Prediction set: Test 2024: Near 2024: victory chance
Date: 2024-08-02
Map
Sankey diagram
All predicted constituencies
Constituency | 2019 result (notional) | 2024 result | Prediction | 2029 result | Details |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Aberafan Maesteg | Lab | Lab | Lean Lab | Victory chances: Lab: 74.48%; Ref: 17.20% | |
Aberdeen North | SNP | SNP | Toss-up SNP | Victory chances: SNP: 46.06%; Lab: 41.31% | |
Aberdeen South | SNP | SNP | Toss-up SNP | Victory chances: SNP: 42.24%; Cons: 30.87%; Lab: 22.93% | |
Aberdeenshire North and Moray East | Cons | SNP | Toss-up SNP | Victory chances: SNP: 49.24%; Cons: 37.40% | |
Airdrie and Shotts | SNP | Lab | Lean Lab | Victory chances: Lab: 71.08%; SNP: 26.54% | |
Aldershot | Cons | Lab | Lean Lab | Victory chances: Lab: 56.77%; Cons: 30.00%; Ref: 10.27% | |
Aldridge-Brownhills | Cons | Cons | Lean Cons | Victory chances: Cons: 52.04%; Lab: 25.86%; Ref: 20.71% | |
Alloa and Grangemouth | SNP | Lab | Lean Lab | Victory chances: Lab: 61.54%; SNP: 32.75% | |
Altrincham and Sale West | Cons | Lab | Lean Lab | Victory chances: Lab: 53.96%; Cons: 38.72% | |
Alyn and Deeside | Lab | Lab | Lean Lab | Victory chances: Lab: 69.19%; Ref: 18.41% | |
Amber Valley | Cons | Lab | Toss-up Lab | Victory chances: Lab: 49.04%; Ref: 29.23%; Cons: 20.51% | |
Angus and Perthshire Glens | SNP | SNP | Lean SNP | Victory chances: SNP: 62.77%; Cons: 28.05% | |
Arbroath and Broughty Ferry | SNP | SNP | Toss-up SNP | Victory chances: SNP: 46.85%; Lab: 40.30% | |
Argyll, Bute and South Lochaber | SNP | SNP | Lean SNP | Victory chances: SNP: 55.89%; Cons: 17.57%; Lab: 14.39% | |
Arundel and South Downs | Cons | Cons | Lean Cons | Victory chances: Cons: 64.53%; LD: 13.80%; Lab: 10.32% | |
Ashfield | Cons | Ref | Lean Ref | Victory chances: Ref: 63.58%; Lab: 26.08% | |
Ashford | Cons | Lab | Toss-up Lab | Victory chances: Lab: 48.73%; Cons: 29.01%; Ref: 17.18% | |
Ashton-under-Lyne | Lab | Lab | Lean Lab | Victory chances: Lab: 67.59%; Ref: 21.71% | |
Aylesbury | Cons | Lab | Toss-up Lab | Victory chances: Lab: 37.14%; Cons: 35.89%; LD: 17.53% | |
Ayr, Carrick and Cumnock | SNP | Lab | Toss-up Lab | Victory chances: Lab: 43.68%; SNP: 30.32%; Cons: 22.43% | |
Banbury | Cons | Lab | Lean Lab | Victory chances: Lab: 57.20%; Cons: 32.49% | |
Bangor Aberconwy | Cons | Lab | Lean Lab | Victory chances: Lab: 51.12%; PC: 18.92%; Cons: 18.90% | |
Barking | Lab | Lab | Likely Lab | Victory chances: Lab: 77.39% | |
Barnsley North | Lab | Lab | Lean Lab | Victory chances: Lab: 70.20%; Ref: 26.59% | |
Barnsley South | Lab | Lab | Lean Lab | Victory chances: Lab: 69.62%; Ref: 26.94% | |
Barrow and Furness | Cons | Lab | Lean Lab | Victory chances: Lab: 66.16%; Cons: 24.15% | |
Basildon and Billericay | Cons | Cons | Toss-up Lab | Victory chances: Lab: 37.23%; Cons: 31.91%; Ref: 28.82% | |
Basingstoke | Cons | Lab | Lean Lab | Victory chances: Lab: 56.57%; Cons: 34.35% | |
Bassetlaw | Cons | Lab | Lean Lab | Victory chances: Lab: 57.12%; Cons: 27.21%; Ref: 14.42% | |
Bath | LD | LD | Lean LD | Victory chances: LD: 70.33%; Lab: 12.03% | |
Bathgate and Linlithgow | SNP | Lab | Lean Lab | Victory chances: Lab: 70.85%; SNP: 23.56% | |
Battersea | Lab | Lab | Likely Lab | Victory chances: Lab: 76.57%; Cons: 15.28% | |
Beaconsfield | Cons | Cons | Lean Cons | Victory chances: Cons: 54.41%; LD: 27.63% | |
Beckenham and Penge | Lab | Lab | Likely Lab | Victory chances: Lab: 77.99%; Cons: 15.26% | |
Bedford | Lab | Lab | Likely Lab | Victory chances: Lab: 77.31%; Cons: 13.06% | |
Bermondsey and Old Southwark | Lab | Lab | Lean Lab | Victory chances: Lab: 66.51%; LD: 24.22% | |
Berwickshire, Roxburgh and Selkirk | Cons | Cons | Lean Cons | Victory chances: Cons: 62.56%; SNP: 26.97% | |
Bethnal Green and Stepney | Lab | Lab | Toss-up Ind | Victory chances: Ind: 44.50%; Lab: 41.87% | |
Beverley and Holderness | Cons | Cons | Toss-up Lab | Victory chances: Lab: 42.33%; Cons: 41.72%; Ref: 13.33% | |
Bexhill and Battle | Cons | Cons | Toss-up Cons | Victory chances: Cons: 48.63%; Lab: 34.55%; Ref: 12.03% | |
Bexleyheath and Crayford | Cons | Lab | Lean Lab | Victory chances: Lab: 51.36%; Cons: 28.90%; Ref: 18.30% | |
Bicester and Woodstock | Cons | LD | Toss-up LD | Victory chances: LD: 49.72%; Cons: 35.21%; Lab: 10.34% | |
Birkenhead | Lab | Lab | Likely Lab | Victory chances: Lab: 80.86%; Green: 12.56% | |
Birmingham Edgbaston | Lab | Lab | Lean Lab | Victory chances: Lab: 70.53%; Cons: 18.78% | |
Birmingham Erdington | Lab | Lab | Lean Lab | Victory chances: Lab: 68.22%; Ref: 18.24% | |
Birmingham Hall Green and Moseley | Lab | Lab | Lean Lab | Victory chances: Lab: 54.58%; Ind: 21.77% | |
Birmingham Hodge Hill and Solihull North | Lab | Lab | Toss-up Lab | Victory chances: Lab: 39.25%; Other: 34.59%; Ref: 17.60% | |
Birmingham Ladywood | Lab | Lab | Lean Lab | Victory chances: Lab: 61.29%; Ind: 32.71% | |
Birmingham Northfield | Cons | Lab | Lean Lab | Victory chances: Lab: 59.89%; Cons: 23.89%; Ref: 13.49% | |
Birmingham Perry Barr | Lab | Ind | Toss-up Lab | Victory chances: Lab: 46.72%; Ind: 44.04% | |
Birmingham Selly Oak | Lab | Lab | Lean Lab | Victory chances: Lab: 71.56%; Ref: 10.38% | |
Birmingham Yardley | Lab | Lab | Toss-up Lab | Victory chances: Lab: 43.14%; Other: 38.94% | |
Bishop Auckland | Cons | Lab | Lean Lab | Victory chances: Lab: 60.22%; Cons: 22.25%; Ref: 16.46% | |
Blackburn | Lab | Ind | Toss-up Ind | Victory chances: Ind: 36.89%; Lab: 31.69%; Other: 20.02% | |
Blackley and Middleton South | Lab | Lab | Likely Lab | Victory chances: Lab: 80.28%; Ref: 12.44% | |
Blackpool North and Fleetwood | Cons | Lab | Lean Lab | Victory chances: Lab: 51.67%; Cons: 30.82%; Ref: 16.90% | |
Blackpool South | Cons | Lab | Lean Lab | Victory chances: Lab: 70.61%; Ref: 22.87% | |
Blaenau Gwent and Rhymney | Lab | Lab | Likely Lab | Victory chances: Lab: 84.99% | |
Blaydon and Consett | Lab | Lab | Lean Lab | Victory chances: Lab: 69.68%; Ref: 22.09% | |
Blyth and Ashington | Lab | Lab | Lean Lab | Victory chances: Lab: 71.27%; Ref: 20.21% | |
Bognor Regis and Littlehampton | Cons | Cons | Toss-up Cons | Victory chances: Cons: 38.32%; Lab: 37.48%; Ref: 19.19% | |
Bolsover | Cons | Lab | Lean Lab | Victory chances: Lab: 53.26%; Cons: 25.48%; Ref: 18.03% | |
Bolton North East | Cons | Lab | Lean Lab | Victory chances: Lab: 59.08%; Ref: 18.54%; Cons: 16.79% | |
Bolton South and Walkden | Lab | Lab | Lean Lab | Victory chances: Lab: 61.71%; Ref: 24.11% | |
Bolton West | Cons | Lab | Lean Lab | Victory chances: Lab: 50.93%; Cons: 30.67%; Ref: 14.06% | |
Bootle | Lab | Lab | Safe Lab | Victory chances: Lab: 93.34% | |
Boston and Skegness | Cons | Ref | Toss-up Ref | Victory chances: Ref: 45.27%; Cons: 42.57%; Lab: 11.26% | |
Bournemouth East | Cons | Lab | Lean Lab | Victory chances: Lab: 56.99%; Cons: 29.75% | |
Bournemouth West | Cons | Lab | Toss-up Lab | Victory chances: Lab: 48.59%; Cons: 33.90%; Ref: 12.31% | |
Bracknell | Cons | Lab | Toss-up Lab | Victory chances: Lab: 43.74%; Cons: 41.72% | |
Bradford East | Lab | Lab | Lean Lab | Victory chances: Lab: 64.19%; Ind: 17.76% | |
Bradford South | Lab | Lab | Lean Lab | Victory chances: Lab: 59.13%; Ref: 21.22% | |
Bradford West | Lab | Lab | Toss-up Ind | Victory chances: Ind: 46.33%; Lab: 42.79% | |
Braintree | Cons | Cons | Toss-up Cons | Victory chances: Cons: 41.99%; Lab: 30.50%; Ref: 24.28% | |
Brecon, Radnor and Cwm Tawe | Cons | LD | Toss-up LD | Victory chances: LD: 43.39%; Cons: 27.24%; Lab: 18.44% | |
Brent East | Lab | Lab | Likely Lab | Victory chances: Lab: 82.99% | |
