Mid and South Pembrokeshire
Current MP
Name: Henry Tufnell
Party: Labour
Who Can I Vote For?
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2029 election
No candidates have been declared for 2029 yet.
Predictions
| Prediction | Predicted result | Description |
|---|---|---|
| Test: First letter | Lean Lab | First letter is 'M' |
| Test: Name length | Likely LD | Length is 27 |
| Near 2024: vote share | Toss-up Lab | Vote shares: Lab: 35.16%; Cons: 33.28%; Ref: 15.79% |
| Near 2024: victory chance | Lean Lab | Victory chances: Lab: 53.59%; Cons: 31.78%; Ref: 11.79% |
2024 results
Winning party: Labour
Majority: 1878 (4.02%)
| Candidate | Party | Votes |
|---|---|---|
| Henry Tufnell | Labour Party | 16505 |
| Stephen Crabb | Conservative and Unionist Party | 14627 |
| Stuart Marchant | Reform UK | 7828 |
| Cris Tomos | Plaid Cymru - The Party of Wales | 2962 |
| Alistair Cameron | Liberal Democrats | 2372 |
| James Purchase | Green Party | 1654 |
| Vusi Siphika | Independent | 427 |
| Hanna Andersen | Women's Equality Party | 254 |
More details on "Who Can I Vote For?"
2019 notional results
(See the about page for more information about the nature of these results.)
Winning party: Conservative
Majority: 8621 (15.68%)
Turnout: 71.6%
| Party | Votes |
|---|---|
| Conservative | 29072 |
| Labour | 20451 |
| Plaid Cymru | 2917 |
| Liberal Democrats | 2531 |