons	Vote shares: Cons: 32.0%; SNP: 26.0%; Ref: 16.0%; Lab: 12.0%
More in Common April 2025	Toss-up SNP	Vote shares: Cons: 21.0%; Lab: 21.0%; SNP: 21.0%; Ref: 20.0%; LD: 12.0%
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR Feb 2025	Toss-up Cons	Vote shares: Cons: 32.0%; SNP: 27.0%; Ref: 15.0%; Lab: 12.0%
Focaldata Jan 2025	Lean Cons	Vote shares: Cons: 36.0%; SNP: 23.0%; Ref: 18.0%; Lab: 10.0%
More in Common Dec 2024	Lean Cons	Victory chances: Cons: 71.8%; SNP: 28.2%

Winning party: Conservative
Majority: 4242 (9.59%)
Turnout: 61.49%

Candidate	Party	Votes	Share
David Mundell	Conservative and Unionist Party	14999	33.9%
Kim Marshall	Scottish National Party (SNP)	10757	24.3%
Daniel Coleman	Labour Party	10140	22.9%
David Alexander Kirkwood	Reform UK	3822	8.6%
Drummond Begg	Liberal Democrats	2800	6.3%
Dominic Ashmole	Scottish Green Party	1488	3.4%
Gareth Kirk	Scottish Family Party	208	0.5%

(See the about page for more information about the nature of these results.)

Winning party: Conservative
Majority: 4338 (8.52%)
Turnout: 72%