Brent West | Lab | Lab | Lean Lab | Victory chances: Lab: 59.25%; Cons: 35.76% | |
Brentford and Isleworth | Lab | Lab | Lean Lab | Victory chances: Lab: 67.54%; Cons: 22.33% | |
Brentwood and Ongar | Cons | Cons | Lean Cons | Victory chances: Cons: 53.17%; Ref: 23.46%; Lab: 18.18% | |
Bridgend | Cons | Lab | Lean Lab | Victory chances: Lab: 67.88%; Ref: 15.07%; Cons: 11.54% | |
Bridgwater | Cons | Cons | Toss-up Cons | Victory chances: Cons: 42.86%; Lab: 26.24%; Ref: 21.29% | |
Bridlington and The Wolds | Cons | Cons | Toss-up Cons | Victory chances: Cons: 48.32%; Lab: 30.81%; Ref: 18.36% | |
Brigg and Immingham | Cons | Cons | Toss-up Cons | Victory chances: Cons: 43.87%; Lab: 32.61%; Ref: 22.53% | |
Brighton Kemptown and Peacehaven | Lab | Lab | Lean Lab | Victory chances: Lab: 66.52%; Cons: 14.78%; Green: 14.40% | |
Brighton Pavilion | Green | Green | Lean Green | Victory chances: Green: 74.86%; Lab: 22.67% | |
Bristol Central | Lab | Green | Likely Green | Victory chances: Green: 78.01%; Lab: 21.25% | |
Bristol East | Lab | Lab | Lean Lab | Victory chances: Lab: 64.69%; Green: 29.61% | |
Bristol North East | Lab | Lab | Lean Lab | Victory chances: Lab: 68.91%; Green: 15.45% | |
Bristol North West | Lab | Lab | Likely Lab | Victory chances: Lab: 76.06%; Green: 10.29% | |
Bristol South | Lab | Lab | Lean Lab | Victory chances: Lab: 69.49%; Green: 18.53% | |
Broadland and Fakenham | Cons | Cons | Toss-up Cons | Victory chances: Cons: 41.43%; Lab: 35.28%; Ref: 15.58% | |
Bromley and Biggin Hill | Cons | Cons | Toss-up Cons | Victory chances: Cons: 42.97%; Lab: 40.99%; Ref: 12.11% | |
Bromsgrove | Cons | Cons | Toss-up Cons | Victory chances: Cons: 46.50%; Lab: 29.90%; Ref: 15.29% | |
Broxbourne | Cons | Cons | Lean Cons | Victory chances: Cons: 50.27%; Lab: 34.32%; Ref: 13.14% | |
Broxtowe | Cons | Lab | Lean Lab | Victory chances: Lab: 61.98%; Cons: 20.38%; Ref: 12.62% | |
Buckingham and Bletchley | Cons | Lab | Toss-up Lab | Victory chances: Lab: 48.87%; Cons: 36.90% | |
Burnley | Cons | Lab | Toss-up Lab | Victory chances: Lab: 40.34%; LD: 24.10%; Cons: 18.04%; Ref: 17.04% | |
Burton and Uttoxeter | Cons | Lab | Toss-up Lab | Victory chances: Lab: 45.68%; Cons: 36.21%; Ref: 16.01% | |
Bury North | Cons | Lab | Lean Lab | Victory chances: Lab: 64.09%; Cons: 26.72% | |
Bury South | Cons | Lab | Lean Lab | Victory chances: Lab: 68.82%; Cons: 21.14% | |
Bury St Edmunds and Stowmarket | Cons | Lab | Toss-up Lab | Victory chances: Lab: 43.13%; Cons: 38.31%; Ref: 11.60% | |
Caerfyrddin | Cons | PC | Toss-up PC | Victory chances: PC: 46.78%; Lab: 25.90%; Cons: 16.14%; Ref: 10.44% | |
Caerphilly | Lab | Lab | Lean Lab | Victory chances: Lab: 59.83%; Ref: 17.68%; PC: 16.02% | |
Caithness, Sutherland and Easter Ross | SNP | LD | Lean LD | Victory chances: LD: 70.80%; SNP: 25.15% | |
Calder Valley | Cons | Lab | Lean Lab | Victory chances: Lab: 66.70%; Cons: 21.86% | |
Camborne and Redruth | Cons | Lab | Lean Lab | Victory chances: Lab: 60.44%; Cons: 21.48%; Ref: 14.03% | |
Cambridge | Lab | Lab | Lean Lab | Victory chances: Lab: 73.58%; LD: 13.99% | |
Cannock Chase | Cons | Lab | Toss-up Lab | Victory chances: Lab: 48.06%; Cons: 26.81%; Ref: 23.96% | |
Canterbury | Lab | Lab | Lean Lab | Victory chances: Lab: 64.15%; Cons: 19.92% | |
Cardiff East | Lab | Lab | Lean Lab | Victory chances: Lab: 71.46%; LD: 12.46% | |
Cardiff North | Lab | Lab | Lean Lab | Victory chances: Lab: 72.65%; Cons: 15.60% | |
Cardiff South and Penarth | Lab | Lab | Lean Lab | Victory chances: Lab: 72.50% | |
Cardiff West | Lab | Lab | Lean Lab | Victory chances: Lab: 57.33%; PC: 22.31% | |
Carlisle | Cons | Lab | Toss-up Lab | Victory chances: Lab: 49.87%; Cons: 34.09%; Ref: 13.71% | |
Carshalton and Wallington | Cons | LD | Lean LD | Victory chances: LD: 67.91%; Cons: 19.52% | |
Castle Point | Cons | Cons | Toss-up Cons | Victory chances: Cons: 43.91%; Ref: 36.86%; Lab: 17.74% | |
Central Ayrshire | SNP | Lab | Lean Lab | Victory chances: Lab: 64.16%; SNP: 26.43% | |
Central Devon | Cons | Cons | Toss-up Lab | Victory chances: Lab: 44.00%; Cons: 38.78% | |
Central Suffolk and North Ipswich | Cons | Cons | Toss-up Cons | Victory chances: Cons: 44.34%; Lab: 26.47%; Ref: 15.68% | |
Ceredigion Preseli | PC | PC | Likely PC | Victory chances: PC: 75.07% | |
Chatham and Aylesford | Cons | Lab | Toss-up Lab | Victory chances: Lab: 39.83%; Ref: 28.96%; Cons: 28.75% | |
Cheadle | Cons | LD | Likely LD | Victory chances: LD: 75.70%; Cons: 13.56% | |
Chelmsford | Cons | LD | Lean LD | Victory chances: LD: 58.25%; Cons: 30.43% | |
Chelsea and Fulham | Cons | Lab | Lean Cons | Victory chances: Cons: 53.61%; Lab: 41.72% | |
Cheltenham | Cons | LD | Lean LD | Victory chances: LD: 62.77%; Cons: 35.40% | |
Chesham and Amersham | Cons | LD | Lean LD | Victory chances: LD: 53.85%; Cons: 42.20% | |
Chester North and Neston | Lab | Lab | Likely Lab | Victory chances: Lab: 75.17%; Cons: 15.00% | |
Chester South and Eddisbury | Cons | Cons | Lean Cons | Victory chances: Cons: 59.07%; Lab: 30.01% | |
Chesterfield | Lab | Lab | Lean Lab | Victory chances: Lab: 73.90%; Ref: 12.34%; Cons: 11.34% | |
Chichester | Cons | LD | Lean LD | Victory chances: LD: 69.25%; Cons: 21.17% | |
Chingford and Woodford Green | Cons | Cons | Toss-up Cons | Victory chances: Cons: 43.00%; Ind: 27.24%; Lab: 26.93% | |
Chippenham | Cons | LD | Lean LD | Victory chances: LD: 70.70%; Cons: 22.35% | |
Chipping Barnet | Cons | Lab | Lean Lab | Victory chances: Lab: 56.31%; Cons: 39.05% | |
Chorley | Other | Other | Safe Other | Victory chances: Other: 97.64% | |
Christchurch | Cons | Cons | Lean Cons | Victory chances: Cons: 55.94%; LD: 20.01%; Ref: 13.29% | |
Cities of London and Westminster | Cons | Lab | Lean Lab | Victory chances: Lab: 59.70%; Cons: 32.06% | |
City of Durham | Lab | Lab | Lean Lab | Victory chances: Lab: 69.45%; Ref: 13.17% | |
Clacton | Cons | Ref | Lean Ref | Victory chances: Ref: 63.39%; Cons: 24.74%; Lab: 10.47% | |
Clapham and Brixton Hill | Lab | Lab | Likely Lab | Victory chances: Lab: 87.72% | |
Clwyd East | Cons | Lab | Lean Lab | Victory chances: Lab: 59.41%; Cons: 29.30% | |
Clwyd North | Cons | Lab | Toss-up Lab | Victory chances: Lab: 48.60%; Cons: 35.85%; Ref: 12.17% | |
Coatbridge and Bellshill | SNP | Lab | Lean Lab | Victory chances: Lab: 61.72%; SNP: 36.21% | |
Colchester | Cons | Lab | Lean Lab | Victory chances: Lab: 63.89%; Cons: 20.32% | |
Colne Valley | Cons | Lab | Lean Lab | Victory chances: Lab: 59.51%; Cons: 30.83% | |
Congleton | Cons | Lab | Lean Lab | Victory chances: Lab: 55.75%; Cons: 32.96% | |
Corby and East Northamptonshire | Cons | Lab | Lean Lab | Victory chances: Lab: 61.81%; Cons: 25.56%; Ref: 11.29% | |
Coventry East | Lab | Lab | Likely Lab | Victory chances: Lab: 78.11%; Ref: 10.43% | |
Coventry North West | Lab | Lab | Lean Lab | Victory chances: Lab: 71.02%; Cons: 14.73%; Ref: 11.16% | |
Coventry South | Lab | Lab | Lean Lab | Victory chances: Lab: 74.61%; Cons: 16.95% | |
Cowdenbeath and Kirkcaldy | SNP | Lab | Lean Lab | Victory chances: Lab: 72.26%; SNP: 23.10% | |
Cramlington and Killingworth | Lab | Lab | Lean Lab | Victory chances: Lab: 68.04%; Ref: 15.80%; Cons: 14.63% | |
Crawley | Cons | Lab | Lean Lab | Victory chances: Lab: 59.27%; Cons: 24.55%; Ref: 13.15% | |
Crewe and Nantwich | Cons | Lab | Lean Lab | Victory chances: Lab: 62.34%; Cons: 18.79%; Ref: 16.87% | |
Croydon East | Lab | Lab | Lean Lab | Victory chances: Lab: 59.26%; Cons: 28.93% | |
Croydon South | Cons | Cons | Lean Cons | Victory chances: Cons: 52.30%; Lab: 40.14% | |
Croydon West | Lab | Lab | Likely Lab | Victory chances: Lab: 84.32% | |
