Hazel Grove

Current MP

No candidates have been declared for 2029 yet.

Projection	Projected result	Description
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR April 2026	Toss-up LD	Vote shares: LD: 27%; Ref: 20%; Cons: 18%; Lab: 16%; Green: 15%
More in Common April 2026	Toss-up LD	Vote shares: LD: 29%; Ref: 27%; Lab: 19%; Cons: 18%
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR January 2026	Lean LD	Vote shares: LD: 39%; Ref: 31%; Cons: 10%; Lab: 10%
More in Common January 2026	Toss-up Ref	Vote shares: Ref: 30%; LD: 28%; Cons: 17%; Lab: 17%
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR October 2025	Toss-up LD	Vote shares: LD: 41%; Ref: 39%
YouGov September 2025	Lean LD	Vote shares: LD: 38%; Ref: 25%; Lab: 13%; Cons: 12%
More in Common September 2025	Toss-up LD	Vote shares: LD: 35%; Ref: 33%; Cons: 15%; Lab: 13%
More in Common July 2025	Lean LD	Vote shares: LD: 32%; Ref: 24%; Lab: 21%; Cons: 20%
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR June 2025	Toss-up LD	Vote shares: LD: 30%; Ref: 29%; Lab: 20%; Cons: 15%
YouGov June 2025	Lean LD	Vote shares: LD: 35%; Ref: 26%; Lab: 17%; Cons: 14%
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR April 2025	Toss-up Ref	Vote shares: Ref: 27%; LD: 26%; Cons: 21%; Lab: 17%
More in Common April 2025	Lean LD	Vote shares: LD: 36%; Ref: 24%; Cons: 19%; Lab: 17%
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR Feb 2025	Toss-up Ref	Vote shares: Ref: 28%; Lab: 24%; LD: 23%; Cons: 15%
Focaldata Jan 2025	Lean LD	Vote shares: LD: 33%; Ref: 21%; Cons: 20%; Lab: 20%
More in Common Dec 2024	Safe LD	Victory chances: LD: 100%

Winning party: Liberal Democrats
Majority: 6500 (14.13%)
Turnout: 63.14%

Candidate	Party	Votes	Share
Lisa Smart	Liberal Democrats	17328	37.7%
Claire Vibert	Labour Party	10828	23.5%
Paul Athans	Conservative and Unionist Party	9011	19.6%
John Howard Kelly	Reform UK	6955	15.1%
Graham Reid	Green Party	1763	3.8%
Tim O'Rourke	Social Democratic Party	113	0.2%

(See the About page for more information about the nature of these results.)

Winning party: Conservative
Majority: 4219 (8.36%)
Turnout: 69.2%