North Cotswolds

Current MP

No candidates have been declared for 2029 yet.

Projection	Projected result	Description
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR October 2025	Toss-up Ref	Vote shares: Ref: 30.0%; Cons: 25.0%; LD: 23.0%; Lab: 12.0%
YouGov September 2025	Toss-up LD	Vote shares: LD: 30.0%; Cons: 26.0%; Ref: 23.0%; Green: 10.0%
More in Common September 2025	Toss-up Cons	Vote shares: Cons: 29.0%; Ref: 28.0%; LD: 21.0%; Lab: 12.0%
More in Common July 2025	Toss-up Cons	Vote shares: Cons: 31.0%; LD: 26.0%; Ref: 20.0%; Lab: 14.0%
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR June 2025	Toss-up Cons	Vote shares: Cons: 29.0%; Ref: 26.0%; LD: 21.0%; Lab: 14.0%
YouGov June 2025	Toss-up LD	Vote shares: LD: 28.0%; Cons: 27.0%; Ref: 22.0%; Green: 11.0%; Lab: 10.0%
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR April 2025	Toss-up Cons	Vote shares: Cons: 31.0%; Ref: 24.0%; LD: 21.0%; Lab: 15.0%
More in Common April 2025	Lean Cons	Vote shares: Cons: 35.0%; LD: 22.0%; Ref: 20.0%; Lab: 15.0%
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR Feb 2025	Lean Cons	Vote shares: Cons: 33.0%; LD: 24.0%; Ref: 20.0%; Lab: 13.0%
Focaldata Jan 2025	Toss-up Cons	Vote shares: Cons: 35.0%; LD: 28.0%; Ref: 18.0%; Lab: 12.0%
More in Common Dec 2024	Safe Cons	Victory chances: Cons: 100.0%

Winning party: Conservative
Majority: 3357 (6.68%)
Turnout: 68.62%

Candidate	Party	Votes
Geoffrey Clifton-Brown	Conservative and Unionist Party	17426
Paul Hodgkinson	Liberal Democrats	14069
Anna Mainwaring	Labour Party	8593
Jason Preece	Reform UK	6502
Chloe Isobel Turner	Green Party	3191
Jean Annlyne Misseys Blackbeard	Independent	448

(See the about page for more information about the nature of these results.)

Winning party: Conservative
Majority: 20997 (41.33%)
Turnout: 71.6%