Cumbernauld and Kirkintilloch | SNP | Lab | Lean Lab | Victory chances: Lab: 62.40%; SNP: 34.86% | |
Dagenham and Rainham | Lab | Lab | Lean Lab | Victory chances: Lab: 62.52%; Ref: 22.28%; Cons: 10.53% | |
Darlington | Cons | Lab | Toss-up Lab | Victory chances: Lab: 49.95%; Cons: 41.45% | |
Dartford | Cons | Lab | Toss-up Lab | Victory chances: Lab: 45.99%; Cons: 33.78%; Ref: 17.67% | |
Daventry | Cons | Cons | Toss-up Cons | Victory chances: Cons: 44.92%; Lab: 33.41%; Ref: 14.16% | |
Derby North | Cons | Lab | Lean Lab | Victory chances: Lab: 68.24%; Cons: 16.56%; Ref: 11.82% | |
Derby South | Lab | Lab | Lean Lab | Victory chances: Lab: 58.47%; Ref: 21.76%; Cons: 10.33% | |
Derbyshire Dales | Cons | Lab | Toss-up Lab | Victory chances: Lab: 46.14%; Cons: 41.40% | |
Dewsbury and Batley | Lab | Ind | Lean Ind | Victory chances: Ind: 61.66%; Lab: 22.00%; Ref: 11.06% | |
Didcot and Wantage | Cons | LD | Lean LD | Victory chances: LD: 60.44%; Cons: 25.71% | |
Doncaster Central | Lab | Lab | Lean Lab | Victory chances: Lab: 66.68%; Cons: 18.05%; Ref: 13.99% | |
Doncaster East and the Isle of Axholme | Cons | Lab | Toss-up Lab | Victory chances: Lab: 45.53%; Cons: 37.70%; Ref: 16.00% | |
Doncaster North | Lab | Lab | Likely Lab | Victory chances: Lab: 77.82%; Cons: 19.29% | |
Dorking and Horley | Cons | LD | Lean LD | Victory chances: LD: 60.62%; Cons: 31.94% | |
Dover and Deal | Cons | Lab | Lean Lab | Victory chances: Lab: 55.76%; Cons: 21.54%; Ref: 19.43% | |
Droitwich and Evesham | Cons | Cons | Lean Cons | Victory chances: Cons: 57.55%; Lab: 19.46%; Ref: 16.28% | |
Dudley | Cons | Lab | Toss-up Lab | Victory chances: Lab: 43.42%; Ref: 30.25%; Cons: 25.24% | |
Dulwich and West Norwood | Lab | Lab | Likely Lab | Victory chances: Lab: 87.39% | |
Dumfries and Galloway | Cons | Cons | Toss-up Cons | Victory chances: Cons: 35.67%; Lab: 30.28%; SNP: 28.38% | |
Dumfriesshire, Clydesdale and Tweeddale | Cons | Cons | Toss-up Cons | Victory chances: Cons: 48.26%; Lab: 23.43%; SNP: 23.26% | |
Dundee Central | SNP | SNP | Toss-up SNP | Victory chances: SNP: 49.01%; Lab: 47.53% | |
Dunfermline and Dollar | SNP | Lab | Lean Lab | Victory chances: Lab: 63.60%; SNP: 29.92% | |
Dunstable and Leighton Buzzard | Cons | Lab | Toss-up Lab | Victory chances: Lab: 39.82%; Cons: 35.04%; Ref: 14.98% | |
Dwyfor Meirionnydd | PC | PC | Likely PC | Victory chances: PC: 86.02% | |
Ealing Central and Acton | Lab | Lab | Likely Lab | Victory chances: Lab: 76.88%; Cons: 12.08% | |
Ealing North | Lab | Lab | Likely Lab | Victory chances: Lab: 79.81%; Cons: 12.80% | |
Ealing Southall | Lab | Lab | Likely Lab | Victory chances: Lab: 83.52% | |
Earley and Woodley | Cons | Lab | Lean Lab | Victory chances: Lab: 50.02%; Cons: 44.13% | |
Easington | Lab | Lab | Lean Lab | Victory chances: Lab: 67.91%; Ref: 27.96% | |
East Grinstead and Uckfield | Cons | Cons | Lean Cons | Victory chances: Cons: 60.92%; Lab: 18.34%; LD: 15.08% | |
East Ham | Lab | Lab | Likely Lab | Victory chances: Lab: 81.89% | |
East Hampshire | Cons | Cons | Toss-up Cons | Victory chances: Cons: 47.49%; LD: 41.38% | |
East Kilbride and Strathaven | SNP | Lab | Lean Lab | Victory chances: Lab: 69.20%; SNP: 27.26% | |
East Renfrewshire | SNP | Lab | Lean Lab | Victory chances: Lab: 62.00%; SNP: 26.71% | |
East Surrey | Cons | Cons | Lean Cons | Victory chances: Cons: 52.02%; Lab: 18.14%; Ref: 14.47%; LD: 13.25% | |
East Thanet | Cons | Lab | Lean Lab | Victory chances: Lab: 57.93%; Cons: 19.51%; Ref: 17.69% | |
East Wiltshire | Cons | Cons | Toss-up Cons | Victory chances: Cons: 47.12%; Lab: 24.78%; LD: 16.28%; Ref: 11.00% | |
East Worthing and Shoreham | Cons | Lab | Lean Lab | Victory chances: Lab: 68.59%; Cons: 22.44% | |
Eastbourne | Cons | LD | Likely LD | Victory chances: LD: 76.40%; Cons: 17.74% | |
Eastleigh | Cons | LD | Toss-up LD | Victory chances: LD: 47.66%; Cons: 37.11% | |
Edinburgh East and Musselburgh | SNP | Lab | Lean Lab | Victory chances: Lab: 57.90%; SNP: 35.80% | |
Edinburgh North and Leith | SNP | Lab | Lean Lab | Victory chances: Lab: 60.23%; SNP: 31.30% | |
Edinburgh South | Lab | Lab | Likely Lab | Victory chances: Lab: 85.54% | |
Edinburgh South West | SNP | Lab | Lean Lab | Victory chances: Lab: 64.25%; SNP: 25.91% | |
Edinburgh West | LD | LD | Likely LD | Victory chances: LD: 78.79%; SNP: 11.18% | |
Edmonton and Winchmore Hill | Lab | Lab | Likely Lab | Victory chances: Lab: 80.89%; Cons: 11.52% | |
Ellesmere Port and Bromborough | Lab | Lab | Likely Lab | Victory chances: Lab: 89.16% | |
Eltham and Chislehurst | Cons | Lab | Lean Lab | Victory chances: Lab: 67.39%; Cons: 22.28% | |
Ely and East Cambridgeshire | Cons | LD | Toss-up LD | Victory chances: LD: 45.34%; Cons: 34.85%; Lab: 12.88% | |
Enfield North | Lab | Lab | Likely Lab | Victory chances: Lab: 79.93%; Cons: 12.84% | |
Epping Forest | Cons | Cons | Lean Cons | Victory chances: Cons: 60.69%; Lab: 30.65% | |
Epsom and Ewell | Cons | LD | Toss-up LD | Victory chances: LD: 44.98%; Cons: 40.12% | |
Erewash | Cons | Lab | Lean Lab | Victory chances: Lab: 60.26%; Cons: 25.63%; Ref: 11.93% | |
Erith and Thamesmead | Lab | Lab | Likely Lab | Victory chances: Lab: 86.13% | |
Esher and Walton | Cons | LD | Lean LD | Victory chances: LD: 66.45%; Cons: 30.34% | |
Exeter | Lab | Lab | Lean Lab | Victory chances: Lab: 72.72% | |
Exmouth and Exeter East | Cons | Cons | Toss-up Cons | Victory chances: Cons: 39.55%; Lab: 31.39%; LD: 21.41% | |
Falkirk | SNP | Lab | Lean Lab | Victory chances: Lab: 66.13%; SNP: 28.31% | |
Fareham and Waterlooville | Cons | Cons | Lean Cons | Victory chances: Cons: 53.81%; Lab: 19.65%; Ref: 14.55%; LD: 11.45% | |
Farnham and Bordon | Cons | Cons | Toss-up Cons | Victory chances: Cons: 42.57%; LD: 41.81% | |
Faversham and Mid Kent | Cons | Cons | Toss-up Cons | Victory chances: Cons: 45.94%; Lab: 34.06%; Ref: 14.43% | |
Feltham and Heston | Lab | Lab | Lean Lab | Victory chances: Lab: 68.80%; Cons: 17.81% | |
Filton and Bradley Stoke | Cons | Lab | Lean Lab | Victory chances: Lab: 66.68%; Cons: 23.45% | |
Finchley and Golders Green | Cons | Lab | Lean Lab | Victory chances: Lab: 60.24%; Cons: 35.20% | |
Folkestone and Hythe | Cons | Lab | Toss-up Lab | Victory chances: Lab: 45.18%; Cons: 28.33%; Ref: 23.03% | |
Forest of Dean | Cons | Lab | Toss-up Lab | Victory chances: Lab: 41.75%; Cons: 39.59%; Ref: 13.46% | |
Frome and East Somerset | Cons | LD | Lean LD | Victory chances: LD: 59.93%; Cons: 20.88% | |
Fylde | Cons | Cons | Toss-up Cons | Victory chances: Cons: 46.45%; Lab: 36.95%; Ref: 12.68% | |
Gainsborough | Cons | Cons | Toss-up Cons | Victory chances: Cons: 45.34%; Lab: 29.40%; Ref: 19.58% | |
Gateshead Central and Whickham | Lab | Lab | Lean Lab | Victory chances: Lab: 71.03%; Ref: 17.08% | |
Gedling | Cons | Lab | Lean Lab | Victory chances: Lab: 72.66%; Cons: 16.07% | |
Gillingham and Rainham | Cons | Lab | Lean Lab | Victory chances: Lab: 55.36%; Cons: 28.21%; Ref: 14.14% | |
Glasgow East | SNP | Lab | Lean Lab | Victory chances: Lab: 63.82%; SNP: 31.41% | |
Glasgow North | SNP | Lab | Lean Lab | Victory chances: Lab: 64.94%; SNP: 28.60% | |
Glasgow North East | SNP | Lab | Lean Lab | Victory chances: Lab: 64.53%; SNP: 31.78% | |
Glasgow South | SNP | Lab | Lean Lab | Victory chances: Lab: 61.39%; SNP: 31.88% | |
Glasgow South West | SNP | Lab | Lean Lab | Victory chances: Lab: 61.23%; SNP: 34.68% | |
Glasgow West | SNP | Lab | Lean Lab | Victory chances: Lab: 66.66%; SNP: 28.69% | |
Glastonbury and Somerton | Cons | LD | Lean LD | Victory chances: LD: 61.37%; Cons: 29.05% | |
Glenrothes and Mid Fife | SNP | Lab | Lean Lab | Victory chances: Lab: 56.75%; SNP: 39.57% | |
Gloucester | Cons | Lab | Lean Lab | Victory chances: Lab: 51.88%; Cons: 33.28% | |
Godalming and Ash | Cons | Cons | Lean Cons | Victory chances: Cons: 51.58%; LD: 45.64% | |
Goole and Pocklington | Cons | Cons | Lean Cons | Victory chances: Cons: 51.51%; Lab: 32.14%; Ref: 13.29% | |
Gordon and Buchan | Cons | Cons | Toss-up Cons | Victory chances: Cons: 40.12%; SNP: 35.49%; LD: 14.74% | |
Gorton and Denton | Lab | Lab | Likely Lab | Victory chances: Lab: 81.70% | |
Gosport | Cons | Cons | Lean Cons | Victory chances: Cons: 59.25%; Lab: 26.14%; Ref: 11.36% | |
Gower | Lab | Lab | Lean Lab | Victory chances: Lab: 67.32%; Cons: 15.10%; Ref: 12.06% | |
Grantham and Bourne | Cons | Cons | Lean Cons | Victory chances: Cons: 56.69%; Lab: 26.04%; Ref: 14.81% | |
Gravesham | Cons | Lab | Lean Lab | Victory chances: Lab: 50.96%; Cons: 34.50%; Ref: 13.03% | |
Great Grimsby and Cleethorpes | Cons | Lab | Lean Lab | Victory chances: Lab: 52.70%; Ref: 27.27%; Cons: 19.42% | |
Great Yarmouth | Cons | Ref | Toss-up Ref | Victory chances: Ref: 44.47%; Lab: 32.50%; Cons: 22.10% | |
Greenwich and Woolwich | Lab | Lab | Likely Lab | Victory chances: Lab: 85.57% | |
Guildford | Cons | LD | Lean LD | Victory chances: LD: 70.46%; Cons: 24.29% | |
Hackney North and Stoke Newington | Lab | Lab | Likely Lab | Victory chances: Lab: 84.52%; Green: 12.81% | |
Hackney South and Shoreditch | Lab | Lab | Likely Lab | Victory chances: Lab: 87.16%; Green: 11.37% | |
Halesowen | Cons | Lab | Lean Lab | Victory chances: Lab: 54.43%; Cons: 27.59%; Ref: 15.73% | |
Halifax | Lab | Lab | Lean Lab | Victory chances: Lab: 61.60%; Ref: 16.95%; Cons: 13.77% | |
Hamble Valley | Cons | Cons | Lean Cons | Victory chances: Cons: 52.88%; LD: 26.52%; Lab: 12.00% | |
Hamilton and Clyde Valley | SNP | Lab | Lean Lab | Victory chances: Lab: 69.16%; SNP: 24.44% | |
Hammersmith and Chiswick | Lab | Lab | Likely Lab | Victory chances: Lab: 81.43%; Cons: 10.51% | |
Hampstead and Highgate | Lab | Lab | Likely Lab | Victory chances: Lab: 77.84%; Cons: 10.47% | |
Harborough, Oadby and Wigston | Cons | Cons | Toss-up Cons | Victory chances: Cons: 46.53%; Lab: 42.52% | |
Harlow | Cons | Lab | Toss-up Lab | Victory chances: Lab: 46.15%; Cons: 37.91%; Ref: 14.53% | |
Harpenden and Berkhamsted | Cons | LD | Lean LD | Victory chances: LD: 68.59%; Cons: 27.75% | |
Harrogate and Knaresborough | Cons | LD | Lean LD | Victory chances: LD: 61.85%; Cons: 32.23% | |
Harrow East | Cons | Cons | Lean Cons | Victory chances: Cons: 72.65%; Lab: 24.83% | |
Harrow West | Lab | Lab | Lean Lab | Victory chances: Lab: 63.36%; Cons: 31.10% | |
Hartlepool | Lab | Lab | Lean Lab | Victory chances: Lab: 67.61%; Ref: 17.34%; Cons: 14.50% | |
Harwich and North Essex | Cons | Cons | Toss-up Cons | Victory chances: Cons: 42.55%; Lab: 38.64%; Ref: 16.01% | |
Hastings and Rye | Cons | Lab | Lean Lab | Victory chances: Lab: 66.48%; Cons: 18.56% | |
Havant | Cons | Cons | Toss-up Cons | Victory chances: Cons: 37.09%; Lab: 36.23%; Ref: 22.82% | |
Hayes and Harlington | Lab | Lab | Likely Lab | Victory chances: Lab: 78.99%; Cons: 15.55% | |
Hazel Grove | Cons | LD | Lean LD | Victory chances: LD: 54.31%; Lab: 24.41%; Cons: 11.80% | |
Hemel Hempstead | Cons | Lab | Lean Lab | Victory chances: Lab: 52.30%; Cons: 28.32%; Ref: 13.29% | |
Hendon | Cons | Lab | Lean Cons | Victory chances: Cons: 52.52%; Lab: 43.37% | |
Henley and Thame | Cons | LD | Lean LD | Victory chances: LD: 66.03%; Cons: 28.59% | |
Hereford and South Herefordshire | Cons | Cons | Toss-up Cons | Victory chances: Cons: 41.59%; Lab: 33.24%; Ref: 16.81% | |
Herne Bay and Sandwich | Cons | Cons | Toss-up Lab | Victory chances: Lab: 40.77%; Cons: 40.41%; Ref: 15.73% | |
Hertford and Stortford | Cons | Lab | Lean Lab | Victory chances: Lab: 54.78%; Cons: 30.50% | |
Hertsmere | Cons | Cons | Lean Cons | Victory chances: Cons: 63.08%; Lab: 27.77% | |
Hexham | Cons | Lab | Lean Lab | Victory chances: Lab: 58.12%; Cons: 40.41% | |
Heywood and Middleton North | Lab | Lab | Lean Lab | Victory chances: Lab: 58.80%; Ref: 21.50%; Cons: 12.44% | |
High Peak | Cons | Lab | Lean Lab | Victory chances: Lab: 67.12%; Cons: 25.09% | |
Hinckley and Bosworth | Cons | Cons | Toss-up Cons | Victory chances: Cons: 44.51%; LD: 27.84%; Lab: 14.92%; Ref: 12.32% | |
Hitchin | Cons | Lab | Lean Lab | Victory chances: Lab: 69.28%; Cons: 22.22% | |
Holborn and St Pancras | Lab | Lab | Likely Lab | Victory chances: Lab: 76.70%; Ind: 14.41% | |
Honiton and Sidmouth | Cons | LD | Lean LD | Victory chances: LD: 58.15%; Cons: 35.85% | |
Hornchurch and Upminster | Cons | Cons | Toss-up Cons | Victory chances: Cons: 33.65%; Lab: 33.01%; Ref: 31.04% | |
Hornsey and Friern Barnet | Lab | Lab | Likely Lab | Victory chances: Lab: 86.57% | |
Horsham | Cons | LD | Lean LD | Victory chances: LD: 54.16%; Cons: 36.66% | |
Houghton and Sunderland South | Lab | Lab | Lean Lab | Victory chances: Lab: 70.12%; Ref: 22.02% | |
Hove and Portslade | Lab | Lab | Likely Lab | Victory chances: Lab: 82.95% | |
Huddersfield | Lab | Lab | Lean Lab | Victory chances: Lab: 60.19%; Green: 22.82% | |
Huntingdon | Cons | Cons | Lean Cons | Victory chances: Cons: 51.66%; Lab: 34.07% | |
Hyndburn | Cons | Lab | Toss-up Lab | Victory chances: Lab: 43.39%; Cons: 31.12%; Ref: 16.33% | |
Ilford North | Lab | Lab | Toss-up Lab | Victory chances: Lab: 46.27%; Ind: 34.00%; Cons: 16.82% | |
Ilford South | Lab | Lab | Lean Lab | Victory chances: Lab: 62.18%; Ind: 23.71% | |
Inverclyde and Renfrewshire West | SNP | Lab | Lean Lab | Victory chances: Lab: 64.02%; SNP: 32.51% | |
Inverness, Skye and West Ross-shire | SNP | LD | Lean LD | Victory chances: LD: 53.09%; SNP: 39.13% | |
Ipswich | Cons | Lab | Lean Lab | Victory chances: Lab: 66.99%; Cons: 21.23% | |
Isle of Wight East | Cons | Cons | Toss-up Cons | Victory chances: Cons: 41.16%; Ref: 20.50%; Green: 17.38%; Lab: 16.06% | |
Isle of Wight West | Cons | Lab | Lean Lab | Victory chances: Lab: 55.75%; Cons: 30.94%; Ref: 10.25% | |
Islington North | Lab | Ind | Lean Ind | Victory chances: Ind: 70.38%; Lab: 27.87% | |
Islington South and Finsbury | Lab | Lab | Likely Lab | Victory chances: Lab: 83.56%; Green: 10.15% | |
Jarrow and Gateshead East | Lab | Lab | Likely Lab | Victory chances: Lab: 75.55%; Ref: 20.83% | |
Keighley and Ilkley | Cons | Cons | Lean Cons | Victory chances: Cons: 50.87%; Lab: 44.83% | |
Kenilworth and Southam | Cons | Cons | Lean Cons | Victory chances: Cons: 55.24%; Lab: 20.60%; LD: 16.95% | |
Kensington and Bayswater | Lab | Lab | Lean Lab | Victory chances: Lab: 54.32%; Cons: 40.40% | |
Kettering | Cons | Lab | Toss-up Lab | Victory chances: Lab: 48.90%; Cons: 34.79% | |
Kilmarnock and Loudoun | SNP | Lab | Lean Lab | Victory chances: Lab: 58.94%; SNP: 36.39% | |
Kingston and Surbiton | LD | LD | Likely LD | Victory chances: LD: 81.10% | |
Kingston upon Hull East | Lab | Lab | Lean Lab | Victory chances: Lab: 59.21%; Ref: 33.04% | |
Kingston upon Hull North and Cottingham | Lab | Lab | Likely Lab | Victory chances: Lab: 75.92%; Ref: 14.66% | |
Kingston upon Hull West and Haltemprice | Cons | Lab | Lean Lab | Victory chances: Lab: 68.56%; Ref: 18.88%; Cons: 10.74% | |
Kingswinford and South Staffordshire | Cons | Cons | Lean Cons | Victory chances: Cons: 57.12%; Lab: 23.55%; Ref: 17.97% | |
Knowsley | Lab | Lab | Safe Lab | Victory chances: Lab: 91.63% | |
Lancaster and Wyre | Cons | Lab | Lean Lab | Victory chances: Lab: 66.90%; Cons: 19.39% | |
Leeds Central and Headingley | Lab | Lab | Likely Lab | Victory chances: Lab: 77.60%; Green: 16.83% | |
Leeds East | Lab | Lab | Lean Lab | Victory chances: Lab: 71.63%; Ref: 12.70%; Cons: 12.10% | |
Leeds North East | Lab | Lab | Likely Lab | Victory chances: Lab: 83.32% | |
Leeds North West | Cons | Lab | Lean Lab | Victory chances: Lab: 70.29%; Cons: 19.09% | |
Leeds South | Lab | Lab | Likely Lab | Victory chances: Lab: 80.69%; Green: 11.66% | |
Leeds South West and Morley | Cons | Lab | Lean Lab | Victory chances: Lab: 62.36%; Cons: 20.39%; Ref: 15.06% | |
Leeds West and Pudsey | Lab | Lab | Likely Lab | Victory chances: Lab: 81.10% | |
Leicester East | Lab | Cons | Lean Cons | Victory chances: Cons: 55.45%; Lab: 22.39%; LD: 10.36% | |
Leicester South | Lab | Ind | Lean Ind | Victory chances: Ind: 51.72%; Lab: 38.71% | |
Leicester West | Lab | Lab | Lean Lab | Victory chances: Lab: 69.79%; Cons: 14.51% | |
Leigh and Atherton | Cons | Lab | Lean Lab | Victory chances: Lab: 70.67%; Ref: 20.21% | |
Lewes | Cons | LD | Likely LD | Victory chances: LD: 77.27%; Cons: 17.19% | |
Lewisham East | Lab | Lab | Likely Lab | Victory chances: Lab: 87.48% | |
Lewisham North | Lab | Lab | Likely Lab | Victory chances: Lab: 86.04%; Green: 11.23% | |
Lewisham West and East Dulwich | Lab | Lab | Likely Lab | Victory chances: Lab: 89.81% | |
Leyton and Wanstead | Lab | Lab | Likely Lab | Victory chances: Lab: 77.85%; Green: 10.13% | |
Lichfield | Cons | Lab | Toss-up Cons | Victory chances: Cons: 42.95%; Lab: 38.44%; Ref: 15.77% | |
Lincoln | Cons | Lab | Lean Lab | Victory chances: Lab: 60.13%; Cons: 23.18%; Ref: 13.97% | |
Liverpool Garston | Lab | Lab | Safe Lab | Victory chances: Lab: 91.60% | |
Liverpool Riverside | Lab | Lab | Safe Lab | Victory chances: Lab: 90.91% | |
Liverpool Walton | Lab | Lab | Safe Lab | Victory chances: Lab: 94.88% | |
Liverpool Wavertree | Lab | Lab | Likely Lab | Victory chances: Lab: 86.37% | |
Liverpool West Derby | Lab | Lab | Safe Lab | Victory chances: Lab: 94.49% | |
Livingston | SNP | Lab | Lean Lab | Victory chances: Lab: 57.96%; SNP: 36.17% | |
Llanelli | Lab | Lab | Toss-up Lab | Victory chances: Lab: 41.07%; Ref: 29.92%; PC: 23.77% | |
Lothian East | SNP | Lab | Lean Lab | Victory chances: Lab: 74.62%; SNP: 17.49% | |
Loughborough | Cons | Lab | Lean Lab | Victory chances: Lab: 53.85%; Cons: 30.85%; Ref: 12.21% | |
Louth and Horncastle | Cons | Cons | Lean Cons | Victory chances: Cons: 53.96%; Ref: 24.51%; Lab: 18.99% | |
Lowestoft | Cons | Lab | Toss-up Lab | Victory chances: Lab: 42.95%; Cons: 33.69%; Ref: 21.09% | |
Luton North | Lab | Lab | Lean Lab | Victory chances: Lab: 61.37%; Cons: 19.57% | |
Luton South and South Bedfordshire | Lab | Lab | Lean Lab | Victory chances: Lab: 63.00%; Cons: 14.83% | |
Macclesfield | Cons | Lab | Lean Lab | Victory chances: Lab: 69.27%; Cons: 25.40% | |
Maidenhead | Cons | LD | Lean LD | Victory chances: LD: 58.66%; Cons: 37.00% | |
Maidstone and Malling | Cons | Cons | Toss-up Cons | Victory chances: Cons: 42.59%; Lab: 33.33%; Ref: 13.43% | |
Makerfield | Lab | Lab | Lean Lab | Victory chances: Lab: 69.90%; Ref: 24.78% | |
Maldon | Cons | Cons | Lean Cons | Victory chances: Cons: 57.54%; Ref: 22.00%; Lab: 13.60% | |
Manchester Central | Lab | Lab | Likely Lab | Victory chances: Lab: 86.27% | |
Manchester Rusholme | Lab | Lab | Lean Lab | Victory chances: Lab: 73.97%; Green: 18.92% | |
Manchester Withington | Lab | Lab | Likely Lab | Victory chances: Lab: 82.91% | |
Mansfield | Cons | Lab | Lean Lab | Victory chances: Lab: 57.20%; Cons: 26.50%; Ref: 15.74% | |
Melksham and Devizes | Cons | LD | Lean LD | Victory chances: LD: 55.52%; Cons: 35.55% | |
Melton and Syston | Cons | Cons | Lean Cons | Victory chances: Cons: 53.34%; Lab: 28.93%; Ref: 13.63% | |
Meriden and Solihull East | Cons | Cons | Toss-up Cons | Victory chances: Cons: 47.61%; Lab: 30.86%; Ref: 17.17% | |
Merthyr Tydfil and Aberdare | Lab | Lab | Lean Lab | Victory chances: Lab: 70.30%; Ref: 20.89% | |
Mid and South Pembrokeshire | Cons | Lab | Lean Lab | Victory chances: Lab: 53.59%; Cons: 31.78%; Ref: 11.79% | |
Mid Bedfordshire | Cons | Cons | Toss-up Lab | Victory chances: Lab: 41.48%; Cons: 40.36%; Ref: 13.50% | |
Mid Buckinghamshire | Cons | Cons | Lean Cons | Victory chances: Cons: 55.54%; LD: 25.21%; Lab: 11.29% | |
Mid Cheshire | Cons | Lab | Lean Lab | Victory chances: Lab: 70.21%; Cons: 14.78%; Ref: 13.02% | |
Mid Derbyshire | Cons | Lab | Toss-up Cons | Victory chances: Cons: 42.60%; Lab: 40.28%; Ref: 13.72% | |
Mid Dorset and North Poole | Cons | LD | Lean LD | Victory chances: LD: 53.75%; Cons: 43.37% | |
Mid Dunbartonshire | SNP | LD | Lean LD | Victory chances: LD: 66.93%; SNP: 18.46%; Lab: 12.93% | |
Mid Leicestershire | Cons | Cons | Toss-up Cons | Victory chances: Cons: 44.46%; Lab: 40.00%; Ref: 13.03% | |
Mid Norfolk | Cons | Cons | Toss-up Cons | Victory chances: Cons: 43.55%; Lab: 37.79%; Ref: 15.14% | |
Mid Sussex | Cons | LD | Lean LD | Victory chances: LD: 58.17%; Cons: 27.47%; Lab: 10.14% | |
Middlesbrough and Thornaby East | Lab | Lab | Likely Lab | Victory chances: Lab: 75.99%; Ref: 12.98% | |
Middlesbrough South and East Cleveland | Cons | Lab | Lean Cons | Victory chances: Cons: 50.62%; Lab: 47.62% | |
Midlothian | SNP | Lab | Lean Lab | Victory chances: Lab: 66.62%; SNP: 28.89% | |
Milton Keynes Central | Cons | Lab | Lean Lab | Victory chances: Lab: 67.82%; Cons: 22.24% | |
Milton Keynes North | Cons | Lab | Lean Lab | Victory chances: Lab: 58.81%; Cons: 31.19% | |
Mitcham and Morden | Lab | Lab | Likely Lab | Victory chances: Lab: 85.42% | |
Monmouthshire | Cons | Lab | Lean Lab | Victory chances: Lab: 58.02%; Cons: 36.73% | |
Montgomeryshire and Glyndwr | Cons | Lab | Toss-up Lab | Victory chances: Lab: 44.44%; Ref: 22.94%; Cons: 14.26% | |
Moray West, Nairn and Strathspey | SNP | SNP | Toss-up SNP | Victory chances: SNP: 47.46%; Cons: 34.81%; Lab: 12.12% | |
Morecambe and Lunesdale | Cons | Lab | Lean Lab | Victory chances: Lab: 59.18%; Cons: 28.69% | |
Motherwell, Wishaw and Carluke | SNP | Lab | Lean Lab | Victory chances: Lab: 63.13%; SNP: 33.66% | |
Na h-Eileanan an Iar | SNP | Lab | Likely Lab | Victory chances: Lab: 79.46%; SNP: 14.40% | |
Neath and Swansea East | Lab | Lab | Lean Lab | Victory chances: Lab: 61.93%; Ref: 25.09% | |
New Forest East | Cons | Cons | Lean Cons | Victory chances: Cons: 61.25%; Lab: 17.13%; Ref: 10.15% | |
New Forest West | Cons | Cons | Toss-up Cons | Victory chances: Cons: 44.62%; Lab: 27.96%; Ref: 13.95%; LD: 11.54% | |
Newark | Cons | Cons | Lean Cons | Victory chances: Cons: 54.58%; Lab: 37.20% | |
Newbury | Cons | LD | Toss-up Cons | Victory chances: Cons: 47.08%; LD: 46.67% | |
Newcastle upon Tyne Central and West | Lab | Lab | Likely Lab | Victory chances: Lab: 79.24%; Ref: 12.98% | |
Newcastle upon Tyne East and Wallsend | Lab | Lab | Likely Lab | Victory chances: Lab: 77.30%; Ref: 14.19% | |
Newcastle upon Tyne North | Lab | Lab | Likely Lab | Victory chances: Lab: 81.92% | |
Newcastle-under-Lyme | Cons | Lab | Lean Lab | Victory chances: Lab: 57.50%; Cons: 24.07%; Ref: 16.98% | |
Newport East | Lab | Lab | Lean Lab | Victory chances: Lab: 68.42%; Ref: 14.88%; Cons: 12.20% | |
Newport West and Islwyn | Lab | Lab | Lean Lab | Victory chances: Lab: 64.87%; Ref: 19.94% | |
Newton Abbot | Cons | LD | Toss-up LD | Victory chances: LD: 48.13%; Cons: 32.09%; Ref: 10.76% | |
Newton Aycliffe and Spennymoor | Cons | Lab | Lean Lab | Victory chances: Lab: 69.33%; Ref: 18.31%; Cons: 11.39% | |
Normanton and Hemsworth | Lab | Lab | Lean Lab | Victory chances: Lab: 62.61%; Ref: 31.24% | |
North Ayrshire and Arran | SNP | Lab | Lean Lab | Victory chances: Lab: 54.58%; SNP: 36.23% | |
North Bedfordshire | Cons | Cons | Lean Cons | Victory chances: Cons: 56.76%; Lab: 26.88%; Ref: 10.50% | |
North Cornwall | Cons | LD | Lean LD | Victory chances: LD: 68.68%; Cons: 22.83% | |
North Cotswolds | Cons | Cons | Toss-up Cons | Victory chances: Cons: 49.11%; LD: 29.86%; Lab: 12.41% | |
North Devon | Cons | LD | Lean LD | Victory chances: LD: 63.33%; Cons: 25.70% | |
North Dorset | Cons | Cons | Toss-up Cons | Victory chances: Cons: 46.32%; LD: 40.74% | |
North Durham | Lab | Lab | Lean Lab | Victory chances: Lab: 62.59%; Ref: 25.69% | |
North East Cambridgeshire | Cons | Cons | Lean Cons | Victory chances: Cons: 64.63%; Ref: 19.46%; Lab: 13.44% | |
North East Derbyshire | Cons | Lab | Toss-up Lab | Victory chances: Lab: 45.47%; Cons: 41.26%; Ref: 11.58% | |
North East Fife | SNP | LD | Likely LD | Victory chances: LD: 85.00%; SNP: 11.57% | |
North East Hampshire | Cons | LD | Toss-up Cons | Victory chances: Cons: 49.45%; LD: 42.16% | |
North East Hertfordshire | Cons | Lab | Toss-up Lab | Victory chances: Lab: 45.23%; Cons: 39.62% | |
North East Somerset and Hanham | Cons | Lab | Lean Lab | Victory chances: Lab: 61.45%; Cons: 27.28% | |
North Herefordshire | Cons | Green | Lean Green | Victory chances: Green: 66.15%; Cons: 25.98% | |
North Norfolk | Cons | LD | Lean LD | Victory chances: LD: 59.92%; Cons: 32.74% | |
North Northumberland | Cons | Lab | Lean Lab | Victory chances: Lab: 54.66%; Cons: 27.59%; Ref: 11.29% | |
North Shropshire | Cons | LD | Likely LD | Victory chances: LD: 76.61%; Cons: 14.22% | |
North Somerset | Cons | Lab | Toss-up Lab | Victory chances: Lab: 44.13%; Cons: 43.97% | |
North Warwickshire and Bedworth | Cons | Lab | Toss-up Lab | Victory chances: Lab: 46.93%; Cons: 27.31%; Ref: 24.86% | |
North West Cambridgeshire | Cons | Lab | Toss-up Lab | Victory chances: Lab: 42.09%; Cons: 37.74%; Ref: 16.07% | |
North West Essex | Cons | Cons | Toss-up Cons | Victory chances: Cons: 48.25%; Lab: 36.90% | |
North West Hampshire | Cons | Cons | Toss-up Cons | Victory chances: Cons: 47.18%; Lab: 34.77% | |
North West Leicestershire | Cons | Lab | Toss-up Lab | Victory chances: Lab: 44.96%; Cons: 40.05%; Ref: 13.12% | |
North West Norfolk | Cons | Cons | Lean Cons | Victory chances: Cons: 50.40%; Lab: 22.88%; Ref: 17.57% | |
Northampton North | Cons | Lab | Lean Lab | Victory chances: Lab: 70.28%; Cons: 15.19%; Ref: 11.47% | |
Northampton South | Cons | Lab | Lean Lab | Victory chances: Lab: 50.77%; Cons: 32.55%; Ref: 12.87% | |
Norwich North | Cons | Lab | Lean Lab | Victory chances: Lab: 68.74%; Cons: 14.77%; Ref: 12.11% | |
Norwich South | Lab | Lab | Lean Lab | Victory chances: Lab: 73.48%; Green: 12.10% | |
Nottingham East | Lab | Lab | Likely Lab | Victory chances: Lab: 86.08% | |
Nottingham North and Kimberley | Lab | Lab | Lean Lab | Victory chances: Lab: 73.46%; Cons: 12.70%; Ref: 10.24% | |
Nottingham South | Lab | Lab | Likely Lab | Victory chances: Lab: 77.57% | |
Nuneaton | Cons | Lab | Lean Lab | Victory chances: Lab: 50.28%; Cons: 27.88%; Ref: 19.29% | |
Old Bexley and Sidcup | Cons | Cons | Lean Cons | Victory chances: Cons: 53.21%; Lab: 28.04%; Ref: 17.13% | |
Oldham East and Saddleworth | Lab | Lab | Lean Lab | Victory chances: Lab: 55.37%; Ref: 20.41%; Cons: 13.27% | |
Oldham West, Chadderton and Royton | Lab | Lab | Lean Lab | Victory chances: Lab: 53.97%; Ind: 23.64%; Ref: 14.45% | |
Orkney and Shetland | LD | LD | Likely LD | Victory chances: LD: 86.12% | |
Orpington | Cons | Cons | Lean Cons | Victory chances: Cons: 53.17%; Lab: 28.02%; Ref: 13.53% | |
Ossett and Denby Dale | Cons | Lab | Lean Lab | Victory chances: Lab: 54.88%; Cons: 28.53%; Ref: 15.21% | |
Oxford East | Lab | Lab | Likely Lab | Victory chances: Lab: 84.62% | |
Oxford West and Abingdon | LD | LD | Likely LD | Victory chances: LD: 75.92%; Cons: 13.98% | |
Paisley and Renfrewshire North | SNP | Lab | Lean Lab | Victory chances: Lab: 59.59%; SNP: 36.87% | |
Paisley and Renfrewshire South | SNP | Lab | Lean Lab | Victory chances: Lab: 71.94%; SNP: 25.18% | |
Peckham | Lab | Lab | Likely Lab | Victory chances: Lab: 85.30%; Green: 11.42% | |
Pendle and Clitheroe | Cons | Lab | Toss-up Lab | Victory chances: Lab: 46.36%; Cons: 39.52%; Ref: 10.91% | |
Penistone and Stocksbridge | Cons | Lab | Lean Lab | Victory chances: Lab: 62.49%; Cons: 19.31%; Ref: 16.07% | |
Penrith and Solway | Cons | Lab | Lean Lab | Victory chances: Lab: 59.05%; Cons: 27.20% | |
Perth and Kinross-shire | SNP | SNP | Lean SNP | Victory chances: SNP: 52.22%; Cons: 32.00%; Lab: 12.34% | |
Peterborough | Cons | Lab | Toss-up Lab | Victory chances: Lab: 47.19%; Cons: 38.02% | |
Plymouth Moor View | Cons | Lab | Toss-up Lab | Victory chances: Lab: 48.42%; Cons: 31.39%; Ref: 19.19% | |
Plymouth Sutton and Devonport | Lab | Lab | Likely Lab | Victory chances: Lab: 79.58% | |
Pontefract, Castleford and Knottingley | Lab | Lab | Lean Lab | Victory chances: Lab: 70.06%; Ref: 23.80% | |
Pontypridd | Lab | Lab | Lean Lab | Victory chances: Lab: 70.27%; Ref: 15.64% | |
Poole | Cons | Lab | Toss-up Lab | Victory chances: Lab: 45.76%; Cons: 33.81%; Ref: 12.81% | |
Poplar and Limehouse | Lab | Lab | Lean Lab | Victory chances: Lab: 74.79% | |
Portsmouth North | Cons | Lab | Toss-up Lab | Victory chances: Lab: 41.75%; Cons: 38.33%; Ref: 17.20% | |
Portsmouth South | Lab | Lab | Likely Lab | Victory chances: Lab: 80.20% | |
Preston | Lab | Lab | Lean Lab | Victory chances: Lab: 59.29%; Ind: 20.81% | |
Putney | Lab | Lab | Lean Lab | Victory chances: Lab: 73.69%; Cons: 18.60% | |
Queen's Park and Maida Vale | Lab | Lab | Likely Lab | Victory chances: Lab: 84.52% | |
Rawmarsh and Conisbrough | Lab | Lab | Lean Lab | Victory chances: Lab: 72.97%; Ref: 19.95% | |
Rayleigh and Wickford | Cons | Cons | Lean Cons | Victory chances: Cons: 55.27%; Lab: 22.56%; Ref: 18.75% | |
Reading Central | Lab | Lab | Lean Lab | Victory chances: Lab: 74.26%; Cons: 13.52% | |
Reading West and Mid Berkshire | Cons | Lab | Toss-up Lab | Victory chances: Lab: 43.39%; Cons: 42.04% | |
Redcar | Cons | Lab | Lean Lab | Victory chances: Lab: 54.55%; Cons: 35.77% | |
Redditch | Cons | Lab | Toss-up Lab | Victory chances: Lab: 45.57%; Cons: 37.35%; Ref: 15.13% | |
Reigate | Cons | Cons | Lean Cons | Victory chances: Cons: 52.60%; Lab: 29.51% | |
Rhondda and Ogmore | Lab | Lab | Lean Lab | Victory chances: Lab: 70.17%; Ref: 20.13% | |
Ribble Valley | Cons | Lab | Toss-up Lab | Victory chances: Lab: 47.96%; Cons: 39.20% | |
Richmond and Northallerton | Cons | Cons | Lean Cons | Victory chances: Cons: 73.96%; Lab: 15.76% | |
Richmond Park | LD | LD | Likely LD | Victory chances: LD: 84.17%; Cons: 11.70% | |
Rochdale | Lab | Lab | Toss-up Lab | Victory chances: Lab: 45.24%; Other: 33.91%; Ref: 13.82% | |
Rochester and Strood | Cons | Lab | Lean Lab | Victory chances: Lab: 51.96%; Cons: 26.32%; Ref: 19.98% | |
Romford | Cons | Cons | Toss-up Cons | Victory chances: Cons: 47.88%; Lab: 34.85%; Ref: 15.46% | |
Romsey and Southampton North | Cons | Cons | Lean Cons | Victory chances: Cons: 55.03%; LD: 36.86% | |
Rossendale and Darwen | Cons | Lab | Lean Lab | Victory chances: Lab: 60.12%; Cons: 22.41%; Ref: 16.26% | |
Rother Valley | Cons | Lab | Toss-up Cons | Victory chances: Cons: 45.76%; Lab: 44.72% | |
Rotherham | Lab | Lab | Lean Lab | Victory chances: Lab: 62.27%; Ref: 33.24% | |
Rugby | Cons | Lab | Lean Lab | Victory chances: Lab: 58.00%; Cons: 29.47% | |
Ruislip, Northwood and Pinner | Cons | Cons | Lean Cons | Victory chances: Cons: 59.08%; Lab: 33.86% | |
Runcorn and Helsby | Lab | Lab | Likely Lab | Victory chances: Lab: 80.19%; Ref: 10.52% | |
Runnymede and Weybridge | Cons | Cons | Lean Cons | Victory chances: Cons: 58.80%; LD: 17.79%; Lab: 17.29% | |
Rushcliffe | Cons | Lab | Lean Lab | Victory chances: Lab: 57.57%; Cons: 35.06% | |
Rutherglen | SNP | Lab | Lean Lab | Victory chances: Lab: 68.55%; SNP: 27.96% | |
Rutland and Stamford | Cons | Cons | Lean Cons | Victory chances: Cons: 68.28%; Lab: 18.61% | |
Salford | Lab | Lab | Likely Lab | Victory chances: Lab: 85.21% | |
Salisbury | Cons | Cons | Toss-up Cons | Victory chances: Cons: 40.14%; Lab: 31.15%; LD: 24.41% | |
Scarborough and Whitby | Cons | Lab | Lean Lab | Victory chances: Lab: 53.82%; Cons: 28.48%; Ref: 16.22% | |
Scunthorpe | Cons | Lab | Lean Lab | Victory chances: Lab: 59.24%; Cons: 23.72%; Ref: 16.24% | |
Sefton Central | Lab | Lab | Likely Lab | Victory chances: Lab: 81.32%; Cons: 11.32% | |
Selby | Cons | Lab | Lean Lab | Victory chances: Lab: 68.00%; Cons: 18.72%; Ref: 12.13% | |
Sevenoaks | Cons | Cons | Lean Cons | Victory chances: Cons: 50.12%; LD: 27.71%; Ref: 13.96% | |
Sheffield Brightside and Hillsborough | Lab | Lab | Likely Lab | Victory chances: Lab: 81.09% | |
Sheffield Central | Lab | Lab | Likely Lab | Victory chances: Lab: 75.40%; Green: 20.79% | |
Sheffield Hallam | Lab | Lab | Lean Lab | Victory chances: Lab: 62.51%; LD: 31.09% | |
Sheffield Heeley | Lab | Lab | Likely Lab | Victory chances: Lab: 84.31% | |
Sheffield South East | Lab | Lab | Likely Lab | Victory chances: Lab: 83.65% | |
Sherwood Forest | Cons | Lab | Lean Lab | Victory chances: Lab: 51.55%; Cons: 28.30%; Ref: 18.58% | |
Shipley | Cons | Lab | Lean Lab | Victory chances: Lab: 65.62%; Cons: 25.86% | |
Shrewsbury | Cons | Lab | Lean Lab | Victory chances: Lab: 68.06%; Cons: 18.16% | |
Sittingbourne and Sheppey | Cons | Lab | Toss-up Lab | Victory chances: Lab: 37.39%; Cons: 30.73%; Ref: 27.26% | |
Skipton and Ripon | Cons | Cons | Toss-up Cons | Victory chances: Cons: 47.97%; Lab: 38.37% | |
Sleaford and North Hykeham | Cons | Cons | Toss-up Cons | Victory chances: Cons: 47.57%; Lab: 32.36%; Ref: 16.62% | |
Slough | Lab | Lab | Toss-up Lab | Victory chances: Lab: 49.64%; Other: 30.71%; Cons: 15.23% | |
Smethwick | Lab | Lab | Likely Lab | Victory chances: Lab: 78.22% | |
Solihull West and Shirley | Cons | Cons | Lean Cons | Victory chances: Cons: 51.17%; Lab: 26.38%; LD: 10.21%; Ref: 10.14% | |
South Basildon and East Thurrock | Cons | Ref | Toss-up Ref | Victory chances: Ref: 34.96%; Lab: 31.71%; Cons: 31.51% | |
South Cambridgeshire | Cons | LD | Lean LD | Victory chances: LD: 72.31%; Cons: 20.60% | |
South Cotswolds | Cons | LD | Lean LD | Victory chances: LD: 57.92%; Cons: 36.53% | |
South Derbyshire | Cons | Lab | Lean Lab | Victory chances: Lab: 55.90%; Cons: 28.95%; Ref: 13.22% | |
South Devon | Cons | LD | Lean LD | Victory chances: LD: 62.38%; Cons: 32.01% | |
South Dorset | Cons | Lab | Toss-up Lab | Victory chances: Lab: 44.49%; Cons: 36.22% | |
South East Cornwall | Cons | Lab | Toss-up Lab | Victory chances: Lab: 39.83%; Cons: 35.03%; Ref: 14.12%; LD: 10.28% | |
South Holland and The Deepings | Cons | Cons | Lean Cons | Victory chances: Cons: 59.02%; Ref: 22.04%; Lab: 13.27% | |
South Leicestershire | Cons | Cons | Lean Cons | Victory chances: Cons: 50.10%; Lab: 25.57%; Ref: 15.69% | |
South Norfolk | Cons | Lab | Lean Lab | Victory chances: Lab: 51.30%; Cons: 31.83% | |
South Northamptonshire | Cons | Cons | Lean Cons | Victory chances: Cons: 53.74%; Lab: 28.99%; Ref: 12.28% | |
South Ribble | Cons | Lab | Lean Lab | Victory chances: Lab: 64.85%; Cons: 22.87%; Ref: 10.47% | |
South Shields | Lab | Lab | Lean Lab | Victory chances: Lab: 61.20%; Ref: 22.42% | |
South Shropshire | Cons | Cons | Toss-up Cons | Victory chances: Cons: 41.58%; LD: 38.62%; Ref: 11.26% | |
South Suffolk | Cons | Cons | Toss-up Cons | Victory chances: Cons: 49.76%; Lab: 27.89%; Ref: 14.16% | |
South West Devon | Cons | Cons | Toss-up Cons | Victory chances: Cons: 48.72%; Lab: 35.02%; Ref: 11.06% | |
South West Hertfordshire | Cons | Cons | Toss-up Cons | Victory chances: Cons: 46.85%; LD: 25.39%; Lab: 17.12% | |
South West Norfolk | Cons | Lab | Toss-up Lab | Victory chances: Lab: 38.28%; Cons: 31.16%; Ref: 20.04% | |
South West Wiltshire | Cons | Cons | Toss-up Cons | Victory chances: Cons: 46.75%; Lab: 28.28%; Ref: 14.72% | |
Southampton Itchen | Cons | Lab | Lean Lab | Victory chances: Lab: 66.81%; Cons: 20.27% | |
Southampton Test | Lab | Lab | Lean Lab | Victory chances: Lab: 71.39%; Cons: 14.36% | |
Southend East and Rochford | Cons | Lab | Lean Lab | Victory chances: Lab: 59.09%; Cons: 25.12%; Ref: 12.87% | |
Southend West and Leigh | Cons | Lab | Lean Lab | Victory chances: Lab: 52.39%; Cons: 32.77%; Ref: 11.22% | |
Southgate and Wood Green | Lab | Lab | Likely Lab | Victory chances: Lab: 85.41% | |
Southport | Cons | Lab | Lean Lab | Victory chances: Lab: 56.43%; Cons: 24.85%; Ref: 10.84% | |
Spelthorne | Cons | Cons | Toss-up Cons | Victory chances: Cons: 40.25%; Lab: 30.45%; LD: 15.05%; Ref: 13.07% | |
Spen Valley | Cons | Lab | Lean Lab | Victory chances: Lab: 50.66%; Cons: 24.51%; Ref: 22.14% | |
St Albans | LD | LD | Likely LD | Victory chances: LD: 86.90% | |
St Austell and Newquay | Cons | Lab | Lean Lab | Victory chances: Lab: 51.11%; Cons: 30.98%; Ref: 13.73% | |
St Helens North | Lab | Lab | Likely Lab | Victory chances: Lab: 82.75%; Ref: 11.13% | |
St Helens South and Whiston | Lab | Lab | Likely Lab | Victory chances: Lab: 80.94%; Ref: 11.67% | |
St Ives | Cons | LD | Likely LD | Victory chances: LD: 81.57%; Cons: 12.53% | |
St Neots and Mid Cambridgeshire | Cons | LD | Lean LD | Victory chances: LD: 56.08%; Cons: 30.55% | |
Stafford | Cons | Lab | Lean Lab | Victory chances: Lab: 53.77%; Cons: 32.30%; Ref: 12.18% | |
Staffordshire Moorlands | Cons | Cons | Toss-up Lab | Victory chances: Lab: 40.75%; Cons: 38.08%; Ref: 19.92% | |
Stalybridge and Hyde | Lab | Lab | Lean Lab | Victory chances: Lab: 63.65%; Ref: 17.41%; Cons: 15.78% | |
Stevenage | Cons | Lab | Lean Lab | Victory chances: Lab: 62.43%; Cons: 22.37%; Ref: 10.57% | |
Stirling and Strathallan | SNP | Lab | Toss-up SNP | Victory chances: SNP: 43.29%; Lab: 40.31%; Cons: 12.85% | |
Stockport | Lab | Lab | Likely Lab | Victory chances: Lab: 81.19% | |
Stockton North | Lab | Lab | Lean Lab | Victory chances: Lab: 69.13%; Cons: 15.42%; Ref: 14.32% | |
Stockton West | Cons | Cons | Lean Cons | Victory chances: Cons: 51.39%; Lab: 40.21% | |
Stoke-on-Trent Central | Cons | Lab | Lean Lab | Victory chances: Lab: 65.71%; Ref: 21.48%; Cons: 10.21% | |
Stoke-on-Trent North | Cons | Lab | Lean Lab | Victory chances: Lab: 62.91%; Cons: 19.74%; Ref: 16.46% | |
Stoke-on-Trent South | Cons | Lab | Toss-up Lab | Victory chances: Lab: 43.94%; Cons: 38.49%; Ref: 16.46% | |
Stone, Great Wyrley and Penkridge | Cons | Cons | Lean Cons | Victory chances: Cons: 62.49%; Lab: 34.13% | |
Stourbridge | Cons | Lab | Toss-up Lab | Victory chances: Lab: 44.09%; Cons: 39.37%; Ref: 14.76% | |
Stratford and Bow | Lab | Lab | Likely Lab | Victory chances: Lab: 82.93%; Green: 10.52% | |
Stratford-on-Avon | Cons | LD | Lean LD | Victory chances: LD: 61.80%; Cons: 29.38% | |
Streatham and Croydon North | Lab | Lab | Likely Lab | Victory chances: Lab: 78.60%; Green: 11.11% | |
Stretford and Urmston | Lab | Lab | Likely Lab | Victory chances: Lab: 79.70% | |
Stroud | Cons | Lab | Lean Lab | Victory chances: Lab: 64.61%; Cons: 25.75% | |
Suffolk Coastal | Cons | Lab | Toss-up Cons | Victory chances: Cons: 42.93%; Lab: 37.51% | |
Sunderland Central | Lab | Lab | Lean Lab | Victory chances: Lab: 58.14%; Ref: 28.81% | |
Surrey Heath | Cons | LD | Lean LD | Victory chances: LD: 63.70%; Cons: 29.29% | |
Sussex Weald | Cons | Cons | Lean Cons | Victory chances: Cons: 56.49%; LD: 15.87%; Lab: 12.43%; Ref: 12.22% | |
Sutton and Cheam | Cons | LD | Toss-up LD | Victory chances: LD: 48.99%; Cons: 32.66%; Lab: 11.25% | |
Sutton Coldfield | Cons | Cons | Toss-up Cons | Victory chances: Cons: 48.78%; Lab: 40.45% | |
Swansea West | Lab | Lab | Lean Lab | Victory chances: Lab: 67.87%; Ref: 12.96% | |
Swindon North | Cons | Lab | Lean Lab | Victory chances: Lab: 51.65%; Cons: 34.35%; Ref: 12.18% | |
Swindon South | Cons | Lab | Lean Lab | Victory chances: Lab: 70.71%; Cons: 22.71% | |
Tamworth | Cons | Lab | Toss-up Lab | Victory chances: Lab: 42.95%; Cons: 34.41%; Ref: 21.88% | |
Tatton | Cons | Cons | Toss-up Lab | Victory chances: Lab: 46.83%; Cons: 44.74% | |
Taunton and Wellington | Cons | LD | Lean LD | Victory chances: LD: 71.10%; Cons: 17.64% | |
Telford | Cons | Lab | Lean Lab | Victory chances: Lab: 65.34%; Ref: 19.79%; Cons: 13.45% | |
Tewkesbury | Cons | LD | Lean LD | Victory chances: LD: 63.69%; Cons: 27.74% | |
The Wrekin | Cons | Cons | Toss-up Lab | Victory chances: Lab: 42.24%; Cons: 39.49%; Ref: 13.79% | |
Thirsk and Malton | Cons | Cons | Lean Cons | Victory chances: Cons: 61.27%; Lab: 20.79%; Ref: 11.40% | |
Thornbury and Yate | Cons | LD | Lean LD | Victory chances: LD: 55.83%; Cons: 33.80% | |
Thurrock | Cons | Lab | Lean Lab | Victory chances: Lab: 62.74%; Ref: 19.23%; Cons: 16.84% | |
Tipton and Wednesbury | Cons | Lab | Lean Lab | Victory chances: Lab: 50.68%; Cons: 25.54%; Ref: 22.23% | |
Tiverton and Minehead | Cons | LD | Lean LD | Victory chances: LD: 50.41%; Cons: 37.18% | |
Tonbridge | Cons | Cons | Lean Cons | Victory chances: Cons: 70.55%; Lab: 11.99% | |
Tooting | Lab | Lab | Likely Lab | Victory chances: Lab: 85.72% | |
Torbay | Cons | LD | Lean LD | Victory chances: LD: 58.61%; Cons: 26.21%; Ref: 13.22% | |
Torfaen | Lab | Lab | Lean Lab | Victory chances: Lab: 66.02%; Ref: 16.91%; Cons: 12.67% | |
Torridge and Tavistock | Cons | Cons | Toss-up Cons | Victory chances: Cons: 47.62%; LD: 20.79%; Lab: 19.28%; Ref: 11.51% | |
Tottenham | Lab | Lab | Likely Lab | Victory chances: Lab: 89.68% | |
Truro and Falmouth | Cons | Lab | Lean Lab | Victory chances: Lab: 65.34%; Cons: 23.25% | |
Tunbridge Wells | Cons | LD | Lean LD | Victory chances: LD: 63.67%; Cons: 27.60% | |
Twickenham | LD | LD | Likely LD | Victory chances: LD: 83.40% | |
Tynemouth | Lab | Lab | Likely Lab | Victory chances: Lab: 80.32%; Cons: 10.92% | |
Uxbridge and South Ruislip | Cons | Lab | Toss-up Lab | Victory chances: Lab: 48.05%; Cons: 43.55% | |
Vale of Glamorgan | Cons | Lab | Lean Lab | Victory chances: Lab: 54.96%; Cons: 34.99% | |
Vauxhall and Camberwell Green | Lab | Lab | Likely Lab | Victory chances: Lab: 86.21% | |
Wakefield and Rothwell | Cons | Lab | Lean Lab | Victory chances: Lab: 63.83%; Ref: 19.24%; Cons: 13.53% | |
Wallasey | Lab | Lab | Likely Lab | Victory chances: Lab: 85.99% | |
Walsall and Bloxwich | Cons | Lab | Toss-up Lab | Victory chances: Lab: 45.39%; Ind: 19.57%; Cons: 18.30%; Ref: 15.00% | |
Walthamstow | Lab | Lab | Likely Lab | Victory chances: Lab: 85.02%; Green: 12.92% | |
Warrington North | Lab | Lab | Lean Lab | Victory chances: Lab: 65.42%; Ref: 21.13%; Cons: 10.72% | |
Warrington South | Lab | Lab | Lean Lab | Victory chances: Lab: 72.18%; Cons: 16.96% | |
Warwick and Leamington | Lab | Lab | Lean Lab | Victory chances: Lab: 73.26%; Cons: 16.65% | |
Washington and Gateshead South | Lab | Lab | Lean Lab | Victory chances: Lab: 67.71%; Ref: 26.90% | |
Watford | Cons | Lab | Lean Lab | Victory chances: Lab: 56.30%; Cons: 23.27%; LD: 12.41% | |
Waveney Valley | Cons | Green | Lean Green | Victory chances: Green: 54.87%; Cons: 32.86% | |
Weald of Kent | Cons | Cons | Lean Cons | Victory chances: Cons: 55.28%; Lab: 21.73%; Ref: 17.93% | |
Wellingborough and Rushden | Cons | Lab | Lean Lab | Victory chances: Lab: 56.83%; Cons: 24.95%; Ref: 16.34% | |
Wells and Mendip Hills | Cons | LD | Lean LD | Victory chances: LD: 71.86%; Cons: 20.39% | |
Welwyn Hatfield | Cons | Lab | Lean Lab | Victory chances: Lab: 61.43%; Cons: 30.49% | |
West Aberdeenshire and Kincardine | Cons | Cons | Lean Cons | Victory chances: Cons: 57.64%; SNP: 28.06% | |
West Bromwich | Cons | Lab | Lean Lab | Victory chances: Lab: 73.39%; Cons: 13.14%; Ref: 11.36% | |
West Dorset | Cons | LD | Lean LD | Victory chances: LD: 62.88%; Cons: 35.30% | |
West Dunbartonshire | SNP | Lab | Lean Lab | Victory chances: Lab: 66.64%; SNP: 30.90% | |
West Ham and Beckton | Lab | Lab | Lean Lab | Victory chances: Lab: 72.41%; Other: 14.31% | |
West Lancashire | Lab | Lab | Likely Lab | Victory chances: Lab: 77.14%; Ref: 10.27%; Cons: 10.09% | |
West Suffolk | Cons | Cons | Toss-up Cons | Victory chances: Cons: 42.16%; Lab: 34.00%; Ref: 18.26% | |
West Worcestershire | Cons | Cons | Lean Cons | Victory chances: Cons: 57.35%; LD: 23.81% | |
Westmorland and Lonsdale | Cons | LD | Safe LD | Victory chances: LD: 90.85% | |
Weston-super-Mare | Cons | Lab | Lean Lab | Victory chances: Lab: 55.71%; Cons: 28.77%; Ref: 11.95% | |
Wetherby and Easingwold | Cons | Cons | Lean Cons | Victory chances: Cons: 62.11%; Lab: 26.31% | |
Whitehaven and Workington | Cons | Lab | Lean Lab | Victory chances: Lab: 74.70%; Ref: 12.49%; Cons: 12.37% | |
Widnes and Halewood | Lab | Lab | Likely Lab | Victory chances: Lab: 89.19% | |
Wigan | Lab | Lab | Lean Lab | Victory chances: Lab: 69.42%; Ref: 22.63% | |
Wimbledon | Cons | LD | Lean LD | Victory chances: LD: 63.40%; Lab: 17.41%; Cons: 17.15% | |
Winchester | Cons | LD | Lean LD | Victory chances: LD: 70.75%; Cons: 26.29% | |
Windsor | Cons | Cons | Lean Cons | Victory chances: Cons: 52.31%; Lab: 24.49%; LD: 16.37% | |
Wirral West | Lab | Lab | Lean Lab | Victory chances: Lab: 65.18%; Cons: 23.34% | |
Witham | Cons | Cons | Lean Cons | Victory chances: Cons: 56.39%; Lab: 25.21%; Ref: 14.54% | |
Witney | Cons | LD | Lean LD | Victory chances: LD: 55.74%; Cons: 37.45% | |
Woking | Cons | LD | Likely LD | Victory chances: LD: 76.93%; Cons: 18.01% | |
Wokingham | Cons | LD | Lean LD | Victory chances: LD: 63.24%; Cons: 31.94% | |
Wolverhampton North East | Cons | Lab | Lean Lab | Victory chances: Lab: 57.06%; Cons: 24.74%; Ref: 17.39% | |
Wolverhampton South East | Lab | Lab | Lean Lab | Victory chances: Lab: 73.08%; Ref: 15.57%; Cons: 10.23% | |
Wolverhampton West | Cons | Lab | Lean Lab | Victory chances: Lab: 68.08%; Cons: 24.27% | |
Worcester | Cons | Lab | Lean Lab | Victory chances: Lab: 63.24%; Cons: 23.94% | |
Worsley and Eccles | Lab | Lab | Lean Lab | Victory chances: Lab: 69.74%; Ref: 18.87% | |
Worthing West | Cons | Lab | Lean Lab | Victory chances: Lab: 54.42%; Cons: 36.75% | |
Wrexham | Cons | Lab | Lean Lab | Victory chances: Lab: 63.83%; Cons: 19.44%; Ref: 11.37% | |
Wycombe | Cons | Lab | Lean Lab | Victory chances: Lab: 57.21%; Cons: 26.67% | |
Wyre Forest | Cons | Cons | Toss-up Lab | Victory chances: Lab: 41.48%; Cons: 36.31%; Ref: 19.18% | |
Wythenshawe and Sale East | Lab | Lab | Likely Lab | Victory chances: Lab: 83.84% | |
Yeovil | Cons | LD | Likely LD | Victory chances: LD: 75.73%; Cons: 15.76% | |
Ynys Môn | Cons | PC | Toss-up PC | Victory chances: PC: 38.35%; Cons: 34.75%; Lab: 23.18% | |
York Central | Lab | Lab | Likely Lab | Victory chances: Lab: 86.78% | |
York Outer | Cons | Lab | Lean Lab | Victory chances: Lab: 58.74%; Cons: 30.90% |